Preprints
Filtering by Subject: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Criteria and Tools for Determining Drainage Divide Stability
Published: 2017-12-09
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geomorphology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Watersheds are the fundamental organizing units in landscapes and thus the controls on drainage divide location and mobility are an essential facet of landscape evolution. Additionally, many common topographic analyses fundamentally assume that river network topology and divide locations are largely static, allowing channel profile form to be interpreted in terms of spatio-temporal patterns of [...]
Structural signatures of igneous sheet intrusion propagation
Published: 2017-12-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure, Volcanology
The geometry and distribution of planar igneous bodies (i.e. sheet intrusions), such as dykes, sills, and inclined sheets, has long been used to determine emplacement mechanics, define melt source locations, and reconstruct palaeostress conditions to shed light on various tectonic and magmatic processes. Since the 1970’s we have recognised that sheet intrusions do not necessarily display a [...]
Multiphase flow characteristics of heterogeneous rocks from CO2 storage reservoirs in the United Kingdom
Published: 2017-12-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
We have studied the impact of heterogeneity on relative permeability and residual trapping for rock samples from the Bunter sandstone of the UK Southern North Sea, the Ormskirk Sandstone of the East Irish Sea, and the Captain Sandstone of the UK Northern North Sea. Reservoir condition CO2-brine relative permeability measurements were made while systematically varying the ratio of viscous to [...]
Tropical cyclones shift poleward more over Land than over Ocean
Published: 2017-12-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Other Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The latitudes of all Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclones (TCs) from the National Hurricane Center (NHC)/Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) best track data are used to investigate their poleward migration from 1970 to 2017. The annual means of the track latitudes are calculated for tropical storms, hurricanes/typhoons, and all storms over land and ocean, respectively. The analysis of the annual [...]
Characterising Drainage Multiphase Flow in Heterogeneous Sandstones
Published: 2017-12-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
In this work, we analyse the characterisation of drainage multiphase flow properties on heterogeneous rock cores using a rich experimental dataset and mm-m scale numerical simulations. Along with routine multiphase flow properties, 3D sub-metre scale capillary pressure heterogeneity is characterised by combining experimental observations and numerical calibration, resulting in a 3D numerical [...]
Inverse analysis to reconstruct hydraulic conditions of non-steady turbidity currents based on multiple grain-size classes
Published: 2017-12-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology
This study proposes a new method of inverse analysis of ancient turbidites to represent non-steady turbidity currents and account for multiple grain-size classes. The forward model employed in this study is based on the shallow water equation, and the initial conditions of flows are assumed as a lock-exchange type. To obtain a solution to the inverse problem, a genetic algorithm is employed to [...]
Neogene - Quaternary slow coastal uplift of Western Europe through the perspective of sequences of strandlines from the Cotentin Peninsula (Normandy, France)
Published: 2017-12-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geomorphology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The Cotentin Peninsula (Normandy, France) displays sequences of marine terraces and rasas, the latter being wide Late Cenozoic coastal erosion surfaces, that are typical of Western European coasts in Portugal, Spain, France and southern England. Remote sensing imagery and field mapping enabled reappraisal of the Cotentin coastal sequences. From bottom to top, the N Cotentin sequence includes four [...]
Subsurface expression of a tertiary salt weld, Gulf of Mexico
Published: 2017-12-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure
Salt welds form due to salt expulsion and thinning by mechanical (e.g. salt flow) and/or chemical (e.g. salt dissolution) processes. Despite being ubiquitous in salt-bearing sedimentary basins, where they may trap large volumes of hydrocarbons, little is published on weld thickness and composition. We here use 3D seismic reflection, borehole, and biostratigraphic data from the Atwater Valley [...]
Types of mixing and heterogeneities in siliciclastic-carbonate sediments
Published: 2017-12-05
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology
Mixed siliciclastic-carbonate deposits consist of a suite of different types of mixing between the two components, from bed (core-plug) to stratigraphic (seismic) scales, producing a high vertical and lateral lithological variability. Mixed deposits result from the interaction of siliciclastic input and coeval carbonate production controlled by temporal and/or spatial factors. Although mixed [...]
Kinematics of Polygonal Fault Systems: Observations from the Northern North Sea
Published: 2017-12-05
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Layer-bound, low-displacement normal faults, arranged into a broadly polygonal pattern, are common in many sedimentary basins. Despite having constrained their gross geometry, we have a relatively poor understanding of the processes controlling the nucleation and growth (i.e., the kinematics) of polygonal fault systems. In this study we use high-resolution 3-D seismic reflection and borehole data [...]
Non-crossing nonlinear regression quantiles by monotone composite quantile regression neural network, with application to rainfall extremes
Published: 2017-12-04
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Climate, Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Statistical Models, Statistics and Probability
The goal of quantile regression is to estimate conditional quantiles for specified values of quantile probability using linear or nonlinear regression equations. These estimates are prone to "quantile crossing", where regression predictions for different quantile probabilities do not increase as probability increases. In the context of the environmental sciences, this could, for example, lead to [...]
Synchronization of great subduction megathrust earthquakes: Insights from scale model analysis
Published: 2017-12-04
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The size of great subduction megathrust earthquakes is controlled mainly by the number of adjacent asperities failing synchronously and the resulting rupture length. Here we investigate experimentally the long-term recurrence behavior of a pair of asperities coupled by quasi-static stress transfer over hundreds of seismic cycles. We statistically analyze long (c. 500 ka) time-series of M8-9 [...]
The crisis of a paradigm. A methodological interpretation of Tohoku and Fukushima catastrophe
Published: 2017-12-04
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Tectonics and Structure
The 2011 Japanese disaster often presented as a ‘new Chernobyl’ accumulated the effects of earthquake, tsunami and of the subsequent nuclear accident at Fukushima. In the light of this disaster, we review methodological rea- sons both from geophysical and philosophical perspectives that lead the scientific and technological communities to flawed conclusions, prime cause of the disaster. The [...]
Estimating geological CO2 storage security to deliver on climate mitigation
Published: 2017-12-04
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) can help nations meet their Paris CO2 reduction commitments cost-effectively. However, lack of confidence in geologic CO2 storage security remains a barrier to CCS implementation. Here we present a numerical program that calculates CO2 storage security and leakage to the atmosphere over 10,000 years. This combines quantitative estimates of geological subsurface [...]
Visions of Volcanoes
Published: 2017-12-03
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Volcanology
The long nineteenth century marked an important transition in the understanding of the nature of combustion and fire, and of volcanoes and the interior of the earth. It was also a period when dramatic eruptions of Vesuvius lit up the night skies of Naples, providing ample opportunities for travellers, natural philosophers, and early geologists to get up close to the glowing lavas of an active [...]