CDR modeled in MAGICC to return to preindustrial temperatures by 2100

Shannon A Fiume

CDR modeled in MAGICC to return to preindustrial temperatures by 2100

This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. This is version 8 of this Preprint.

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Supplementary File

Authors

Shannon A Fiume

Abstract

Scenario pathways greatly inform the opportunity space of possible future climates. The multistep experiment tests the Alternative Method to Determine a Carbon Dioxide Removal Target’s thesis by simulating the novel pathway '300x2050,' SSP1-2.6, and SSP1-1.9 comparing within green growth development in MAGICC 6.8 by removing all cumulative anthropogenic CO₂ over 80 years and phasing out anthropogenic GHGs. Contrary to the previous theory, the experiment removed carbon equal to accumulated fossil fuels and land-use change emissions, realizing a final temperature of 0.07ºC relative to 1720-1800, 0.14ºC to the 1850-1900 mean, and CO₂ concentration of 278.82 ppm by 2550. The vast CDR needed to approximate the speculation of Anthropocene reversal by 2100 justifies utmost urgency and maximally scaled sustainable (zero-carbon intensity) green growth development.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.31223/X5K37C

Subjects

Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Keywords

Climate Science

Dates

Published: 2023-04-23 14:33

Last Updated: 2023-06-03 21:45

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License

CC BY Attribution 4.0 International

Additional Metadata

Conflict of interest statement:
None

Data Availability (Reason not available):
https://github.com/hsbay/CDRMEx