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Preprints

There are 6976 Preprints listed.

Can We Reverse Global Warming?

Vincent Dert

Published: 2024-05-25
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Without mitigation, Climate Change is expected to costs large amounts of money, cause vast amounts of human suffering and death and threatens the survival of countless species. Rising global temperatures alone are expected to cause a drop in GDP of 30 – 70% for many countries with already high temperatures. In combination with other factors (population growth, increasing water stress, coastal [...]

Ringing mountain ranges: Teleseismic signature of the interaction of high-frequency wavefields with near-source topography at the Degelen nuclear test site

Marta Pienkowska, Stuart E. J. Nippress, David Bowers, et al.

Published: 2024-05-26
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

Over the last decade there has been an international effort to find methods to recover and digitize recordings from historical earthquakes and explosions that occurred during the 1950’s through to the 1980’s. Making these recordings accessible in digital format offers opportunities to study what signatures are encoded in the data, and to apply state-of-the-art techniques and methods to historical [...]

Large indirect economic impacts of tropical cyclones shaped by disaster response

Christopher Callahan, Jane Baldwin, Renzhi Jing, et al.

Published: 2024-05-30
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Tropical cyclones (TCs) have direct economic impacts, destroying property and infrastructure. However, the sign and magnitude of their indirect impacts via longer-term changes in economic output remain unclear. Here we use data on TC winds and county-level income in the U.S. to quantify the long-term indirect impacts of TCs. We find a nonlinear response of income growth to TCs, where damages [...]

The State of Hydroinformatics Prior to Generative AI: Establishing a Quantitative Baseline (2018–2023)

Carlos Erazo Ramirez, Kevin Song, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2024-05-31
Subjects: Civil Engineering, Computational Engineering, Education, Engineering, Environmental Engineering

The rapid advancement of web applications and machine learning has fundamentally reshaped hydrogeological sciences. While the recent emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) dominates current discourse, understanding the trajectory of this shift requires quantifying the foundational digitization trends that preceded it. This study presents an automated web-mining framework designed to extract [...]

Assessment of RCA4, CORDEX Africa domains RCMs Performance in Simulating Rainfall and Temperature: A case of Gilgal Gibe watershed, Ethiopia

Keder Hussen Farah, Chala Hailu Sime, Abdifatah Mohamed Hassen, et al.

Published: 2024-05-31
Subjects: Engineering Education

Examining the spatiotemporal dynamics of meteorological variables in the context of changing climate, particularly in countries where rainfed agriculture, and hydropower project are predominant, is vital to assess climate-induced change. CORDEX Africa has been developed to forecast Africa's climate variation and variabilities. the RCA4 regional climate model performance of CORDEX Africa domains [...]

Opening doors to physical sample tracking and attribution in Earth and environmental sciences

Joan E Damerow, Natalie Raia, Val Stanley, et al.

Published: 2024-05-31
Subjects: Biochemistry, Biophysics, and Structural Biology, Earth Sciences, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Sciences, Life Sciences, Microbiology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Systems Biology

Physical samples and their associated (meta)data underpin scientific discoveries across disciplines and can enable new science when appropriately archived. However, there are significant gaps in current practices and infrastructure that prevent accurate provenance tracking, reproducibility, and attribution. For most samples, descriptive metadata are often sparse, inaccessible, or absent. Samples [...]

Mitigating marine plastic debris in Hong Kong: an action plan

Maggie Ka Ka Lee, Emma Hales, James Morton, et al.

Published: 2024-05-31
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences, Other Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The impact of marine debris ranges from ecological and social to economic, including ingestion by wildlife, loss of tourist potential and high costs of clean-ups and reallocation of collected litter. In Hong Kong, an astounding amount of litter is collected annually, encompassing plastic food packaging, bottles and bottle caps. With over 60% of discarded items originating from shoreline [...]

STUDY OF THERMOLUMINESCENCE CHARACTERISTICS OF QUARTZ FOR HIGH RADIATION DOSES (>1KGY): IMPLICATIONS FOR EXTENDING THE LUMINESCENCE DATING RANGE

Malika Singhal, Madhusmita Panda, S. H. Shinde, et al.

Published: 2024-05-31
Subjects: Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Quartz is an omnipresent abundant natural mineral, used for luminescence dating. Lately, quartz optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) technique is widely used to estimate the equivalent doses (De) for dating geological events (up to 250 Gy, limited by saturation). Some works report thermoluminescence (TL) saturation around ~ (10-40) kGy. Still dose estimates for such high radiation dose (HRD) [...]

Linking petrographic and geochemical indicators of melt reactions in pelitic migmatites and leucogranites

Charlie Oldman, Clare Warren, Nigel Harris, et al.

Published: 2024-05-31
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Anatexis in orogenic systems has wide-reaching implications for the structure, mechanical strength, and later exhumation of the middle crust during orogeny. Previous studies of melt reactions in metapelitic rocks have identified three major melt-producing reactions: fluid-present incongruent melting, fluid-absent muscovite dehydration melting, and fluid-absent biotite dehydration melting. Due to [...]

Unique composition and evolutionary histories of large low velocity provinces

James Panton, J. Huw Davies, Paula Koelemeijer, et al.

Published: 2024-05-31
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Other Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The two ``large low velocity provinces'' (LLVPs) are broad, low seismic wave speed anomalies in Earth's lower mantle beneath Africa and the Pacific Ocean. Recent research suggests they contain relatively dense subducted oceanic crust (SOC), but the relative concentration of this recycled material within them is an open question. Using simulations of 3-D global mantle circulation over the past 1 [...]

Ensemble Kalman, Adaptive Gaussian Mixture, and Particle Flow Filters for Optimized Earthquake Forecasting

Hamed Ali Diab-Montero, Andreas S. Stordal, Peter Jan van Leeuwen, et al.

Published: 2024-06-01
Subjects: Dynamical Systems, Geophysics and Seismology, Other Statistics and Probability

Probabilistic forecasts are regarded as the highest achievable goal when predicting earthquakes, but limited information on stress, strength, and governing parameters of the seismogenic sources affects their accuracy. Ensemble data-assimilation methods, such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), estimate these variables by combining physics-based models and observations.While the EnKF has [...]

Integrating Conversational AI Agents for Enhanced Water Quality Analytics: Development of a Novel Data Expert System

Gabriel Michael Vald, Muhammed Yusuf Sermet, Jerry Mount, et al.

Published: 2024-06-01
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Civil Engineering, Databases and Information Systems, Environmental Engineering, Hydrology, Software Engineering

Despite advancements in environmental monitoring, the gap between data collection and user-friendly data interpretation remains a significant challenge, especially in the domain of water quality management. This paper introduces the Artificial Intelligence Data Expert (AI-DE), a novel data analytics system that is designed to facilitate on-demand analysis of time-series sensor data related to [...]

Understanding the Importance of Stellar Birth and Evolution for a Comprehensive Understanding of the Sun and Other Stars

Sutharsika Kumar Kalaiselvi, Victoria Choi

Published: 2024-09-03
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Stars are massive, luminous celestial bodies that are primarily composed of hydrogen and helium gas, as well as other trace elements. Considered as the building blocks of galaxies, including our own Milky Way, and play a crucial role in the formation and evolution of the universe. In the context of the solar system, the Sun is the most important star. It is the center of the solar system, around [...]

A myriad of melt inclusions: a 3D view into the volcanic time capsules of Colli Albani Volcano (Italy)

Corin Jorgenson, Michael Stueckelberger, Giovanni Fevola, et al.

Published: 2024-06-06
Subjects: Geology, Volcanology

Melt inclusions are small parcels of magma trapped in crystals, which hold key information about pre-eruptive magmatic conditions including volatile content and melt chemistry. We focus here on melt inclusions for a nuanced view of the magmatic pre-eruptive state of Colli Albani, a mafic-alkaline ignimbrite forming system in central Italy. Recent years have seen an increased amount of research [...]

Investigating the Dynamic History of a Promontory Ice Rise using Radar Data

M. Reza Ershadi, Reinhard Drews, Jean-Louis TISON, et al.

Published: 2024-06-07
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Glaciology

Ice rises hold valuable records revealing the ice dynamics and climatic history of Antarctic coastal areas from the Last Glacial Maximum to today. This history is often reconstructed from isochrone radar stratigraphy and simulations focusing on Raymond arch evolution beneath the divides. However, this relies on complex ice-flow models where many parameters are unconstrained by observations. Our [...]

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