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Preprints

There are 6976 Preprints listed.

Reduced Precipitation on Rapa Nui During the Decline of the Moai Culture

Redmond Stein, Lorelei Curtin, Nicholas Balascio, et al.

Published: 2025-03-04
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography, Human Geography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

From approximately 1200-1600 CE, Polynesian settlers on the island of Rapa Nui engaged in megalithic monument construction, crafting hundreds of Ahu platforms and Moai statues from volcanic bedrock. The decline of this tradition has intrigued archaeologists for decades. The most widely disseminated hypothesis surrounding the demise of the Ahu Moai culture suggests that the Rapanui overexploited [...]

Generative Data Assimilation for Surface Ocean State Estimation from Multi-Modal Satellite Observations

Scott A Martin, Georgy Manucharyan, Patrice Klein

Published: 2025-03-05
Subjects: Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Estimating the surface ocean state at mesoscale eddy-resolving scales is essential for understanding the role of eddies in climate and marine ecosystems. Satellites provide multi-modal observations through sea surface height, temperature (SST), and salinity (SSS). However, each variable is observed with varying resolutions and sparsity, while some variables, such as surface currents, are not yet [...]

Detecting rapid lateral changes of upper mantle discontinuities using azimuth-dependent P-wave receiver functions and multimode surface waves

Kotaro Tarumi, Kazunori Yoshizawa

Published: 2025-03-06
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Lateral structural variations in the upper mantle generate azimuthal dependence in receiver functions (RFs) based on incoming directions of body waves. Although these azimuthal variations in RFs have not been considered in earlier studies of RF inversions, they provide a means to image localized changes in upper mantle interfaces. In this study, we incorporate azimuth-dependent RFs into a joint [...]

Flood type drives river-scale plastic deposition

Louise Schreyers, Rahel Hauk, Nicholas Wallerstein, et al.

Published: 2025-03-05
Subjects: Environmental Studies, Geographic Information Sciences, Hydrology, Nature and Society Relations, Other Environmental Sciences, Physical and Environmental Geography, Spatial Science, Water Resource Management

Plastic pollution is considered a global environmental challenge, prompting international regulation efforts such as the UN plastic treaty to end plastic pollution. River basins, with high population densities and poor waste management, are particularly exposed to plastic pollution. Floods amplify plastic presence in rivers by mobilizing previously deposited and introduce new plastics. Yet, the [...]

A GPR Based Non-destructive Approach to Monitor the Engineering Properties of Compacted Base Layer

Hakan Sahin, Sajib Saha, Narain Hariharan, et al.

Published: 2025-03-07
Subjects: Civil Engineering, Geotechnical Engineering, Transportation Engineering

Construction variability and isolated defects in base layer can be limiting factors in pavement’s service life. To control construction quality and implement an efficient quality management system, this study develops a quick, accurate, and simple non-destructive method using ground penetrating radar (GPR) to determine reliable values of in-place compacted base material properties, such as [...]

Improved LA-Q-ICP-MS U-Pb Zircon Age Estimates for Young (< 10 Ma) Zircons & Quantification of Bias in CL Guided Spot Selection

Charles Lewis, Adam Kent, Chris Russo, et al.

Published: 2025-03-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We present a new approach to reducing U-Pb data from zircons obtained by laser ablation-quadrupole-inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (LA-Q-ICP-MS), with emphasis on young (< 10 Ma) zircons. In young zircons the 207Pb yield is extremely low, generating a relatively high abundance of zero values during analyses. This impacts the use of 207Pb/206Pb in application of Tera-Wasserburg [...]

Low computational cost stochastic Gassmann fluid substitution modelling of hydrogen and carbon dioxide in clastic storage reservoirs

Hector George Barnett, Mark Ireland, Charles K Dunham, et al.

Published: 2025-03-06
Subjects: Geology, Geophysics and Seismology

The ability to safely store non-hydrocarbon fluids in the subsurface, such as carbon dioxide or hydrogen, will likely be vital in all pathways to decarbonise global energy systems. Storage of these fluids will require monitoring programmes to identify dynamic changes during the injection and storage phases and to identify unintended migration. Seismic monitoring is widely adopted in monitoring [...]

How Advertising Matters: Outdoor Media Strategies for Increased Engagement with Creative Climate Change Messages

Maxwell Boykoff, Harsha Gangadharbatla, Beth Osnes-Stoedefalke

Published: 2025-05-17
Subjects: Instructional Media Design

Amid many communication strategies in 2025, creative advertising approaches are clearly powerful tools. Yet, out-of-home (OOH) or outdoor media (OM) often receives little attention in advertising research, particularly when used in the context of climate change, sustainability and environmental issues. This research helps to bridge the gap with experimentation and analysis OOH or OM in the [...]

Modern Cave Monitoring Informs Interpretations of Past Climate Change: Applications to Titan Cave, Wyoming

Bryce Kenneth Belanger, Cameron B. de Wet, Bryan L. McKenzie, et al.

Published: 2025-03-10
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Geochemistry, Geology, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Speleology

Monitoring of cave environments is an essential process for deciphering records of past climate change preserved in the geochemical composition of speleothems, or mineral cave deposits. This study presents data from a multi-year monitoring effort in Titan Cave, Wyoming, a site of interest due to the abundance of speleothems suitable for paleoclimate reconstruction. Titan Cave exhibits annual cave [...]

Drastic Changes in Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Led to Biological Mass Extinction and Explosion

Bilu Huang

Published: 2025-03-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Paleontology

When the area of polar ice caps expands to a certain threshold, a positive feedback effect will occur. Due to the strong reflection of sunlight by ice and snow, the global climate will become cold and dry. CO₂ in the atmosphere will be rapidly sequestered in the seabed and permafrost through the biological carbon pump, thereby affecting plant photosynthesis, reducing NPP and the nutritional value [...]

A comment on the indicator capacity of Artemisia pollen in pre-Holocene paleoecology

Valentí Rull

Published: 2025-03-07
Subjects: Paleontology

In pre-Holocene paleoecology, Artemisia (Asteraceae) pollen is commonly considered an indicator of arid steppic environments in temperate regions. However, the >520 known species of this genus occur across a wide range of bioclimatic conditions. This paper comments on a recent comprehensive study that examined the identification of Artemisia pollen at the species level in relation to the [...]

Predator response diversity to warming enables ecosystem resilience in the Galápagos

Nicole Chico-Ortiz, Esteban Agudo-Adriani, Haley Capone, et al.

Published: 2025-05-29
Subjects: Biodiversity

An important impact of global warming in nature is the decline of ecological functions such as primary production, habitat provision, and carbon sequestration. These functions can be disrupted when the species that perform them are impaired by anthropogenic warming or other stressors. Where there is a diversity of responses to warming among the species filling these roles, the function is more [...]

Fracturing during freezing in salty ice: preliminary analysis using a low-cost model system

Cody Cruz, Bradley P Lipovsky

Published: 2025-03-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Glaciology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The fracture properties of saline water ice play an important role in governing the mechanical behavior of sea ice, marine ice sheets, and icy planetary bodies. Here, we design a low-cost experimental system based on a simple observation: fractures form when freshwater is frozen in a plastic bag, but do not form when a small amount of NaCl salt (several g/L) is added before freezing. We [...]

Persistent high-pressure magma storage beneath a near-ridge ocean island volcano (Isla Floreana, Galápagos)

Matthew Lloyd Morgan Gleeson, Penny Wieser, Charlotte L DeVitre, et al.

Published: 2025-03-09
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Volcanic evolution in ocean island settings is often controlled by variations in the chemistry and volumetric flux of magma from an underlying mantle plume. In locations such as Hawaiʻi or Réunion, this results in predictable variations in magma chemistry, the rate of volcanic activity, and the depth of magma storage with volcanic age and/or distance from the center of plume upwelling. These [...]

Plausible global emissions scenario for the 2℃-target aligned with China’s net-zero pathway

Junting Zhong, Xiaoye Zhang, Zhang Da, et al.

Published: 2025-03-11
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Due to sizeable anthropogenic CO2 emissions, China’s transition towards carbon neutrality will fundamentally alter global CO2 emissions, providing critical insights into warming levels, extreme events, overshoot, tipping points, and regional climate impacts. Existing emission scenarios that fail to reflect this transition increasingly diverge from reality. To bridge this gap, we developed an [...]

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