Challenges and opportunities of ML and explainable AI in hydrology

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Authors

Louise J. Slater , Georgios Blougouras, Liangkun Deng, Qimin Deng, Emma Ford, Anne Hoek van Dijke, Feini Huang, Shijie Jiang, Yinxue Liu, Simon Moulds , Andrew Schepen, Jiabo Yin, Boen Zhang

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) is a powerful tool for hydrological modelling, forecasting, generation of new datasets, and process discovery. It is widely recognised for its ability to produce skillful predictions and generate insights about physical mechanisms through explainable AI (XAI). This manuscript outlines current progress in the use of ML in hydrology, new tools in XAI, and challenges in these areas. Continued areas of research for ML in hydrology include model interpretability, prediction in data-sparse regions, overcoming hydrology's `cascade of uncertainty', multivariate prediction, and causality.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.31223/X5069W

Subjects

Hydrology

Keywords

hydrology, machine learning, xAI

Dates

Published: 2024-09-09 04:47

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No Creative Commons license

Additional Metadata

Conflict of interest statement:
None

Data Availability (Reason not available):
Review article; no data.