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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Hydrology

Higher potential compound flood risk in Northern Europe under anthropogenic climate change

Emanuele Bevacqua, Douglas Maraun, Michalis I. Vousdoukas, et al.

Published: 2018-07-18
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Multivariate Analysis, Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Other Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Other Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physics, Statistics and Probability

The published version of this article is available at https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/5/9/eaaw5531. Compound flooding (CF) is an extreme event taking place in low-lying coastal areas as a result of co-occurring high sea level and large amounts of runoff, caused by precipitation. The impact from the two hazards occurring individually can be significantly lower than the result of their [...]

Using flood-excess volume to show that upscaling beaver dams for protection against extreme floods proves unrealistic

Onno Bokhove, Mark Kelmanson, Thomas Kent

Published: 2018-07-10
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Other Applied Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The questions we address in the present article are the following: (i) whether (extreme) river floods can be prevented or seriously mitigated by the introduction of beavers in the wild, and (ii) for which river catchments does flood mitigation by beaver activity (not) work? By using the concept of flood-excess volume (FEV) for four rivers in the UK, in the context of five (extreme) UK flood [...]

On using flood-excess volume to assess natural flood management, exemplified for extreme 2007 and 2015 floods in Yorkshire

Onno Bokhove, Mark Kelmanson, Thomas Kent

Published: 2018-07-10
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Other Applied Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

This paper offers a protocol for conducting a quantified assessment of the relative merits of both existing and proposed methods of Natural Flood Management (NFM). Assessment is based on the rarely used concept of flood-excess volume (FEV), which approximately quantifies the volume of water one wishes to eliminate via flood-mitigation schemes, and is exemplified using publicly available [...]

On using flood-excess volume in flood mitigation, exemplified for the River Aire Boxing Day Flood of 2015

Onno Bokhove, Mark Kelmanson, Thomas Kent

Published: 2018-07-10
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Other Applied Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The goals of this paper are threefold, namely to: (i) define the rarely used concept of flood-excess volume (FEV) as the flood volume above a chosen river-level threshold of flooding; (ii) show how to estimate FEV for the Boxing Day Flood of 2015 of the River Aire in the UK; and, (iii) analyse the use of FEV in evaluating a hypothetical flood-alleviation scheme (FASII+) for the River [...]

Evaluation of open-access global digital elevation models (AW3D30, SRTM and ASTER) for flood modelling purposes

Laurent Courty, Julio César Soriano-Monzalvo, Adrián Pedrozo-Acuña

Published: 2018-06-25
Subjects: Aerospace Engineering, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Computational Engineering, Computer Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Hydraulic Engineering, Hydrology, Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Water Resource Management

Digital Elevation Models (DEM) are a key piece of information for the accurate representation of topographic controls exerted in hydrologic and hydraulic models. Many practitioners rely on open-access global datasets usually obtained from space-borne survey due to the cost and sparse coverage of sources of higher resolution. In may 2016 the Japan Aerospace eXploration Agency publicly released an [...]

Insights into agricultural influences and weathering processes from major ion patters

Robert van Geldern, Peter Schulte, Michael Mader, et al.

Published: 2018-06-05
Subjects: Chemistry, Earth Sciences, Environmental Chemistry, Environmental Sciences, Geochemistry, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Water Resource Management

Karst areas and their catchments pose a great challenge for protection because fast conduit flow results in low natural attenuation of anthropogenic contaminants. Studies of the hydrochemistry of karst sources and river solutes are an important tool for securing and managing water resources. A study of the geochemical downriver evolution of the Wiesent River and its tributaries, located in a [...]

Combined geophysical measurements provide evidence for unfrozen water in permafrost in the Adventdalen valley in Svalbard

Kristina Keating, Andrew Binley, Victor Bense, et al.

Published: 2018-05-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Hydrology, Other Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Quantifying the unfrozen water content of permafrost is critical for assessing impacts of surface warming on the reactivation of groundwater flow and release of greenhouse gasses from degrading permafrost. Unfrozen water content was determined along a ~12 km transect in the Adventdalen valley in Svalbard, an area with continuous permafrost, using surface nuclear magnetic resonance and controlled [...]

Rainfall-Runoff modelling using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks

Frederik Kratzert, Daniel Klotz, Claire Brenner, et al.

Published: 2018-05-01
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Rainfall-runoff modelling is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology. Various approaches exist, ranging from physically based over conceptual to fully data driven models. In this paper, we propose a novel data driven approach, using the Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) network, a special type of recurrent neural networks. The advantage of the LSTM is its ability to learn long-term [...]

Tracking CO2 plumes in clay-rich rock by distributed fiber optic strain sensing (DFOSS): a laboratory demonstration

Yi Zhang, Ziqiu Xue, Hyuck Park, et al.

Published: 2018-04-26
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Fluid Dynamics, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Hydrology, Mineral Physics, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Optics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physics

Monitoring the migration of pore pressure, deformation, and saturation plumes with effective tools is important for the storage and utilization of fluids in underground reservoirs, such as geological stores of carbon dioxide (CO2) and natural gas. Such tools would also verify the security of the fluid contained reservoir–caprock system. Utilizing the swelling strain attributed to pressure [...]

River deltas as Multiplex networks: A framework for studying multi-process multi-scale connectivity via coupled-network theory

Alejandro Tejedor, Anthony Longjas, Paola Passalacqua, et al.

Published: 2018-04-14
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Dynamic Systems, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Mathematics, Non-linear Dynamics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physics, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics

Transport of water, nutrients or energy fluxes in many natural or coupled human-natural systems occurs along different pathways that often have a wide range of transport timescales and might exchange fluxes with each other dynamically (e.g., surface-subsurface). Understanding this type of transport is key to predicting how landscapes will change under changing forcing. Here, we present a general [...]

Using climate to relate water-discharge and area in modern and ancient catchments

Christian Haug Eide, Reidar Müller, William Helland-Hansen

Published: 2018-04-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy

Models relating sediment-supply to catchment-properties are important in order to use the geological record to deduce landscape evolution and the interplay between tectonics and climate. Water-discharge (Qw) is an important factor in the widely used BQwART-model of Syvitski and Milliman (2007), which relates sediment load to a set of measureable catchment parameters. Although many of the factors [...]

Reporting negative results to stimulate experimental hydrology

Tim van Emmerik, Andrea Popp, Anna Solcerova, et al.

Published: 2018-03-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Experimental work in hydrology is in decline. Based on a community survey, Blume et al. showed that the hydrological community associates experimental work with greater risks. One of the main issues with experimental work is the higher chance on negative results (defined here as when the expected or wanted result was not observed despite careful experimental design, planning and execution), [...]

Climatic influences on the offset between d18O of cave drip waters and precipitation inferred from global monitoring data

Andy Baker, Wuhui Duan, Mark Olaf Cuthbert, et al.

Published: 2018-03-09
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Geochemistry, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Speleology

We present a meta-analysis of data from 22 caves and 96 drip sites from 4 continents where both the cave drip water d18O and the weighted mean d18O of precipitation have been measured. Drip water d18O is similar to the weighted mean d18O of precipitation (within ± 0.3 ‰) for sites where mean annual temperature (MAT) is less than 15 °C (85% of drips where MAT < 15 °C) and an aridity index [...]

Tracking Groundwater Levels using the Ambient Seismic Field

Timothy Hugh Clements, Marine Denolle

Published: 2018-02-28
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Aquifers are vital groundwater reservoirs for residential, agricultural, and industrial activities worldwide. Tracking their state with high temporal and spatial resolution is critical for water resource management at the regional scale yet is rarely achieved from a single dataset. Here, we show that variations in groundwater levels can be mapped using perturbations in seismic velocity (dv/v). [...]

Groundwater controls on post-fire permafrost thaw: Water and energy balance effects

Sam Zipper, Pierrick Lamontagne-Halle, Jeffrey M. McKenzie, et al.

Published: 2018-02-22
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Fire frequency and severity are increasing in high latitude regions, but the degree to which groundwater flow impacts the response of permafrost to fire remains poorly understood. Here, we use the Anaktuvuk River Fire (Alaska, USA) as an example for simulating groundwater-permafrost interactions following fire. We identify key thermal and hydrologic parameters controlling permafrost response to [...]

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