Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Determination of vulnerability areas from the simulated deposition of atmospheric pollutants using LOTOS-EUROS chemical transport model in North-West South-America

Andres Yarce Botero, Santiago Lopez-Restrepo, Arjo Segers, et al.

Published: 2021-01-07
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Bioresource and Agricultural Engineering, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Computer Sciences, Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Planetary Sciences

This work presents the implementation of the LOTOS-EUROS regional atmospheric Chemical Transport Model (CTM) on Northwestern South America. The impact of land use and orography update in the model was analyzed to identify potential vulnerable natural areas by quantifying atmospheric deposition pollutants. CTMs allow simulating the physical dynamics of trace gasses and aerosols, including [...]

Structural controls on the emplacement and evacuation of magma from a sub-volcanic laccolith; Reyðarártindur Laccolith, SE Iceland

Vincent Twomey, William McCarthy, Craig Magee

Published: 2021-01-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Higher Education, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Science and Mathematics Education, Tectonics and Structure, Volcanology

Comments on “On the reported magnetic precursor of the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake” by J.N. Thomas, J.J. Love, and M.J.S. Johnston

Simon Klemperer, Anthony Fraser-Smith, Paul McGill, et al.

Published: 2021-01-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Thomas et al. (2009) (hereafter TLJ09) attempt to cast doubt upon the report by FraserSmith et al. (1990) (hereafter FS90) of unusual large-amplitude ultra-low frequency (ULF; f < 10 Hz) magnetic fields preceding the M ~7 Loma Prieta earthquake. TLJ09 suggest there are instrumental problems with FS90’s data that we, the designers, builders and long-term operators of the equipment, are presumed to [...]

Joint event location and 3D Poisson’s ratio tomography for downhole microseismic monitoring

Congcong Yuan, Jie Zhang

Published: 2021-01-03
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Passive seismic tomography plays a significant role in monitoring subsurface structures and properties during hydraulic fracturing. In this study, we develop a new passive seismic tomography approach to jointly invert for event locations, 3D P-wave velocity (Vp), and Poisson’s ratio models, for downhole microseimic monitoring The method enables to directly obtain the 3D Poisson’s ratio or Vp/Vs [...]

Global rates of soil production independent of soil depth

Emma Jayne Harrison, Jane Willenbring, Gilles Brocard

Published: 2021-01-03
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Accelerated rates of soil erosion threaten the stability of ecosystems1, nutrient cycles2, and global food supplies3 if the processes that produce soil cannot keep pace. Over millennial timescales, the rate of soil production is thought to keep pace with the rate of surface erosion through negative feedbacks between soil thickness and the rate at which soil is produced from the underlying mineral [...]

Identifying shale sweet spots by 3D microseismic imaging

Congcong Yuan, Xiong Zhang, Jie Zhang

Published: 2021-01-03
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Several studies suggest that shale sweet spots are likely associated with low Poisson’s ratio in the shale layer. Compared with conventional geophysical techniques with active seismic data, it is straightforward and cost effective to delineate the distribution of 3D Poisson’s ratio using microseismic data. In this study, we develop a method for determining microseismic event locations, 3D P-wave [...]

Vertical slowness constrained joint anisotropic parameters and event locations inversion for downhole microseismic monitoring

Congcong Yuan, Song Han, Jie Zhang

Published: 2021-01-01
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The construction of accurate anisotropic velocity models plays a very important role in microseismic monitoring of hydraulic fracturing. Due to ignorance of anisotropy, severe distortions may happen in the results of microseismic location and interpretation. While the methods are existing that invert for anisotropic parameters and event locations simultaneously with microseismic traveltime, the [...]

Automatic microseismic stacking location with a multi-cross-correlation imaging condition

Congcong Yuan, Wei Zhang, Jie Zhang

Published: 2021-01-01
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Source scanning algorithm (SSA) has been recognized as a valid technique to automatically detect and locate passive seismic events. The imaging condition of this algorithm is the linear stack of the amplitudes along the traveltime curve from trial locations. However, the linear stacking condition may cause the location uncertainty due to the polarity reversal and low signal-to-noise ratio of the [...]

Samples, Symmetries and Extensions: Exploring Parameter Space in Nonlinear Problems

Andrew Curtis

Published: 2020-12-31
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Many scientific and technological advances require the values of a set of parameters to be constrained or estimated using recorded data. It is often possible to model data that would be recorded for particular parameter values using a computable and in general nonlinear function, where its inverse is unknown and does not exist as a unique-valued mapping. The space of parameter values must then be [...]

Bayesian Seismic Tomography using Normalizing Flows

Xuebin Zhao, Andrew Curtis, Xin Zhang

Published: 2020-12-28
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We test a fully non-linear method to solve seismic tomographic problems using data consisting of observed travel times of first-arriving waves. We use variational inference to calculate the posterior probability distribution which describes the solution to the Bayesian tomographic inverse problem. The variational method is an efficient alternate to Monte Carlo methods, which seeks the best [...]

Climate as a Stratigraphic Tool for Basin Margin Deposition in Intracontinental Basins

Amy Gough, Stuart M Clarke, Philip C Richards

Published: 2020-12-23
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

In intracontinental basins stratigraphic packages are not as predictable as those deposited in marine settings, namely due to a lack over an overriding control on deposition. Deposition in intracontinental basins is controlled by tectonics, climatic variations, and sediment supply. Complexity is added as deposition is affected by both autocyclic localised variations (e.g., lobe switching) and [...]

Yield estimation of the 2020 Beirut explosion using open access waveform and remote sensing data

Christoph Pilger, Patrick Hupe, Peter Gaebler, et al.

Published: 2020-12-22
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Earth Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physics, Statistics and Probability

We report on a multi-technique analysis using publicly available data for investigating the huge, accidental explosion that struck the city of Beirut, Lebanon, on August 4, 2020. Its devastating shock wave led to thousands of injured with more than two hundred fatalities and caused immense damage to buildings and infrastructure. Our combined analysis of seismological, hydroacoustic, infrasonic [...]

Tidal dynamics in palaeo-seas in response to changes in physiography, tidal forcing, and bed shear stress

Valentin Zuchuat, Elisabeth Steel, Ryan Mulligan, et al.

Published: 2020-12-21
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Simulating hydrodynamic conditions in palaeo-ocean basins is needed to better understand the effects of tidal forcing on the sedimentary record. When combined with sedimentary analyses, hydrodynamic modelling can help inform complex temporal and spatial variability in the sediment distribution of tide-dominated palaeo-ocean basins. Herein, palaeotidal modelling of the epicontinental Upper [...]

Small-scale lithospheric heterogeneity characterization using Bayesian inference

Itahisa Nesoya González Álvarez, Sebastian Rost, Andy Nowacki, et al.

Published: 2020-12-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Observations from different disciplines have shown that our planet is highly heterogeneous at multiple scale lengths. Still, many seismological Earth models tend not to include any small-scale heterogeneity or lateral velocity variations, which can affect measurements and predictions based on these homogeneous models. In this study, we describe the lithospheric small-scale heterogeneity structure [...]

Given that the Paris Agreement is unlikely to prevent dangerous climate overshoot, an alternative risk management strategy is urgently needed

Graeme MacDonald Taylor, Sue Vink

Published: 2020-12-18
Subjects: Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Because the 2015 Paris Agreement will not prevent dangerous climate change, there is an urgent need to develop an alternative mitigation strategy. Even if most countries greatly increase their commitments and technological breakthroughs accelerate the transition to emission-free technologies, the 2°C target will still be overshot due to systemic inertia from existing greenhouse gases, warming [...]

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