Preprints
Filtering by Subject: Geophysics and Seismology
Exacerbation of levee failure with climate change: Insights from ERT monitoring
Published: 2025-12-03
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology
Climate change is bringing hotter, drier summers and warmer, wetter winters, intensifying winter floods and causing larger seasonal variations in soil moisture. These shifts place increasing stress on levees – many of which were constructed decades or centuries ago – making their current performance challenging to assess. Levee performance depends on limiting water ingress, as increased seepage [...]
Hybrid Neural PDE and Conditional GAN Framework for Sparse Co₂ Plume Prediction.
Published: 2025-12-02
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Numerical Analysis and Scientific Computing
Digital twin architectures for geological carbon storage demand uncertainty-aware surrogates capable of rapid plume forecasting under extreme data scarcity. Traditional physics-based simulators are computationally expensive; pure data-driven models lack principled uncertainty quantification. This work presents a hybrid Neural Posterior Density Estimation–Conditional GAN (NPDE-CCGAN) framework [...]
Foreshock Behaviors and Mainshock Rupture Properties Associated with the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka Earthquake Sequence
Published: 2025-11-27
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The July 29 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka earthquake ruptured the plate interface off the east coast of the Kamchatka Peninsula along the Kuril-Kamchatka subduction zone. Following the mainshock, tsunamis were recorded in multiple countries along the Pacific Ocean boundary and its islands, along with the eruption of several volcanoes in Kamchatka. The mainshock was preceded by a strong foreshock sequence [...]
The Impact of GIA Corrections on Gravimetric Basin-Scale Ocean Mass Budgets
Published: 2025-11-22
Subjects: Climate, Geophysics and Seismology
Closing the sea-level budget is crucial for validating our understanding of climate change and sea-level rise. Satellite gravimetry (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment, GRACE) and altimetry are primary tools for measuring the ocean mass. Still, both datasets must be corrected for glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), the ongoing viscoelastic response of the Earth to past deglaciation. [...]
Model of Cortical Mosaics (MMC): An Auto-Organized Evolutionary Trajectory from the Primitive Crust to Proto-Plates
Published: 2025-11-22
Subjects: Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure
The structure and dynamics of Earth’s crust during the Hadean–Eoarchean remain one of the central challenges in geodynamics. Traditional models describe early states in terms of discrete regimes—stagnant lid, heat-pipe, episodic tectonics, or proto-plates—but none provides a continuous framework linking primitive fragmentation with the late emergence of plate tectonics. This work proposes the [...]
The slip distributions of the 1952 and 2025 Kamchatka earthquakes from tsunami waveforms recorded around the Pacific Ocean
Published: 2025-11-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The July 2025 Kamchatka earthquake (Mw 8.8) generated Pacific-wide tsunamis. Inversion of 40 DART bottom pressure records around the Pacific Ocean revealed a large (~ 9 m) slip at 200 – 400 km southwest of the epicenter, closely matching the USGS finite fault model based on teleseismic data. In this region, a similarly large megathrust earthquake (M ~ 9) occurred in 1952. The tsunami waveforms [...]
Practical guide for volcano observatories on paleomagnetic sampling of pyroclastic deposits from active volcanoes
Published: 2025-11-14
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Volcanology
This brief guide is designed to teach workers at observatories of volcanoes exhibiting explosive activity how to take samples of pyroclastic deposits for paleomagnetic studies. Paleomagnetism is a powerful tool for studying volcanoes, both dormant and currently active. Studies of the rock magnetic and paleomagnetic characteristics of volcanic rocks can provide important information about volcanic [...]
Multi-Agent Geophysical AI Workflow for Automated Reservoir Characterization
Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Computational Engineering, Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geophysics and Seismology
Traditional geophysical workflows like reservoir characterization are driven in a collaborative manner where teams of geoscientists share their individual analyses to inform key decisions made by executives. However, these workflows are repetitive, time-consuming, prone to human error, and introduce subjective bias. While researchers have used automation to address these limitations via deep [...]
Effect of chemical disequilibrium during metal-silicate partitioning on the thermal state of the early core and implications on the dynamics of metal/silicate segregation
Published: 2025-11-05
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Geophysics and Seismology, Planetary Geology, Planetary Geophysics and Seismology
In this study, we improved a previously published numerical model linking the core composition to the core temperature during accretion by introducing some amount of chemical disequilibrium during the segregation of the core in the magma ocean phase. At the minimum equilibrium rate in metal and silicate phases, the final temperature of the core by $\sim$ 250 K compared to the fully equilibrated [...]
Anomaly detection of Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferograms with semi-supervised machine learning
Published: 2025-10-31
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Volcanology
The aim of this research is to detect Earth's deformation from Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images through a semi-supervised machine learning algorithm called Least-Squares Two-sample Test (LSTT). This algorithm computes the probability distributions of two samples to assess if they belong to the same probability distribution. At the same time, it gives the divergence of these [...]
Intermittent supershear rupture punctuated by barrier-induced stopping phase during the 2025 Mw 7.8 Myanmar Earthquake: Evidence from near-fault strong motion observation
Published: 2025-10-24
Subjects: Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Supershear rupture has been investigated by many studies, yet its exact characteristics during natural earthquakes are not fully clear, due to the paucity of near-field constraints. Here we analyze the strong motion data recorded at a near-fault station during the 2025 Mw 7.8 Myanmar earthquake to estimate the detailed source process around that station. By comparing simulated velocity waveforms [...]
Global presence and absence of ultra-low velocity zones as seen by Sdiff postcursors
Published: 2025-10-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology
The core-mantle boundary is a region of significant lateral heterogeneity. Two antipodal large low-velocity provinces (LLVPs) dominate the lower mantle, while smaller but more extreme ultra-low velocity zones (ULVZs) pepper the lowermost mantle in a variety of morphologies. These ULVZs have been linked to both the edges of LLVPs and to plume-related hotspots, the latter of which may plausibly be [...]
The Effects of Fluid Pre-Conditioning on the Deformational Response of a Laboratory Fault
Published: 2025-10-16
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Hydrology
Surface Wave Dispersion Calculation and Sensitivity Analysis in Anisotropic and Weakly Attenuating Medium Based on Spectral Element Method
Published: 2025-10-15
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology
We present a comprehensive and flexible framework for modeling 1-D surface wave dispersion in anisotropic and weakly attenuating media. The spectral element method is employed to accommodate various stress-strain relationships, boundary conditions, and multiphysics coupling effects. Both radial and general complex anisotropic relations can be incorporated. Standard linear solid models, along with [...]
Glacier processes from seismic recordings on Sørsdal Glacier, East Antarctica
Published: 2025-10-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Glaciology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
A catalogue of seismic events is produced and analysed for Sørsdal Glacier, East Antarctica. Recordings were made using an irregular array of three broadband and eight short-period seismometers, with approximately 3 km aperture, deployed slightly upstream of the expected grounding line during the 2017-18 austral summer. The broadband sensors were used to construct the event catalogue, and the [...]