Preprints
There are 7999 Preprints listed.
Percolation Model for Universal Scaling of Vegetation Net Primary Productivity with Climate Variables
Published: 2023-05-19
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
We show that a quantitative, physically-based model of water balance, combined with a model for the dependence of net primary productivity (NPP) of vegetation on evapotranspiration E leads to the universal scaling of NPP with the climate variables, namely, precipitation P and potential evapotranspiration Ep. The model for NPP is based on percolation theory. The water balance is derived based on [...]
Unravelling the morphogenesis of coastal terraces at Cape Laundi (Sumba Island, Indonesia): insights from numerical models
Published: 2023-05-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences
The morphology of coastal sequences provides fundamental observations to unravel past sea level (SL) variations. For that purpose, converting morphometric observations into a SL datum requires understanding their morphogenesis. The long-lasting sequence of coral reef terraces (CRTs) at Cape Laundi (Sumba Island, Indonesia) could serve as a benchmark. Yet, it epitomizes a pitfall that challenges [...]
Evaluating the spatial patterns of NOx emissions in polluted areas with TROPOMI NO2
Published: 2023-05-18
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Environmental Health and Protection, Environmental Monitoring
Satellite datasets are increasingly used to evaluate NOx emissions inventories. Such studies often require the use of a chemical transport model or a complex statistical framework to account for meteorological factors that can complicate the comparison. Here, we apply a novel method to compare inventory-based emissions directly to Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) NO2 data without a [...]
Maxar’s WorldView-3 Enables Low-Concentration Methane Detection from Space
Published: 2023-05-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology
Methane is large contributor to climate change; for this reason, detecting and eliminating sources of methane emissions is a key element to minimizing the effects of on-going climate change. While there are a variety of methods currently used to detect methane emissions, ranging from ground-based sensors to aerial sensors like drones and aircraft, satellite detections provide a broad-area [...]
Mind the gap: will slow progress on CO2 storage undermine net zero by 2050?
Published: 2023-05-19
Subjects: Engineering
A global path to net zero requires the permanent storage of carbon dioxide to reduce and remove atmospheric greenhouse gas emissions. We present an analysis of the gap between the CO2 storage required to meet net zero targets and the slow maturation of regional storage resources. We estimate that European storage rates need to increase 30-to-100x by 2030 to meet net zero by 2050. China and North [...]
Carbon Utilization and Storage through Rehabilitation of Groundwater Wells
Published: 2023-05-20
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Climate, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Geochemistry, Hydrology, Longitudinal Data Analysis and Time Series, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models, Statistics and Probability
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations (UN), rise in atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) due to anthropogenic factors is considered as the primary driver for global climate change. With almost every major corporation around the world working towards their “net-zero goals”, it is becoming increasingly important to have more [...]
Strategic Logic of Unilateral Climate Intervention
Published: 2023-05-22
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, International and Area Studies, Other Statistics and Probability, Risk Analysis
Climate change and unabated greenhouse gas emissions are increasing the possibility that the world will turn to climate intervention to curb ever-increasing global temperatures. To date, most work on this topic has imagined that an international organization like the United Nations or an international coalition of states will synchronize their efforts to deploy climate intervention at ideal [...]
The Future in Anthropocene Science
Published: 2023-05-23
Subjects: Climate, Environmental Studies, Nature and Society Relations, Sustainability
The Anthropocene is the present time of human-caused accelerating global change, and new forms of Anthropocene risk are emerging that society has hitherto never experienced. Science and policy are grappling with the temporal and spatial magnitude of these changes, as well as the diminishing margin between science and policy itself. However, there is a gap in the transparency — and perhaps even in [...]
Linking 3D long-term slow-slip cycle models with rupture dynamics: the nucleation of the 2014 Mw 7.3 Guerrero, Mexico earthquake
Published: 2023-05-25
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology
Slow slip events (SSEs) have been observed in spatial and temporal proximity to megathrust earthquakes in various subduction zones, including the 2014 $M_\mathrm{w}$7.3 Guerrero, Mexico earthquake which was preceded by a $M_\mathrm{w}$ 7.6 SSE. However, the underlying physics connecting SSEs to earthquakes remains elusive. Here, we link 3D slow-slip cycle models with dynamic rupture simulations [...]
GOES-R land surface products at Western Hemisphere eddy covariance tower locations
Published: 2023-05-24
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences
The terrestrial carbon cycle varies dynamically over short periods that can be difficult to observe. Geostationary (“weather”) satellites like the Geostationary Environmental Operational Satellite - R Series (GOES-R) deliver near-hemispheric imagery at a ten-minute cadence, and its Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) measures visible and near-infrared spectral bands that can be used to estimate land [...]
Assessment of the Relationship between Passages of Tropical Cyclones and their Origins of Genesis for Managing Risk of the Coast of Bangladesh
Published: 2023-05-26
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
To understand risk from upcoming tropical cyclones (TCs) of Bangladesh, Impact of Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) on origins of TCs genesis historically over Bay of Bengal (BoB) should be considered. So, the correlation between Dipole Mode Indexes (DMI) and frequencies of TCs generated in BoB has been investigated for (1877-2018) era. Changes in decade-wise mean DMI have been found linearly correlated [...]
Global mean sea level higher than present during the Holocene
Published: 2023-05-24
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Other Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Global mean sea-level (GMSL) change can provide insight on how ice sheets, glaciers, and oceans respond to warming[1;2]. The Holocene (11.7 ka to present) marks a time when temperatures may have exceeded early industrial (1850 CE) values[3]. Evidence from Greenland[4] and Antarctica[5;6] indicates that both ice sheets retreated inland of their present-day extents during the Holocene, yet previous [...]
Exponential life-threatening rise of the global temperature
Published: 2023-05-23
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Nature and Society Relations
Global temperatures are rising. This paper demonstrates for the first time that the global temperature increase has not been linear but is exponential with a doubling time of about 25 years. Both the amount of carbon dioxide produced by the combustion of fossil fuels and the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere have also risen exponentially, with a similar doubling time. The exponential [...]
Chasing the water table: The impact of groundwater depletion on rural drinking water supply in peninsular India
Published: 2023-05-25
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering
Groundwater overexploitation has been cited as one of the biggest threats to rural drinking water in India, but there is very little quantitative evidence. In this paper, we aim to understand (1) the extent of actual groundwater depletion and its impact on rural drinking water supply systems, (2) the primary driver of groundwater depletion and (3) the additional financial burden in finding new [...]
Germany-wide time series of interpolated phenological observations of main crop types between 1993 and 2021
Published: 2023-05-26
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The data descriptor represents a Germany-wide and spatio-temporally consistent 1 x1 km² analysis-ready time series of interpolated days of the year (DOYs). The data set covers 56 entry dates of phenological development stages of 9 main crop types for the period between 1993 and 2021. The derivation of the 1624 records is based on phenological observations provided by German Meteorological [...]