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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Hydrology

Caravan-Qual: A global scale integration of water quality observations into a large-sample hydrology dataset

Edward Russell Jones, Frederik Kratzert, Michelle T H van Vliet

Published: 2025-12-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Protecting and improving surface water quality is contingent upon understanding the trends and spatial patterns in physical, biological, and chemical conditions and their underlying drivers. This requires observational data, spanning a diverse range of water quality constituents, coupled with contextual environmental data. Here we present the first global-scale integration of water quality into [...]

The puzzling yet tractable diversity of global groundwater sustainability challenges

Xander Huggins, Tom Gleeson, James S. Famiglietti, et al.

Published: 2025-12-04
Subjects: Geographic Information Sciences, Hydrology, Natural Resources and Conservation, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Physical and Environmental Geography, Remote Sensing, Sustainability, Water Resource Management

Global groundwater sustainability is a grand challenge that requires diverse approaches to account for local contexts. Yet, global groundwater assessments often focus solely on aggregate physical trends in storage, levels, and fluxes, overlooking the diversity of social-ecological functions provided by groundwater and their associated sustainability challenges. Here, we introduce groundwater [...]

Evaluating Trade-offs Between Irrigation Profit and Streamflow Depletion Using a Hydro-Economic Model

Boyao Tian, Andrea Brookfield, Margaret Insley

Published: 2025-12-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Water Resource Management

Groundwater overexploitation can reduce flows in connected rivers through streamflow depletion, which threatens ecosystems and downstream users who often rely on these flows for their economic wellbeing. Quantifying groundwater-surface water interactions and their economic trade-offs remains challenging for sustainable water management. This study integrates analytical groundwater and streamflow [...]

Spatiotemporal connections in high precipitation events in Iran: Application of complex networks

Mahnoor Roohinia, Banafsheh Zahraie

Published: 2025-11-29
Subjects: Environmental Education, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Studies, Hydraulic Engineering, Hydrology, Other Civil and Environmental Engineering, Remote Sensing, Spatial Science, Water Resource Management

Study region A relatively large area covering east and west Asia, north Africa, and Europe. Study focus This study examines the complex correlation patterns of high precipitation events in Iran and the rest of the study region. For this purpose, the Complex Networks Theory is used to find the links between high precipitation events in Iran and the rest of the study area with different time lags. [...]

Assessing pluvial flood hazard potential using multi-criteria decision making and iterative ensemble smoothing in New York City, Long Island, and Long Island Sound watersheds

Robert J. Welk, Kalle L Jahn, Liv M. Herdman, et al.

Published: 2025-11-25
Subjects: Hydrology

Exposure to pluvial floods poses significant hazards, and predicting flood locations can be challenging. We developed a metric that quantifies relative flood hazard across Long Island, New York and the watersheds surrounding Long Island Sound. Based on surface topography, land surface characteristics, and historical weather patterns, we identified seven factors with readily available data that [...]

Wetter Winters, Drier Summers: Quantifying the change in hydrological response around the Puget Sound area using the wflow_sbm hydrological model and CMIP6 projections

Joost Buitink, Brendan Dalmijn, Kai Parker, et al.

Published: 2025-11-21
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Climate change is expected to impact hydrological regimes worldwide, including the Pacific Northwest of the United States. This study investigates how climate change will affect river discharge in the Puget Sound region of the State of Washington, with a focus on King and Pierce Counties. We simulated river discharge under historical and future conditions using the physically based, spatially [...]

A generalized additive mixed-effect modeling approach for characterizing Sentinel-2 surface reflectances of visible light from Torch Lake in Antrim County, Michigan, 2019-2025

David J Holtschlag

Published: 2025-11-18
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Earth Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Hydrology, Longitudinal Data Analysis and Time Series, Statistical Methodology, Statistics and Probability

A generalized additive model (GAM) and three generalized additive mixed-effect models (GAMMs) were developed and compared to describe variations of surface reflectances of visible light from Torch Lake in the blue, green, and red bands from Sentinel 2 satellite imagery. All models included fixed effects associated with water-depth intervals, satellite orbits, trend, and smooth effects associated [...]

FEMA Phase-Out? Catastrophic Extremes Limit Decentralization of U.S. Flood Insurance

Adam Nayak, Mengjie Zhang, Pierre Gentine, et al.

Published: 2025-11-13
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Climate, Hydrology, Meteorology, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Risk Analysis, Sustainability, Systems Engineering

The U.S. National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) faces growing solvency and affordability pressures amid proposals to decentralize FEMA and shift disaster management to states. Many catastrophic floods span state boundaries, exposing multiple decentralized insurance pools simultaneously. Using a path-independent simulation framework that integrates risk-based premiums, [...]

Reducing the global human footprint on lake water quality near river inlets

Benjamin M Kraemer, Sami Domisch, Jaime R. Garcia Marquez, et al.

Published: 2025-11-12
Subjects: Fresh Water Studies, Hydrology, Other Environmental Sciences, Remote Sensing, Water Resource Management

Human activities have degraded lake water quality globally, leading to toxic algae proliferation and anoxia. The spatial variability of these impacts within lakes and the potential for targeted nutrient pollution reduction to improve water quality remain however underexplored at the global scale. Using 742 million chlorophyll-a (chl-a) estimates from six satellite sensors (daily, 1–4 km [...]

Relict landscapes and fluvial landforms: Catastrophic outflow following a major Late Messinian base-level fall

Dia Ninkabou, Julien Gargani, Christian Gorini, et al.

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Analysis, Earth Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Mathematics, Physics, Stratigraphy

During the Messinian Salinity Crisis (MSC), the entire Mediterranean basin experienced deep canyon incision along its margins as the result of sea-level variations and rapidly increasing salinity. Yet, the processes and water sources capable of generating such dramatic incision have never been quantitatively demonstrated. Using high-resolution 3-D seismic reflection data and paleo-stream network [...]

Unified Cross-Modal Learning for Hydrological Processes Using Multi-Task Transformer Framework

Bekir Zahit Demiray, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2025-10-31
Subjects: Environmental Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Hydraulic Engineering, Hydrology, Water Resource Management

Most deep learning studies in hydrology adopt single-task frameworks that address individual variables such as rainfall or streamflow independently, limiting opportunities for shared learning across related environmental processes. This study introduces a unified multi-task, multi-modal deep learning framework capable of jointly performing 24-hour horizon streamflow forecasting and rainfall [...]

Defining Reasonable Use in Transboundary Water Governance

Elfatih A. B. Eltahir, Yeon-Woo Choi, Shafiqul Islam

Published: 2025-10-22
Subjects: Hydrology

Ambiguity in the principle of “equitable and reasonable use,” central to Article 5 of the 1997 UN Watercourses Convention, has long hindered transboundary water negotiations. Without a clear definition, states invoke this principle to justify conflicting claims, prolonging transboundary water disputes across the world. We propose a sequenced interpretation: first define reasonable use [...]

Multi-Task Learning as a Step Toward Building General-Purpose Hydrological Forecasting Systems

Bekir Zahit Demiray, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2025-10-21
Subjects: Environmental Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Hydraulic Engineering, Hydrology, Multivariate Analysis

Streamflow and soil moisture are two critical variables in the hydrological cycle, linked through infiltration, runoff generation, and groundwater recharge. Traditional forecasting approaches often treat them independently, overlooking interdependencies and limiting predictive skill. This study investigates Multi-Task Learning (MTL) for daily prediction of both variables using the CAMELS dataset [...]

fasterRaster: GIS in R using GRASS for large rasters and vectors

Adam B. Smith

Published: 2025-10-17
Subjects: Geomorphology, Hydrology, Other Earth Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences

Within the R ecosystem, packages like terra and sf are the go-to solutions for most geospatial analyses, yet can struggle with large rasters and vectors. The Geographic Resources Analysis Support System, or GRASS, offers solutions that are often more efficient for large data. However, using GRASS through R requires users to become familiar with GRASS-specific syntax and data constructs. The [...]

Sustainable Groundwater Decisions: Hydro-Economic Model Applications to Irrigation in Contrasting Environmental Conditions

Boyao Tian, Andrea Brookfield, Margaret Insley, et al.

Published: 2025-10-16
Subjects: Agriculture, Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Groundwater is important for global agriculture but increasing populations and rising food demand are placing significant pressure on its sustainable use for irrigation. Effective, financially viable irrigation management strategies are urgently needed. This study applies a farm-level hydro-economic model to two contrasting sites: the High Plains Aquifer (HPA), a deep, overexploited, unconfined [...]

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