This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. This is version 1 of this Preprint.
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Abstract
The past century of increases in human population and resource consumption has produced some undesirable effects, ranging from environmental degradation to climate change to political unrest. We are accustomed to seeing these dependent variables charted with time on the x-axis. But this study presents metrics of biodiversity, consumption, and pollution and their extremely strong correlations when charted against human population size. Then we suggest that a more rapid yet non-coercive lowering of global Total Fertility Rates to 1.75 by 2050, and holding there, will produce many benefits for current and future generations of our own species and for nature. Among these benefits are reduced CO2 emissions, habitat recovery, protection of wild species, and reduced conflict over scarce resources.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31223/X5W70W
Subjects
Environmental Studies
Keywords
world population growth, sustainability, Total fertility rate (TFR), population projection, demographic transition
Dates
Published: 2024-12-06 08:23
Last Updated: 2024-12-06 16:23
License
CC BY Attribution 4.0 International
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Data Availability (Reason not available):
All data files are available at the figshare data base:
https://figshare.com/s/76c20b78f80634ab4f1c
The data underlying the results are also available from the references listed in the manuscript.
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