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Preprints

There are 6976 Preprints listed.

Including Earth-structure uncertainties in nonlinear moment-tensor estimations

Hannes Vasyura-Bathke, Jan Dettmer, Rishabh Dutta, et al.

Published: 2020-05-27
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Earthquake-source parameters can be estimated from seismic waveforms. Since these data indirectly observe the deformation process, parameters of a physical model that quantifies the deformation process are inferred through the inverse problem; which is under-determined. This requires several assumptions to be made about Earth structure and other aspects that affect the source parameter [...]

A multi-control climate policy process for a trusted decision maker

Henri Francois Drake, Ronald L. Rivest, John Deutch, et al.

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Climate, Environmental Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sustainability

Persistent greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions threaten global climate goals and have prompted consideration of climate controls supplementary to emissions mitigation. We present an idealized model of optimally-controlled climate change, which is complementary to simpler analytical models and more comprehensive Integrated Assessment Models. We show that the four methods of controlling climate damage– [...]

River sediment geochemistry as a conservative mixture of source regions: Observations and predictions from the Cairngorms, UK

Alex George Lipp, Gareth G Roberts, Charles J. B. Gowing, et al.

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The elemental composition of sediments in rivers is the product of physical and chemical erosion of rocks, which is then transported across drainage networks. A corollary is that fluvial sedimentary geochemistry can be used to understand geologic, climatic and geomorphic processes. We develop a simple methodology to predict elemental compositions of river sediments from digital elevation data and [...]

Cave airflow patterns control calcite dissolution rates within a cave stream: Blowing Springs Cave, Arkansas, USA

Matthew D Covington, Katherine Knierim, Holly A. Young, et al.

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Geochemistry, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Erosion rates within streams vary dramatically over time, as differences in discharge and sediment load enhance or inhibit erosion processes. Within cave streams, and other bedrock channels incising soluble rocks, changes in water chemistry are an important factor in determining how erosion rates will vary in both time and space. Prior studies within surface streams, springs, and caves suggest [...]

Deep ductile shear localization facilitates near-orthogonal strike-slip faulting in a thin brittle lithosphere

Chao Liang, Jean Paul Ampuero, Daniel Pino Munoz

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure

Some active fault systems comprise near-orthogonal conjugate strike-slip faults, as highlighted by the 2019 Ridgecrest and the 2012 Indian Ocean earthquake sequences. In conventional failure theory, orthogonal faulting requires a pressure-insensitive rock strength, which is unlikely in the brittle lithosphere. Here, we conduct 3D numerical simulations to test the hypothesis that near-orthogonal [...]

Predictive modelling of envelope flood extents using geomorphic and climatic-hydrologic catchment characteristics

Ricardo Tavares da Costa, Stefano Zanardo, Stefano Bagli, et al.

Published: 2020-05-26
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

A topographic index (flood descriptor) that combines the scaling of bankfull depth with morphology was shown to describe the tendency of an area to be flooded. However, this approach depends on the quality and availability of flood maps and assumes that outcomes can be directly extrapolated and downscaled. This work attempts to relax these problems and answer two questions: 1) Can functional [...]

Quantification and interpretation of the climate variability record

Anna S von der Heydt, Peter Ashwin, Charles D. Camp, et al.

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Earth Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

This paper is currently in review for Global and Planetary Change. \\ The spectral view of variability is a compelling and adaptable tool for understanding variability of the climate. In the Mitchell (1976) seminal paper, it was used to express, on one graph with log scales, a very wide range of climate variations from millions of years to days. The spectral approach is particularly useful for [...]

Upper mantle mush zones beneath low melt flux ocean island volcanoes: insights from Isla Floreana, Galápagos

Matthew Lloyd Morgan Gleeson, Sally Gibson, Michael J. Stock

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Volcanology

The physicochemical characteristics of sub-volcanic magma storage regions have important implications for magma system dynamics and pre-eruptive behaviour. The architecture of magma storage regions located directly above high buoyancy flux mantle plumes (such as Kīlauea, Hawai’i and Fernandina, Galápagos) are relatively well understood. However, far fewer constraints exist on the nature of magma [...]

Evaluating UK natural hazards: the national risk assessment

Michael J. Stock, Jonathan Wentworth

Published: 2020-04-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Despite its relatively temperate climate and stable geography, natural hazards present multiple risks to human activity in the UK. These range from small-scale local occurrences, such as landslides, through regional incidents, such as flooding, to major high impact, low probability events, such as space weather. The impacts of such hazards can be wide-ranging but may include disruption to [...]

Simultaneous fall and flow during pyroclastic eruptions: a novel proximal hybrid facies.

Natasha Joanne Dowey, Rebecca Williams

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Volcanology

The deposits of Plinian and sub-Plinian eruptions provide critical insights into past volcanic events and inform numerical models that aim to mitigate against future hazards. However, pyroclastic deposits are often considered from either a fallout or pyroclastic density current (PDC) perspective, with little attention given to facies exhibiting characteristics of both processes. Such hybrid units [...]

Evaporative Resistance is of Equal Importance as Surface Albedo in High Latitude Surface Temperatures Due to Cloud Feedbacks

Jinhyuk E Kim, Marysa M. Lague, Sam Pennypacker, et al.

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Climate, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Arctic vegetation is known to influence Arctic surface temperatures through albedo. However, it is less clear how plant evaporative resistance and albedo independently influence surface climate at high latitudes. We use surface properties derived from two common Arctic tree types to simulate the climate response to a change in land surface albedo and evaporative resistance in factorial [...]

Sensitivity of evapotranspiration deficit index to its parameters and temporal scales

Frank Joseph Wambura

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Water Resource Management

Sound estimates of drought characteristics are very important for planning intervention measures in drought-prone areas. Among many drought indices used in estimation of drought characteristics in many parts of the world, evapotranspiration deficit index (ETDI) is increasingly used to estimate agricultural drought. However, in most studies ETDI has been computed using the specific ETDI formula. [...]

Fault-controlled base-of-scarp deposits

Domenico Chiarella, Walter Capella, Sergio G. Longhitano, et al.

Published: 2020-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology

The term base-of-scarp is proposed for those submarine deposits controlled by a fault and physically disconnected from their more proximal counterpart located on the footwall, although genetically linked to it. These systems differ from conventional fault-controlled deltas, such as shoal- and Gilbert-type, because they are entirely subaqueous and lack equilibrium morphology — a steady-state in [...]

Oceanic high-frequency global seismic wave propagation with realistic bathymetry

Benjamin Fernando, Kuangdai Leng, Tarje Nissen-Meyer

Published: 2020-05-27
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We present a new approach to simulate high-frequency seismic wave propagation in and under the oceans. Based upon AxiSEM3D (Leng et al. 2019), this method sup- ports a fluid ocean layer, with associated water-depth phases and seafloor topography (bathymetry). The computational efficiency and flexibility of this formulation means that high-frequency calculations may be carried out with relatively [...]

Fate of intertidal microphytobenthos nitrogen under enhanced nutrient availability: Evidence for reduced nitrogen retention revealed through 15N-labeling

Philip Riekenberg, Joanne Oakes, Bradley Eyre

Published: 2020-05-26
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Sediment microbial communities are an important sink for both organic and inorganic nitrogen (N), with microphytobenthos (MPB) biomass having the largest contribution to short-term N-assimilation and retention. Coastal waters are increasingly subject to anthropogenic nutrient enrichment, but the effect of this nutrient enrichment on microbial assimilation, processing, and fate of MPB-derived N [...]

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