This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. This is version 1 of this Preprint.
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Abstract
Extreme climatic and weather events have raised increasing concerns in the context of climate change for causing severe disasters worldwide. As for ancient civilizations, however, possible causes of extreme events and their corresponding cultural responses have remained unclear. By quantitatively analyzing the weather information in ~55000 oracle bone script pieces, we constructed three ~200-year indexes representing drought, flood and rainfall conditions in the Chinese Bronze Age. Combined with paleoclimatic proxies, meteorological data, model simulations, and archaeological evidence, here we find that millennial-scale strong El Niño and typhoon activities caused extreme droughts and floods in the central plains of China, thus notably influencing early cultures and civilizations in China.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31223/X5HH20
Subjects
Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences
Keywords
El Niño, Typhoon, Climate Extremes, drought, flood disaster, Millennial-scale climate change
Dates
Published: 2023-01-06 02:33
License
CC-BY Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International
Additional Metadata
Data Availability (Reason not available):
The meteorological data is from ERA5 and ERA5_land, which can be download in https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5. The typhoon tracks data is from https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/zjljsjj_zlhq.html. The satellite precipitation data is from Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG), which is available in https://gpm.nasa.gov/data/imerg. Data processing technique are available on request of corresponding author. The source code of the WRF model is available from http://www2.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/download.
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