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Preprints

There are 6976 Preprints listed.

Analog experiments in volcanology: towards multimethod, upscaled and integrated models

Sam Poppe, Johan Gilchrist, Eric Christophe Pascal Breard, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

For decades scaled analog experiments have improved the understanding of a broad range of multiphase volcanological processes in controlled laboratory environments. Successfully modeled processes include magma flow through magma reservoirs, conduits and sheets, associated crustal deformation, lava flow, volcanic plume dynamics, ash cloud dispersion, pyroclast sedimentation, pyroclastic density [...]

A Practical Guide to Virtual Outcrop Photogrammetry in Earth Science

Matthew Allison, Jonathan R Hall, Stephen M Jones

Published: 2022-05-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The content of this pre-print constitutes the supplementary of a published, peer-reviewed article. Direct link to the supplementary is provided here: [...]

Early development and tuning of a global coupled cloud resolving model, and its fast response to increasing CO2

Thorsten Mauritsen, Rene Redler, Monika Esch, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

Since the dawn of functioning numerical dynamical atmosphere- and ocean models, their resolution has steadily increased, fed by an exponential growth in computational capabilities. The computationally limited resolution of models means that a number of mostly small-scale or micro-scale processes have to be parameterised -- in particular those of atmospheric moist convection and ocean eddies are [...]

Broadband Ocean Bottom Seismometer Noise Properties

Helen A Janiszewski, Zachary Eilon, Joshua Russell, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

We present a new compilation and analysis of broadband ocean bottom seismometer noise properties from 15 years of seismic deployments. We compile a comprehensive dataset of representative four-component (seismometer and pressure gauge) noise spectra and cross-spectral properties (coherence, phase, and admittance) for 551 unique stations spanning 18 US-led experiments. This is matched with a [...]

The quest for the missing plastics: Large uncertainties in river plastic export into the sea

Caspar Roebroek, Tim van Emmerik, Daniel González-Fernández, et al.

Published: 2022-05-16
Subjects: Environmental Health and Protection, Environmental Studies, Hydrology

Plastic pollution in the natural environment is causing increasing concern at both the local and global scale. Understanding the dispersion of plastic through the environment is of key importance for the effective implementation of preventive measures and cleanup strategies. Over the past few years, various models have been developed to estimate the transport of plastics in rivers, using limited [...]

Rheology of debris-flow materials is controlled by the distance from jamming

Robert P Kostynick, Hadis Matinpour, Shravan Pradeep, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

Debris flows are dense and fast-moving complex suspensions of soil and water that threaten lives and infrastructure. Assessing the hazard potential of debris flows requires predicting yield and flow behavior. Reported measurements of rheology for debris-flow slurries are highly variable and sometimes contradictory, due to heterogeneity in grain size, shape, chemical composition, and solid-volume [...]

Complex fault system revealed from 3-D seismic reflection data with deep learning and fault network analysis

Thilo Wrona, Indranil Pan, Rebecca E. Bell, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure

Understanding where normal faults are is critical to an accurate assessment of seismic hazard, the successful exploration for and production of natural (including low-carbon) resources, and for the safe subsurface storage of CO2. Our current knowledge of normal fault systems is largely derived from seismic reflection data imaging intra-continental rifts and continental margins. However, [...]

Where should hydrology go? An early-career perspective on the next IAHS Scientific Decade: 2023-2032

Theresa C van Hateren, Harro Joseph Jongen, Hadeel Al-Zawaidah, et al.

Published: 2022-05-22
Subjects: Earth Sciences

This paper shares an early-career perspective on potential themes for the upcoming International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) scientific decade (SD). This opinion paper synthesizes six discussion sessions in western Europe identifying three themes that all offer a different perspective on the hydrological threats the world faces and could serve to direct the broader hydrological [...]

Hydraulic fracturing: Laboratory evidence of the brittle-to-ductile transition with depth

Runhua Feng, Shuo Liu, Joel Sarout, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geology, Petroleum Engineering

Understanding the propagation of hydraulic fracture (HF) is essential for effectively stimulating the hydrocarbon production of unconventional reservoirs. Hydraulic fracturing may induce distinct failure modes within the formation, depending on the rheology of the solid and the in-situ stresses. A brittle-to-ductile transition of HF is thus anticipated with increasing depth, although only scarce [...]

The microwave snow grain size: a new concept to predict satellite observations over snow-covered regions

Ghislain Picard, Henning Löwe, Florent Domine, et al.

Published: 2022-05-20
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Satellite observations of snow-covered regions in the microwave range have the potential to retrieve essential climate variables such as snow height. This requires a precise understanding of how microwave scattering is linked to snow microstructural properties (density, grain size, grain shape and arrangement). This link has so far relied on empirical adjustments of the theories, precluding the [...]

Future projections for the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 2300 with a climate-index method

Ralf Greve, Christopher Robert Scott Chambers, Takashi Obase, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

As part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) was devised to assess the likely sea-level-rise contribution from the Earth's ice sheets. Here, we construct an ensemble of climate forcings for Antarctica until the year 2300 based on original ISMIP6 forcings until 2100, combined with climate indices from [...]

Cutting down trees does not build prosperity: On the continued decoupling of Amazon deforestation and economic development in 21st century Brazil

DARREN NORRIS, Terciane Sabadini Carvalho, Angela M. Guerrero, et al.

Published: 2022-05-13
Subjects: Environmental Studies, Forest Management, Life Sciences, Nature and Society Relations, Remote Sensing

Background and aims: We present evidence examining spatial and temporal patterns in forest cover changes and economic progress in Brazilian Amazonia. Specifically we tested two predictions embedded in arguments used by influential interest groups: i) where there is less forest cover economic progress should increase and ii) areas with most recent deforestation should have increased economic [...]

A very unconventional hydrocarbon play: the Mesoproterozoic Velkerri Formation of Northern Australia

Grant Cox, Alan S. Collins, Amber J.M. Jarrett, et al.

Published: 2022-05-16
Subjects: Geochemistry, Geology, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy, Tectonics and Structure

The ca. 1.5–1.3 Ga Roper Group of the greater McArthur Basin is a component of one of the most extensive Precambrian hydrocarbon-bearing basins preserved in the geological record, recently assessed as containing 429 million barrels of oil and eight trillion cubic feet of gas (in place). It was deposited in an intra-cratonic sea, referred to here as the McArthur-Yanliao Gulf. The Velkerri [...]

Experimental evaluation of the effects of bigmouth buffalo (Ictiobus cyprinellus) density on shallow lake ecosystems

Grace Marie Wilkinson, Tyler James Butts, Elena Sandry, et al.

Published: 2022-05-19
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Life Sciences, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Bigmouth buffalo (Ictiobus cyprinellus) is a large-bodied planktivore inhabiting shallow waterways in North America and subjected to unregulated harvest throughout much of their native range. Despite high harvest pressure on some populations, we know little about the ecosystem-level effects of lowering bigmouth buffalo densities. To evaluate the effect of bigmouth buffalo density on lower trophic [...]

Complex motion of Greenland Ice Sheet outlet glaciers with basal temperate ice

Robert Law, Poul Christoffersen, Emma MacKie, et al.

Published: 2022-05-19
Subjects: Glaciology

Uncertainty associated with ice motion plagues sea-level rise predictions. Much of this uncertainty arises from imperfect representations of physical processes including basal slip and internal ice deformation, with ice-sheet models largely incapable of reproducing borehole-based observations. To investigate further, we model isolated 3D domains from fast-moving (Sermeq Kujalleq or Store Glacier) [...]

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