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Preprints

There are 6976 Preprints listed.

Curlew 1.0: Spatio-temporal implicit geological modelling with neural fields in python

Akshay Vijay Kamath, Samuel T. Thiele, Marie Moulard, et al.

Published: 2025-10-10
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure

We present curlew, an open-source python package for structural geological modelling using neural fields. This modelling framework incorporates various local constraints (value, gradient, orientation and (in)equalities) and tailored global loss functions to ensure data-consistent and geologically realistic predictions. Random Fourier Feature (RFF) encodings are used to improve model convergence [...]

Contrasting patterns of deforestation and reforestation in India’s tropical dry woodlands

Dhanapal Govindarajulu, Timothy Foster, Rose Pritchard, et al.

Published: 2025-10-07
Subjects: Environmental Studies, Remote Sensing, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Tropical dry woodlands are key ecosystems for global biodiversity, carbon storage, and forest-based livelihoods in some of the poorest regions of the world. Many of these woodlands have been historically converted and degraded, and while recovery occurs in some areas, the pressure on remaining tropical dry woodlands remains high. Despite this, our understanding of spatial patterns of tropical dry [...]

Paleoclimate pattern effects help constrain climate sensitivity and 21st-century warming

Vincent T Cooper, Kyle C. Armour, Greg Hakim, et al.

Published: 2025-10-07
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate

Abstract: Paleoclimates provide examples of past climate change that inform estimates of modern warming from greenhouse-gas emissions, known as Earth's climate sensitivity. However, differences between past and present climate change must be accounted for when inferring climate sensitivity from paleoclimate evidence. The closest paleoclimate analog to near-term warming from greenhouse-gas [...]

Seasonal ice dynamics control the timing of crevasse drainage at a fast-flowing outlet glacier

Thomas R Chudley, Chris R Stokes, James M Lea, et al.

Published: 2025-10-07
Subjects: Glaciology

Crevasse field drainage transfers at least half of the seasonal runoff from the surface to the bed of the Greenland Ice Sheet, but the patterns of drainage are complex and spatio-temporally heterogenous. To better understand controls on crevasse drainage processes, we use an automated deep learning method to map the seasonal filling and drainage of water-filled crevasses at Sermeq Kujalleq (Store [...]

Long-lived topography along rifted margins: Insights from Aparados da Serra escarpment, Southeast Brazil

Mauricio Barcelos Haag, Scott Jess, Lindsay M. Schoenbohm, et al.

Published: 2025-10-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure

The Brazilian margin is one of the longest elevated passive margins (EPMs) in the world. However, both the timing of uplift and the long-term evolution of this EPM remain highly debated. In this study, we present a new suite of apatite (U-Th-Sm)/He (AHe) and fission track (AFT) ages for the southern end of the Brazilian EPM, in the Aparados da Serra plateau. Combined with literature data, our [...]

Toward Greater Clarity: Reanalyzing Solomon’s Depiction of the Ross Ice Shelf Atmospheric Dynamic

Mila Zinkova

Published: 2025-10-10
Subjects: Education, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences

In the final chapters of The Coldest March: Scott's Fatal Antarctic Expedition, Dr. Susan Solomon analyzes the meteorological conditions surrounding the last blizzard that claimed the lives of Captain Robert Falcon Scott, Dr. Edward Wilson, and Lieutenant Henry Bowers. The book’s conclusion—that the storm could not have lasted ten days and that the men may have chosen to die—warrants close [...]

Dueling dynamics of low-angle normal fault rupture with splay faulting and off-fault damage

James Biemiller, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Thomas Ulrich

Published: 2026-04-16
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology

Despite a lack of modern large earthquakes on shallowly dipping normal faults, Holocene Mw>7 low-angle normal fault (LANF; dip<30°) ruptures are preserved paleoseismically and inferred from historical earthquake and tsunami accounts. Even in well-recorded megathrust earthquakes, the effects of non-linear off-fault plasticity and dynamically reactivated splay faults on shallow deformation [...]

Formation and fluxes of natural hydrogen in the crust and upper mantle

Kevin Wong, Martina Cascone, Donato Giovannelli, et al.

Published: 2025-10-09
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Earth Sciences, Geochemistry

Molecular hydrogen (H2) is a fundamental component of planetary evolution and an important energy source for microbial life. It is now understood that natural mechanisms, spanning geological and biological processes, can produce high concentrations of hydrogen in natural fluids. Quantifying the processes that modulate natural hydrogen concentrations is necessary not only for conceptualising the [...]

Steep nested clinoforms in the mixed siliciclastic-carbonate Sobrarbe Deltaic Complex (Eocene, Aínsa Basin, Spain)

Leticia Rodriguez-Blanco, Miquel Poyatos-Moré, Ivar Midtkandal, et al.

Published: 2025-10-09
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy

This study investigates the processes controlling the development of nested clinoforms in outcrops of the Eocene Sobrarbe Deltaic Complex of the Aínsa Basin, highlighting their significance as archives of basin-margin evolution. Small-scale clinoforms record the higher-frequency cycles of delta progradation and the coetaneous development of a carbonate factory, while large-scale clinoforms record [...]

Vegetable supply to Tokyo disrupted by 2023 and 2024 summer heatwaves

CHAOGEJILATU ., Toshichika IIZUMI, Takahiro TAKIMOTO

Published: 2025-10-09
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

 Understanding the impacts on urban food supply from extreme climate events is a first step towards building climate-resilient agri-food systems. Here, we report on vegetable supply disruptions in the Tokyo metropolitan area due to the summer heatwaves of 2023 and 2024, using the governmental survey on wholesale market arrival volumes and prices. Fifteen vegetables (broccoli, cabbage, carrot, [...]

Seismicity Migration from Fluid Injection: Laboratory Experiments and Numerical Models Illuminate Volume-Driven versus Pressure-Diffusion-Driven Migration

Jun Young Song, Lingfu Liu, Chloé Arson, et al.

Published: 2025-10-09
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Geotechnical Engineering, Mining Engineering

Fluid injection into the subsurface can induce seismicity by reactivating shear rupture, which typically produces larger earthquake magnitudes than tensile rupture. In laboratory shear rupture experiments, pressurization of the entire fault is often limited because large unconfined samples allow fluid to leak at free surfaces. In this study, we investigated shear fault reactivation by directly [...]

Tides of change: an exploratory qualitative study on the health risks of an AMOC collapse in Europe, with a focus on Germany

Juliane Mirow

Published: 2025-10-10
Subjects: Public Health

This qualitative study examines the potential health and societal impacts of an Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) collapse on European populations, with a particular focus on Germany. Through semi-structured interviews with 17 transdisciplinary experts, the research investigates how a weakening AMOC could amplify existing health risks, create new challenges and strain healthcare [...]

Informing landfill emission reporting programs through remote sensing

Kate Howell, Tia Scarpelli, Riley Duren, et al.

Published: 2025-10-11
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Landfills are a significant source of global methane emissions. To quantify and track emissions from these sources over time, jurisdictions and industry experts generally use emission models that involve a variety of process and waste characterization assumptions. These models are used to assess landfill operational performance and establish emission reduction targets. Testing the assumptions of [...]

A City Under Heat: Assessing urban heat island impacts on mortality risk from non-communicable diseases in metropolitan zones of Mexico, 2003-2019

Constantino González Salazar, Andrea Guadalupe Velázquez-Cisneros

Published: 2025-10-11
Subjects: Public Health

Urban heat island (UHI) has been recognized as a serious health threat in urban cities worldwide, which can contribute to thermal discomfort, and a range of morbidity and mortality outcomes. Using mortality records for five International Classification of Diseases chapters (4, 5, 6, 9, and 10) from 2003–2019 across metropolitan regions in Mexico, and summer and winter daytime/nighttime UHI [...]

Global Biosphere Productivity Response to Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Collapse During Heinrich Stadial 4

Ji-Woong Yang, jean-baptiste Ladant, Thomas Blunier, et al.

Published: 2025-10-11
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Climate

The slowdown of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) due to ongoing climate change raises concerns about its impact on the global carbon cycle. Understanding how global biosphere productivity may respond to such changes is essential for predicting the future carbon cycle, yet quantifying past global biosphere productivity remains challenging. We use triple isotope composition of [...]

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