Preprints
There are 7997 Preprints listed.
Half a century of glacier mass balance at Cordilleras Blanca and Huaytapallana, Peruvian Andes
Published: 2020-12-23
Subjects: Glaciology
The glaciers of the tropical Andes have been observed to be losing mass for much of the last century. These changes are both driven by, and an indicator of global climate change. These glaciers are important as they represent a crucial water source for downstream communities, supplying agriculture, urban usage, industry, mining and hydropower. This study aims to quantify glacial mass loss for the [...]
Earthquake rupture on multiple splay faults and its effect on tsunamis
Published: 2021-01-16
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Detailed imaging of accretionary wedges reveals splay fault networks that could pose a significant tsunami hazard. However, the dynamics of multiple splay fault activation during megathrust earthquakes and the consequent effects on tsunami generation are not well understood. We use a 2-D dynamic rupture model with complex topo-bathymetry and six curved splay fault geometries constrained from [...]
Bayesian Seismic Tomography using Normalizing Flows
Published: 2020-12-28
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
We test a fully non-linear method to solve seismic tomographic problems using data consisting of observed travel times of first-arriving waves. We use variational inference to calculate the posterior probability distribution which describes the solution to the Bayesian tomographic inverse problem. The variational method is an efficient alternate to Monte Carlo methods, which seeks the best [...]
A study of nowcast of Indian Monsoon Rainfall over Mumbai using Rainymotion
Published: 2020-12-31
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology, Numerical Analysis and Scientific Computing
Since ages, we know that rainfall is a very important factor in deciding the fate of a country. In an agrarian country like India where more than 70% of rural households are dependent on agriculture, agriculture contributes to nearly 17% GDP of the country and is directly dependent on rainfall. Excessive rainfall can lead to floods, landslides, soil erosion and no rainfall can lead to [...]
Samples, Symmetries and Extensions: Exploring Parameter Space in Nonlinear Problems
Published: 2020-12-31
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Many scientific and technological advances require the values of a set of parameters to be constrained or estimated using recorded data. It is often possible to model data that would be recorded for particular parameter values using a computable and in general nonlinear function, where its inverse is unknown and does not exist as a unique-valued mapping. The space of parameter values must then be [...]
Global rates of soil production independent of soil depth
Published: 2021-01-02
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Accelerated rates of soil erosion threaten the stability of ecosystems1, nutrient cycles2, and global food supplies3 if the processes that produce soil cannot keep pace. Over millennial timescales, the rate of soil production is thought to keep pace with the rate of surface erosion through negative feedbacks between soil thickness and the rate at which soil is produced from the underlying mineral [...]
Vertical slowness constrained joint anisotropic parameters and event locations inversion for downhole microseismic monitoring
Published: 2020-12-31
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The construction of accurate anisotropic velocity models plays a very important role in microseismic monitoring of hydraulic fracturing. Due to ignorance of anisotropy, severe distortions may happen in the results of microseismic location and interpretation. While the methods are existing that invert for anisotropic parameters and event locations simultaneously with microseismic traveltime, the [...]
Automatic microseismic stacking location with a multi-cross-correlation imaging condition
Published: 2020-12-31
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Source scanning algorithm (SSA) has been recognized as a valid technique to automatically detect and locate passive seismic events. The imaging condition of this algorithm is the linear stack of the amplitudes along the traveltime curve from trial locations. However, the linear stacking condition may cause the location uncertainty due to the polarity reversal and low signal-to-noise ratio of the [...]
Joint event location and 3D Poisson’s ratio tomography for downhole microseismic monitoring
Published: 2021-01-02
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Passive seismic tomography plays a significant role in monitoring subsurface structures and properties during hydraulic fracturing. In this study, we develop a new passive seismic tomography approach to jointly invert for event locations, 3D P-wave velocity (Vp), and Poisson’s ratio models, for downhole microseimic monitoring The method enables to directly obtain the 3D Poisson’s ratio or Vp/Vs [...]
Identifying shale sweet spots by 3D microseismic imaging
Published: 2021-01-02
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Several studies suggest that shale sweet spots are likely associated with low Poisson’s ratio in the shale layer. Compared with conventional geophysical techniques with active seismic data, it is straightforward and cost effective to delineate the distribution of 3D Poisson’s ratio using microseismic data. In this study, we develop a method for determining microseismic event locations, 3D P-wave [...]
Spectral element modelling of seismic wave propagation in visco-elastoplastic media including excess-pore pressure development
Published: 2021-01-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geophysics and Seismology, Geotechnical Engineering
Numerical modelling of seismic wave propagation, considering soil nonlinearity, has become a major topic in seismic hazard studies when strong shaking is involved under particular soil conditions. Indeed, when strong ground motion propagates in saturated soils, pore pressure is another important parameter to take into account when successive phases of contractive and dilatant soil behaviour are [...]
2-D P-SV and SH spectral element modelling of seismic wave propagation in non-linear media with pore-pressure effects
Published: 2021-01-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geophysics and Seismology, Geotechnical Engineering
It has long been recognized that the effects of superficial geological layers, or site effects, can play a major role on the seismic ground motion at the free surface. In this study, we compute wave propagation in a 2-D asymmetrical basin considering both soil non-linearity and pore- pressure effects. Equations of elastodynamics of wave propagation are solved using the spectral element method [...]
Assessing erosion and flood risk in the coastal zone through the application of the multilevel Monte Carlo method
Published: 2021-01-07
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Earth Sciences, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Numerical Analysis and Computation, Risk Analysis, Statistics and Probability
The risk from erosion and flooding in the coastal zone has the potential to increase in a changing climate. The development and use of coupled hydro-morphodynamic models is therefore becoming an ever higher priority. However, their use as decision support tools suffers from the high degree of uncertainty associated with them, due to incomplete knowledge as well as natural variability in the [...]
Structural controls on the emplacement and evacuation of magma from a sub-volcanic laccolith; Reyðarártindur Laccolith, SE Iceland
Published: 2021-01-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Higher Education, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Science and Mathematics Education, Tectonics and Structure, Volcanology
Sea-level stability over geologic time owing to limited deep subduction of hydrated mantle
Published: 2021-01-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences
The presence of liquid water makes our planet unique. Its budget over geological timescales, i.e., the long-term global sea level, depends on the balance of water exchanges between the Earth's mantle and the surface through both volcanism (mantle degassing) and subduction of hydrous minerals (mantle regassing). Current estimates of subduction water fluxes predict that regassing exceeds degassing [...]