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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Environmental Studies

Beyond Techno-Centered Decarbonization Roadmaps: Designing Demand-Side Pathways for Sustainable Mobility

Gabriel Magnaval, Soline Corre, Maël Mouhoub, et al.

Published: 2026-06-06
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Decarbonization roadmaps for the automobile sector predominantly rely on supply-side improvements and electrification, yet their ability to deliver the required environmental reductions remains uncertain. This study introduces the Demand-Side Decomposition Analysis framework, which consistently integrates demand-side mitigation into a parametrized life cycle assessment of the automobile value [...]

Ecosystem accounting for social-ecological policy: an applied ecological economics research agenda from Guatemala

Juan Pablo Castañeda, Daniel Pinillos

Published: 2026-06-06
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Economy and ecology are inseparable since economic decisions affect the natural systems that sustain them. Conventional economics still treats this dependence as an externality to be corrected through prices, even as ecosystems lose resilience and the economy presses against planetary boundaries. Ecological economics offers a more adequate framework, one that situates the economy within a finite [...]

Colonial Hydrologies and Local Ecologies: An Ethnographic Study of the Beas River Region in Punjab, Pakistan

Hamid Nazir, Pintu Kumar Mahla

Published: 2026-06-05
Subjects: Environmental Studies

The disappearance of the Beas River in Pakistan's Punjab, completed by a natural migration of the river's channels between 1750 and 1800, predates colonial hydraulic intervention, the partition of 1947, and the Indus Water Treaty of 1960. Each successive political and infrastructure development has not caused the river to disappear, but has gradually formalized and deepened it, removing any [...]

Ecosystem accounting for social-ecological policy: an applied ecological economics research agenda from Guatemala

Juan Pablo Castañeda, Daniel Pinillos

Published: 2026-06-05
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Economy and ecology are inseparable since economic decisions affect the natural systems that sustain them. Conventional economics still treats this dependence as an externality to be corrected through prices, even as ecosystems lose resilience and the economy presses against planetary boundaries. Ecological economics offers a more adequate framework, one that situates the economy within a finite [...]

Climate overshoot and the insurability frontier: peak stress, domestic capacity, and market retreat risk

Architesh Panda

Published: 2026-06-05
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Planetary Sciences

Climate overshoot can create mid-century peaks in climate stress before end-century temperatures stabilize, but its implications for insurance availability remain poorly understood. We assess subnational insurance market exit risk under overshoot across 1,590 first-order administrative regions in 88 countries, covering 4.54 billion people. Combining ADM1-level multi-hazard climate stress, an [...]

Awareness and Action: An Exploration Between Public Perception and Space Industry Priorities Regarding Sustainability

Grace Ban

Published: 2026-05-30
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Natural Resources and Conservation, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Nature and Society Relations, Sustainability

As issues regarding sustainability continue to grow more urgent and prevalent to everyday life, it is important to recognize whether society fully understands what is occurring. The low earth orbit is at threat of overcongestion, and the environment is experiencing higher rates of pollution due to rocket launches, calling for the need for the government and public to engage in this issue. [...]

Unequal weather exposure across teams and groups at the 2026 FIFA World Cup: an event-based analysis using hourly reanalysis

Dimitri Defrance, Davide Faranda, Paquito Bernard, et al.

Published: 2026-05-30
Subjects: Climate, Environmental Studies, Human Geography

The connection between climate change and sports is evident, as sports contribute to environmental challenges, while climate change impacts the conditions for playing, organizing, and enjoying sports. In professional football, heat, humidity, rain, wind, and insufficient recovery time at night can influence player health, physical stress, and game performance. Evaluations of the 2026 FIFA World [...]

An adaptive hybrid model for wildfire front forecasting based on cellular automata, multi-agent UAV observations, and binary data assimilation: A case study of the 2021 Dixie Fire

Ramazan Sadvakassov, Kuralay Sadvakassova, Bijeesh Kozhikkodan Veettil, et al.

Published: 2026-05-30
Subjects: Environmental Studies

This study presents a retrospective case-study evaluation of a hybrid framework for daily wildfire-front forecasting during the 2021 Dixie Fire in California, USA. The framework couples a stochastic cellular automaton (CA) with a multi-agent system (MAS) of simulated UAV observations and a lightweight binary data-assimilation scheme. The model uses topography, vegetation, fuel proxies, and [...]

Productive Rather Than Aesthetic Urban Landscapes Drive Actualized Sustainable Consumption

Xuan Luo, Yi Wu, Junyan Ye, et al.

Published: 2026-05-25
Subjects: Environmental Studies, Geographic Information Sciences, Human Geography, Nature and Society Relations

Global sustainability initiatives prioritize urban greenery to foster resilient cities, yet their efficacy remains under-researched in the Global South. Conventional reliance on self-reported data risks a pervasive “green illusion”— a discrepancy between reported behavior and actual sustainable consumption behavior. To diagnose this anomaly, we synthesize spatial morphology and psychometric [...]

When Fiction Reflects Fiction: Contrarian Views of Climate Change in Popular Entertainment TV & Films

Francisco Gonzalez, Chico Camargo

Published: 2026-05-23
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Climate contrarian discourse permeates a wide range of media outlets, including popular entertainment television shows and films. This study identifies and quantifies the frequency of these views within a large global corpus of entertainment scripts derived from film and television subtitles (N = 223,782). Additionally, drawing on a discourse studies perspective, we evaluate the performance of a [...]

Multidimensional Inconsistency in Forest Ecosystem Representation: An NLP-Assisted Thematic Review

Oluwafemi David Bejide

Published: 2026-05-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography

Forest ecosystem monitoring increasingly relies on multisensor remote sensing approaches integrating optical imagery, synthetic aperture radar (SAR), and LiDAR observations to assess biomass, degradation, and ecosystem condition. However, these systems frequently generate inconsistent representations of the same ecosystem due to differences in sensor sensitivity, ecological complexity, scale [...]

Bridging science, policy, practice and purpose: global insights from sustainability leaders driving transformative change

Stephanie Moore, Unique N. Keke, Rebekah Mihm, et al.

Published: 2026-05-09
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Seventeen percent of the Sustainable Development Goals are currently on track to be achieved by 2030. That number points to a problem that better frameworks and more ambitious targets have not resolved: the gap between sustainability policy and operational delivery is not primarily a design problem. It is, at least in part, a leadership problem. This study examines how that problem is experienced [...]

Understanding Microplastics Discourse Through Social Sensing: Insights from Geotagged Social Media

Xi Gong, Parastou Fahim, Yujian Lu, et al.

Published: 2026-05-07
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Microplastics have emerged as a growing global environmental and public health concern due to their widespread presence and increasing potential for human exposure through food, water, and air. Recent scientific evidence and expanding media coverage have heightened public awareness and debate surrounding their ecological and health impacts. However, a systematic understanding of how public [...]

A Multi-Dimensional Framework for Diagnosing Inconsistencies in Remote Sensing-Based Ecosystem Assessment

Oluwafemi David Bejide

Published: 2026-05-04
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography

Remote sensing-based ecosystem assessment increasingly relies on the integration of spectral, structural, and model-derived datasets; however, inconsistencies among these data sources can produce divergent representations of vegetation dynamics and carbon processes. This study proposes a multi-dimensional framework to diagnose such inconsistencies by integrating scale, dimensional, and variable [...]

Assessing the impact of Colombian public land acquisitions on forest cover in the Andes

Emily French, Ana Reboredo Segovia, Paulo Arévalo, et al.

Published: 2026-05-01
Subjects: Environmental Studies, Geographic Information Sciences, Human Geography, Nature and Society Relations, Remote Sensing

Public land acquisitions (PLAs) are a promising conservation instrument, combining the permanence of protected areas with the voluntary, compensatory structure of payments for ecosystem services, yet causal evidence on their effectiveness remains limited. Colombia’s Article 111 mandate, which requires departments to allocate 1% of revenue to land acquisition for watershed protection, has produced [...]

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