How the Magnetic North Pole and Energetic Particle Precipitation Control Earth's Climate

Chris Barnes

The hypothesis that the position of the magnetic North Pole (Dip Pole) (latitude) ought to be very highly correlated with global temperature change on Earth has been tested and shown to be correct. The probability of such a correlation happening by chance is close to zero. Moreover, this has likely been the dominant climate driver for the last 2000 years. A Granger causality test shows Pole Shift drives temperature the latter having up to a two-year lag (Figure1). Two new climate models with and without CO₂ are developed and tested. Both models successfully predict modern warming, the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), and the Roman Warm Period (RWP) in time (figures 3+4). The model excluding CO₂ (figure 4) predicts past warming with stronger amplitude. This model also predicts the Little Ice Age ( LIA) with a seamless transition into the Modern Warm Period using the real data sets (figure 5). As Pole swings Northwards, interacting region shifts to higher ionospheric altitudes and combined particle precipitation changes (EEP) reduce albedo, hence increase forcing (figure 2) by virtue of their changes to the world’s clouds, provide calculated values in the region of 81% of recent warming, with the rest (15%) mainly of solar origin. CO₂ at most could contribute 3.9% of all warming. The detail disclosed above represents a profound and crucial discovery for climate science and its future direction. We need no longer try to mitigate so much for CO2, but we will desperately have to understand our geomagnetic climate and possibly how anthropogenic factors such as ELF radio transmitters and power systems and aviation aerosol may also change EEP. Preliminary investigations indicate that because South dip-pole is not antipodal and moves at different rates and in different directions this accounts for different rates of Antarctic warming and Southern Hemisphere Cloud behaviour also.