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Global industrial disruption following nuclear war
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Abstract
Nuclear war poses catastrophic risks not only through its immediate effects and potential nuclear winter, but also through the disruption of industrial production on which modern civilization depends. In this study we estimate the reduction in global industrial output following a US-Russia nuclear war, as well as a more limited India-Pakistan exchange, by combining geospatial analysis with historical evidence of how localized industrial losses propagate through supply chains. A bilateral US-Russia nuclear war could destroy 3% of global industrial infrastructure, with cascading effects potentially reducing global industrial output by 25%. If h... more
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31223/X58H9G
Subjects
Agriculture, International and Area Studies, Other Geography, Risk Analysis
Keywords
Existential risk, global catastrophic risk, global catastrophic infrastructure loss, industry, nuclear war, supply chains, global catastrophic risk, Global Catastrophic Infrastructure Loss, Nuclear War, supply chains
Dates
Published: 2024-12-05 16:03
Last Updated: 2024-12-06 00:03
License
CC BY Attribution 4.0 International
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Conflict of interest statement:
None
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