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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Other Earth Sciences

Novel Data-driven High-Frequency Mass Change Models from GRACE orbit residuals

Michal Cuadrat-Grzybowski, Pieter N. A. M. VIsser, Frederik Jacobs, et al.

Published: 2026-06-12
Subjects: Climate, Earth Sciences, Fresh Water Studies, Glaciology, Hydrology, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Other Earth Sciences, Other Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We present a fully data-driven framework for transforming residual K-band range-rate (KBRR) data from GRACE into 5-day mass change models expressed in Equivalent Water Height (EWH). The approach first derives residual range and Line-of-Sight Gravity Differences (LGDs) from monthly post-fit residual range-rates and combines them with 5-day post-fit residuals. A hybrid formulation, merging LGD- and [...]

The influence of speed and scale of carbon dioxide removal on overshoot peak temperature and duration

Nina Rynne, Michael Bode, Melanie E Roberts, et al.

Published: 2026-06-11
Subjects: Other Earth Sciences, Other Physical Sciences and Mathematics

CO2 emissions are pushing global temperatures higher, with the Paris Agreement temperature target of limiting warming to no more than 1.5°C above the preindustrial average likely to be exceeded within the next two decades. Overshooting this target before reducing global temperature by the end of the century is increasingly viewed as a potential pathway to still meet the Paris Agreement target, [...]

Subsurface advective flow unveils the architecture of Earth’s crustal biosphere

Donato Giovannelli, Karen G Lloyd

Published: 2026-06-09
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Environmental Microbiology and Microbial Ecology Life Sciences, Geology, Microbiology, Other Earth Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences

The subsurface biosphere is one of Earth’s largest microbial reservoirs, yet its spatial extent remains poorly constrained due to limited direct access. Here we propose using the integrated environmental readouts encoded in deep subsurface fluids to shift from simply mapping where life can be detected to constraining where life can exist. Deeply-sourced advective fluids provide an integrated [...]

Two decades of kilometer-scale daily PM2.5 from satellite observations and machine learning reveal geographically diverging exposure in Ghana

Abhishek Anand, Joe A Amooli, Selina Amoah, et al.

Published: 2026-06-06
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Atmospheric Sciences, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Public Health, Environmental Sciences, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Other Earth Sciences, Remote Sensing, Spatial Science

Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major contributor to global burden of disease, yet air quality data remain sparse in many low- and middle-income countries, limiting nationwide monitoring and effective policy development. We address this gap by developing a high-resolution gridded (1 km × 1 km) dataset for daily surface PM2.5 concentrations in Ghana from 2005 to 2025 by training [...]

Trapped Lee-Wave Resonance Determines Antarctic Megadune Wavelength

Shannon T. Wong

Published: 2026-05-23
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Categorical Data Analysis, Design of Experiments and Sample Surveys, Earth Sciences, Fluid Dynamics, Geology, Geomorphology, Geophysics and Seismology, Glaciology, Mineral Physics, Other Earth Sciences, Paleontology, Physics, Planetary Geology, Planetary Geomorphology, Planetary Geophysics and Seismology, Planetary Glaciology, Planetary Hydrology, Planetary Mineral Physics, Planetary Sciences, Planetary Sedimentology, Sedimentology, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models, Statistics and Probability, Stratigraphy

Snow megadunes cover 5×105 km2 of the East Antarctic plateau, biasing surface mass balance estimates and overprinting ice-core signals—yet their 2–5 km wavelength has lacked a quantitative selection mechanism for two decades. We first falsify the standard formula λ∗ = 2πU0/N through a calibration-free spatial test: eight REMA 2 m tiles across two independent locations at 81.5–82.0°S show no [...]

Geodynamic Model Description for Ptolemy’s Germania Magna

Sven Mildner

Published: 2026-05-13
Subjects: Analysis, Astrophysics and Astronomy, Dynamical Systems, Dynamic Systems, Earth Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Geophysics and Seismology, Mathematics, Other Applied Mathematics, Other Astrophysics and Astronomy, Other Earth Sciences, Other Planetary Sciences, Planetary Geology, Planetary Geophysics and Seismology, Statistical Models, Statistics and Probability, Stratigraphy, Tectonics and Structure, The Sun and the Solar System, Volcanology

This model proposes that the well-documented geodynamic and climatic disruption of the 6th century AD involved a reactivation of the ancient Caledonian Deformation Front (CDF) and the Trans-European Suture Zone (TESZ), most likely triggered by cosmic events in the form of impacts or airbursts. Large-scale inversion tectonics, driven by Alpine compressive forces, are argued to have caused [...]

TUD-L3-EWH_UNC-GRACE: A Global Level‑3 GRACE(-FO) EWH Uncertainty Product

Michal Cuadrat-Grzybowski, Pieter N. A. M. VIsser, Joao G. Teixeira da Encarnacao

Published: 2026-05-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Glaciology, Hydrology, Other Earth Sciences

We present TUD-L3-EWH\_UNC-GRACE, a globally gridded Level-3 GRACE(-FO) equivalent water height (EWH) data product providing an extensive characterisation of uncertainty for direct use in Earth system research. Unlike conventional approaches that either require propagation of full normal matrices or rely on empirical assumptions regarding temporal and spatial correlations, the dataset combines [...]

The Role of Humidity in Past and Future Fire Weather Trends in the Contiguous United States

Grant Buster, Tianqi Zhang, Jiafu Mao, et al.

Published: 2026-05-06
Subjects: Other Earth Sciences, Risk Analysis

There has been evidence of increasing fire activity in the United States since approximately the 1980s, now estimated to cause tens to hundreds of billions of dollars of damage per year. Weather is one of the key drivers of fire activity, with hot, dry, and windy weather commonly associated with high-risk conditions. We are still, however, developing an understanding of how these weather [...]

Airborne imaging spectrometer measurements of methane releases under turbulent conditions

Manuel Queisser, Kirill Volter, Bilal Mohd, et al.

Published: 2026-04-24
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Other Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physics

Methane plume detection and quantification from airborne and spaceborne platforms offers a promising approach for monitoring localized greenhouse gas emissions. Its performance must be demonstrated under realistic but controlled conditions. An airborne demonstrator of a compact shortwave infrared imaging spectrometer developed for the AIRMO Earth observation mission was therefore evaluated during [...]

Reconstructing Land Surface Temperature for Cloud-Covered Regions: A Review of Methods

Marwa Alfouly, Smajil Halilovic, Niklas Boers, et al.

Published: 2026-04-16
Subjects: Climate, Other Earth Sciences

Understanding surface thermal conditions is essential for studying ecosystem responses, hydrological processes, and climate-driven environmental change. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key parameter for studying a wide range of environmental and climatic processes. Although remote sensing technologies enable the acquisition of LST data on a global scale, satellite observations are frequently [...]

Agent-based Modelling of Microbialite Formation through Sedimentation and Precipitation Dynamics

Niall Rodgers, Laurane Fogret, Mark Van Zuilen, et al.

Published: 2026-04-13
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Other Earth Sciences, Paleobiology, Paleontology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy

Fossil microbialites resulting from the interplay of sedimentation and microbially induced precipitation are among the oldest evidence of life on Earth and help geobiologists interpret many sedimentary environments. However, the factors governing their internal structure and external morphology are still poorly understood. Additionally, abiotic processes can mimic the morphology of some [...]

Stress testing insurance market stability under climate risk

Simona Meiler, Steven I Jackson, Kerry Emanuel, et al.

Published: 2026-04-02
Subjects: Environmental Engineering, Other Earth Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences, Risk Analysis

Climate change, urban development, and evolving insurance markets threaten the stability of disaster-risk financing. Homeowners insurance is embedded in a layered network of reinsurers, capital markets, and public backstops that can be overwhelmed by extreme events. We develop a probabilistic risk propagation model linking tropical cyclone wind and flood losses to Florida’s residential insurance [...]

Platinum-Group Element systematics in the North Atlantic Igneous Province: new insights from Northern Irish and Irish magmatism

Anna Morrison, Michael Stock, Mark Cooper, et al.

Published: 2026-04-02
Subjects: Geochemistry, Geology, Other Earth Sciences, Volcanology

The North Atlantic Igneous Province (NAIP) is one of the most prospective regions for Ni-Cu-Platinum-Group Element (PGE) mineralisation in Europe, and recent studies have discovered elevated PGE concentrations within its early lavas and minor intrusions comprising the British and Irish Palaeogene Igneous Province (BIPIP). This study presents an extended digital map of the regional mafic dyke [...]

InSARLite: An Open-Source GUI for Streamlined InSAR Time Series Processing

Muhammad Badar Munir, Hakan Tanyas, Islam Fadel, et al.

Published: 2026-03-27
Subjects: Graphics and Human Computer Interfaces, Other Earth Sciences, Programming Languages and Compilers

Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) is a powerful technique for measuring surface deformation at high spatial resolution over large areas. Despite its demonstrated value across geohazards and Earth-surface processes, broader adoption is often limited by the complexity of end-to-end processing workflows and the technical overhead required to execute them. To reduce this barrier, we [...]

Bridging Natural Language and Desktop GIS Automation with LLM-Powered GIS Plugins

Fehér Zsolt Zoltán

Published: 2026-03-09
Subjects: Other Earth Sciences, Software Engineering

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) are indispensable for spatial analysis and remote sensing, but still, scripting interfaces that enable automation (ArcPy, PyQGIS, and SNAP GPT) impose a steep technical barrier on domain scientists who are not software developers. We present GIS~Chat, an open-source suite of three plugins that embed a Large Language Model (LLM) chat panel directly inside [...]

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