This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. This is version 1 of this Preprint.
![Climate sensitivity & resistance since the Industrial Revolution](/media/repos/1/40aab2d6-4c12-4d57-a93c-f005a57ea48c.jpg)
Climate sensitivity & resistance since the Industrial Revolution
Downloads
Authors
Abstract
Climate sensitivity is a fundamental yet uncertain metric of Earth’s response to anthropogenic forcing; its temporal evolution in particular is poorly constrained yet critical for leveraging historical observations for future projections. A Bayesian energy balance model indicates a 83% (84%) probability that the climate sensitivity increased
(decreased) from 1900-1940 (1940-2010). These trends are attributable to spatial warming patterns likely to reverse in the future, and are distinct from Earth-system-model-derived analogs.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31223/X5463V
Subjects
Earth Sciences
Keywords
climate change, Bayesian statistics, Climate feedback, Pattern effect, Energy balance model, Climate sensitivity
Dates
Published: 2022-03-22 15:39
Last Updated: 2022-03-22 19:39
There are no comments or no comments have been made public for this article.