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An empirical approach to estimating hydrocarbon column heights for improved  pre-drill volume prediction in hydrocarbon exploration

An empirical approach to estimating hydrocarbon column heights for improved pre-drill volume prediction in hydrocarbon exploration

This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. This is version 2 of this Preprint.

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Authors

Isabel Edmundson, Roy Davies, Lars Frette, Sean Mackie, Emilie Kavli, Atle Rotevatn, Graham Yielding, Alex Dunbar

Abstract

Estimating pre-drill volumes in hydrocarbon exploration involves dealing with geological and technical uncertainties. The prediction of the hydrocarbon column height is widely recognized as the primary driver of uncertainty in volumetric estimates. The oil and gas industry continues to renew efforts to limit such uncertainties because of the potential economic costs of inaccurate estimation, yet estimation of pre-drill volumes remains an in-exact science. This study introduces new empirical data from the Norwegian Continental Shelf, and aims to improve accuracy in hydrocarbon column height prediction. We use column height, trap height and bur...  more

DOI

https://doi.org/10.31223/osf.io/zsakb

Subjects

Analysis, Earth Sciences, Geology, Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Keywords

uncertainty analysis, Base-rate data, Burial depth, Norwegian Continental Shelf, Probability distribution, Prospect analysis, Trap height

Dates

Published: 2019-10-03 14:03

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License

CC BY Attribution 4.0 International