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Preprints

There are 6976 Preprints listed.

The UK needs an open data portal dedicated to coastal flood and erosion hazard risk and resilience

Eli Lazarus, Sofia Aldabet, Charlotte E L Thompson, et al.

Published: 2020-12-17
Subjects: Geographic Information Sciences, Geomorphology, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Nature and Society Relations, Sustainability

In the UK, coastal flooding and erosion are two of the primary climate-related hazards to communities, businesses, and infrastructure. To better address the ramifications of those hazards, now and into the future, the UK needs to transform its scattered, fragmented coastal data resources into a systematic, integrated, quality-controlled, openly accessible data portal. Such a portal would support [...]

Multi-decadal improvement in U.S. lake water clarity

Simon Nemer Topp, Tamlin M. Pavelsky, Emily H. Stanley, et al.

Published: 2020-12-17
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Hydrology, Water Resource Management

Across the globe, recent work examining the state of freshwater resources paints an increasingly dire picture of degraded water quality. However, much of this work either focuses on a small subset of large waterbodies or uses in situ water quality datasets that contain biases in when and where sampling occurred. Using these unrepresentative samples limits our understanding of landscape level [...]

Future changes in Northern Hemisphere summer weather persistence linked to projected Arctic warming.

Kai Kornhuber, Talia Tamarin-Brodsky

Published: 2020-12-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Understanding the response of the large-scale atmospheric circulation to climatic change remains a key challenge. Specifically, changes in the equator-to-pole temperature difference have been suggested to affect the mid-latitudes, potentially leading to more persistent extreme weather, but a scientific consensus has not been established so far. Here we quantify summer weather persistence by [...]

Evolution of a sand-rich submarine channel-lobe system and impact of mass-transport and transitional flow deposits on reservoir heterogeneity: Magnus Field, northern North Sea

Michael J. Steventon, Christopher Aiden-Lee Jackson, Howard D. Johnson, et al.

Published: 2020-12-19
Subjects: Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy

The geometry, distribution, and rock properties (i.e. porosity and permeability) of turbidite reservoirs, and the processes associated with turbidity current deposition, are relatively well known. However, less attention has been given to the equivalent properties resulting from laminar sediment gravity-flow deposition, with most research limited to cogenetic turbidite-debrites (i.e. transitional [...]

Assessing geomorphic change in restored coastal dune ecosystems using a multi-platform aerial approach

Zach Hilgendorf, M. Colin Marvin, Craig M. Turner, et al.

Published: 2020-12-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Uncrewed aerial systems (UAS) provide an effective method to examine geomorphic and vegetation change in restored coastal dune ecosystems. Coupling structure-from-motion (SfM) photogrammetry with RGB orthomosaic imagery allows researchers to characterize spatial-temporal geomorphic responses associated with differences in vegetation cover. Such approaches provide quantitative data on landscape [...]

Quantitative uncertainty analysis of gravity disturbance. The case of the Geneva Basin (Switzerland)

Lorenzo Perozzi, Luca Guglielmetti, Andrea Moscariello

Published: 2020-12-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Gravity data from the International Gravimetric Bureau and the Gravimetric Atlas of Switzerland have been used to evaluate their application and limitations as a subsurface investigation tool to constrain key geological structures in support of the georesources exploration in the Geneva Basin (GB). In this context, the application of an effective processing workflow able to produce a [...]

Bookshelf Kinematics and the Effect of Dilatation on Fault Zone Inelastic Deformation: Examples from Optical Image Correlation Measurements of the 2019 Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence

Chris Milliner

Published: 2020-12-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence initiated on July 4th with a series of foreshocks, including a Mw 6.4 event, that culminated a day later with the Mw 7.1 mainshock and resulted in rupture of a set of cross-faults. Here we use sub-pixel correlation of optical satellite imagery to measure the displacement, finite strain and rotation of the near-field coseismic deformation to understand the [...]

Idealized forecast-assimilation experiments for convective-scale Numerical Weather Prediction

Thomas Kent, Luca Cantarello, Gordon Inverarity, et al.

Published: 2020-12-18
Subjects: Meteorology, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

To aid understanding of and facilitate research into forecast-assimilation systems of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), idealized models that embody essential characteristics of these systems can be used. This article concerns the use of such an idealized fluid model of convective-scale NWP in inexpensive data assimilation (DA) experiments. The forecast model, introduced in Kent et al (2017), [...]

Small-scale lithospheric heterogeneity characterization using Bayesian inference

Itahisa Nesoya González Álvarez, Sebastian Rost, Andy Nowacki, et al.

Published: 2020-12-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Observations from different disciplines have shown that our planet is highly heterogeneous at multiple scale lengths. Still, many seismological Earth models tend not to include any small-scale heterogeneity or lateral velocity variations, which can affect measurements and predictions based on these homogeneous models. In this study, we describe the lithospheric small-scale heterogeneity structure [...]

Global air quality change during COVID-19: a synthetic result of human activities and meteorology

Qianqian Yang, Bin Wang, Yuan Wang, et al.

Published: 2020-12-19
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences

In recent months, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been spreading around the globe, and this has led to a rare reduction in human activities. In such a background, data from ground-based environmental stations, satellites, and reanalysis materials are utilized to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the air quality changes during the COVID-19 outbreak at the global scale. The results showed [...]

Climate change induced effects or maldevelopment: small islands and conflicting attribution of root causes

C. Gabriel David, Arne Hennig, Beate M. W. Ratter, et al.

Published: 2020-12-21
Subjects: Engineering, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Adapting to sea level rise, climate change, and associated effects is especially challenging in sensitive small-island environments where false adaptation can lead to adverse impacts on natural and societal dynamics. Framing and interest play a decisive role for the successful implementation of any adaptation measures. An interdisciplinary perspective on the interaction of natural dynamics, [...]

Tidal dynamics in palaeo-seas in response to changes in physiography, tidal forcing, and bed shear stress

Valentin Zuchuat, Elisabeth Steel, Ryan Mulligan, et al.

Published: 2020-12-21
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Simulating hydrodynamic conditions in palaeo-ocean basins is needed to better understand the effects of tidal forcing on the sedimentary record. When combined with sedimentary analyses, hydrodynamic modelling can help inform complex temporal and spatial variability in the sediment distribution of tide-dominated palaeo-ocean basins. Herein, palaeotidal modelling of the epicontinental Upper [...]

Integrating ecosystem markets to co-ordinate landscape-scale public benefits from nature

Mark S Reed, Tom Curtis, Arjan Gosal, et al.

Published: 2020-12-21
Subjects: Social and Behavioral Sciences

Ecosystem markets are proliferating around the world in response to increasing demand for climate change mitigation and provision of other public goods. However, this may lead to perverse outcomes, for example where public funding crowds out private investment or different schemes create trade-offs between the ecosystem services they each target. The integration of ecosystem markets could address [...]

Yield estimation of the 2020 Beirut explosion using open access waveform and remote sensing data

Christoph Pilger, Patrick Hupe, Peter Gaebler, et al.

Published: 2020-12-22
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Earth Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physics, Statistics and Probability

We report on a multi-technique analysis using publicly available data for investigating the huge, accidental explosion that struck the city of Beirut, Lebanon, on August 4, 2020. Its devastating shock wave led to thousands of injured with more than two hundred fatalities and caused immense damage to buildings and infrastructure. Our combined analysis of seismological, hydroacoustic, infrasonic [...]

Tectono-stratigraphic development of a salt-influenced rift margin: Halten Terrace, offshore Mid-Norway

Gavin Elliott, Christopher Aiden-Lee Jackson, Robert Leslie Gawthorpe, et al.

Published: 2020-12-22
Subjects: Geology, Other Earth Sciences, Sedimentology, Tectonics and Structure

Pre-rift salt controls structural style variability within rifts by decoupling sub- and supra-salt faults. However, the way in which this variability controls sediment erosion and dispersal, and facies distributions within the coeval syn-rift stratigraphic succession, remains poorly known. We here use 3D seismic reflection and borehole data to study the tectono-stratigraphic development of the [...]

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