Beneficial land use change: Strategic expansion of new biomass plantations can reduce environmental impacts from EU agriculture

This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. The published version of this Preprint is available: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.101990.

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Authors

Oskar Englund , Pål Börjesson, Göran Berndes, Nicolae Scarlat, Jean-Francois Dallemand, Bruna Grizzetti, Ioannis Dimitriou, Blas Mola-Yudego , Fernando Fahl

Abstract

Society faces the double challenge of increasing biomass production to meet the future demands for food, materials and bioenergy, while addressing negative impacts of current (and future) land use. In the discourse, land use change (LUC) has often been considered as negative, referring to impacts of deforestation and expansion of biomass plantations. However, strategic establishment of suitable perennial production systems in agricultural landscapes can mitigate environmental impacts of current crop production, while providing biomass for the bioeconomy. Here, we explore the potential for such “beneficial LUC” in EU28. First, we map and quantify the degree of accumulated soil organic carbon losses, soil loss by wind and water erosion, nitrogen emissions to water, and recurring floods, in ∼81.000 individual landscapes in EU28. We then estimate the effectiveness in mitigating these impacts through establishment of perennial plants, in each landscape. The results indicate that there is a substantial potential for effective impact mitigation. Depending on criteria selection, 10–46% of the land used for annual crop production in EU28 is located in landscapes that could be considered priority areas for beneficial LUC. These areas are scattered all over Europe, but there are notable “hot-spots” where priority areas are concentrated, e.g., large parts of Denmark, western UK, The Po valley in Italy, and the Danube basin. While some policy developments support beneficial LUC, implementation could benefit from attempts to realize synergies between different Sustainable Development Goals, e.g., “Zero hunger”, “Clean water and sanitation”, “Affordable and Clean Energy”, “Climate Action”, and “Life on Land”.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.31223/osf.io/4h9dg

Subjects

Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Keywords

land use, biomass, CAP, environmental impacts, LULUCF, perennial crops, spatial planning

Dates

Published: 2019-03-17 11:02

Last Updated: 2020-04-16 06:11

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License

CC BY Attribution 4.0 International

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