Preprints
There are 7999 Preprints listed.
Green Hydrogen: The Future Prospect for Nepal's Energy Sector
Published: 2026-05-17
Subjects: Engineering
Nepal possesses an immense technically and economically feasible renewable energy potential of 45,000 MW, yet its current energy consumption remains heavily dominated by traditional sources and imported carbon-based fuels, driving a massive national trade deficit. This study investigates whether green hydrogen, produced using surplus hydroelectricity, serves as a viable prospective pathway toward [...]
Closing the Duration Gap in RVT: The Energetic Duration
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Engineering
Duration is a fundamental descriptor of earthquake ground motion, yet it remains ill-defined across engineering seismology, with numerous threshold-based measures adopted for specific applications. This ambiguity has allowed duration to function as a calibration parameter in analyses such as random vibration theory (RVT), where it is often adjusted to match observed response spectra. This paper [...]
First-principles theory for Earth's tropical-midlatitude climate boundary
Published: 2026-04-22
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
In Earth's climate, the boundary between the tropics and midlatitudes is a key determinant of temperature and precipitation characteristics, influencing human societies through daily weather, atmospheric chemistry, carbon cycling, and vegetation distribution. The physical origin of these climate zones has been investigated through idealized simulations, observations, and state-of-the-art climate [...]
Episodic slowdown of global warming by a multi-year La Niña
Published: 2026-05-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Global mean surface temperature (GMST), which has continued to rise due to the anthropogenic greenhouse gas forcing, is closely related to the sea surface temperature variability in the tropical Pacific. In particular, GMST is known to increase during a strong and short-lived El Niño. By contrast, the global cooling effect of a weak and long-lived La Niña remains underexplored, particularly that [...]
Overshoot pathway fingerprints persist after global temperature stabilization
Published: 2026-06-29
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Exceedance of global warming thresholds under overshoot, peak and decline pathways may leave regional climate legacies that persist even after global temperature stabilization. This study examines whether such overshoot pathway fingerprints remain detectable after stabilization at similar global warming levels by comparing two multi-century CMIP6 simulations with different magnitudes and [...]
The African Transport Systems Database: an open geospatial database of multi-modal connected networks
Published: 2025-09-29
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Engineering, Transportation Engineering
We present the first comprehensive geolocated multi-modal transport database for the whole continent of Africa, the African Transport Systems Database (AfTS-Db), including road, rail, aviation, maritime and inland waterway networks. To do so, we created and standardized asset and network data across all transport modes, including inter-modal connections, attributes of road and rail corridors and [...]
Unprecedented Social-Ecological Impacts of the 2023 Extreme Drought in the Central Amazon
Published: 2025-03-21
Subjects: Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences
While the 2023 record-breaking drought led to widespread social-ecological impacts across Amazonia, local impacts of such extreme events are rarely described in detail. Here we leverage a large interdisciplinary data collection related to social and ecological impacts in the Central Amazon. Compound hazards (reduced river water levels, lack of rainfall, high water/air temperatures, river erosion [...]
Long-term future Greenland ice loss determined by peak global warming
Published: 2026-04-28
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Climate, Glaciology
The Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) is known to be very sensitive to climate change, and persistent global warming only slightly higher than today could be enough to completely melt it. However, the implications of a temporary crossing of this temperature threshold for future GrIS mass loss remain unknown. Here we present simulations of the next 10,000 years under different future anthropogenic [...]
Reduced geomagnetic shielding increased UV-B radiation at Earth’s surface during the Laschamps Event
Published: 2026-04-30
Subjects: Astrophysics and Astronomy, Atmospheric Sciences, Biochemistry, Biogeochemistry, Biology, Earth Sciences, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Chemistry, Environmental Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Life Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Other Life Sciences, Paleobiology, Physical and Environmental Geography, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Planetary Geochemistry, Planetary Geology, Planetary Geophysics and Seismology, Planetary Sciences, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Statistics and Probability
Exposure to excess UV-B radiation can harm organisms through DNA damage and oxidative stress, and has likely been a key ecological and evolutionary driver throughout Earth’s history. Here, we show UV-B at Earth’s surface was significantly increased during the Laschamps Event, the last major geomagnetic excursion ca. 41ka BP. During the Laschamps, we find significant and prolonged (lasting [...]
Operational Flood Forecasting System in Denmark – Integrating Groundwater and Surface-water
Published: 2025-06-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology
Most operational flood forecasting systems provide predictions of pluvial and fluvial floods, often neglecting groundwater flooding. Groundwater-induced floods can occur when prolonged rainfall, high river stages or elevated sea levels raise the groundwater table above the surface of the land, often occurring in low-lying areas or areas with specific soil and land-surface conditions. This study [...]
ENSO-conditioned evolution of global mean surface temperature
Published: 2026-05-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Here we examined how the June--May trajectory of global mean surface temperature (GMST) can be anticipated from recent GMST evolution and upcoming boreal winter Ni\~no-3.4 values. Principal component analysis and dimension reduction led to a simple, interpretable model in which the June--May monthly GMST trajectory is conditioned on two quantities: the average GMST of the prior 12 months and the [...]
Geostatistical Assessment of Shallow Groundwater Risk in Urban Coastal Virginia: A Case Study from Virginia Beach
Published: 2026-04-14
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Geology, Hydrology, Life Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences, Water Resource Management
Urban groundwater assessments in coastal cities often rely on public monitoring datasets that are spatially uneven and temporally discontinuous. This study evaluates shallow groundwater risk in Virginia Beach, Virginia, using 30 years of records (1991–2020) from 121 monitoring wells for groundwater levels and 55 wells with groundwater‑quality data for chloride (Cl), iron (Fe), and manganese (Mn). [...]
Assessing Causality in PM2.5 and NO2 Changes One Year After New York City’s Congestion Pricing Policy
Published: 2026-04-22
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Environmental Sciences
On January 5, 2025, New York City implemented the Central Business District Tolling Program (CBDTP), a congestion pricing policy targeting lower Manhattan. We evaluate its air quality effects after one year using ground-based and satellite observations. Using New York City Community Air Survey (NYCCAS) real-time PM2.5 monitors, we compare PM2.5 concentrations during the first year of CBDTP [...]
Assessment of riverbed evolution in the Vam Nao River under the influence of sand mining using a numerical model
Published: 2026-04-28
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Riverbed sand mining is a major anthropogenic driver of sediment imbalance and riverbank erosion in the Mekong Delta. This study investigates its morphological impacts using the hydrodynamic–morphological model HYDIST, coupled with a sand mining source function (Ssm), to directly simulate unsustainable sand mining. The model is applied to the Vam Nao River, a confluence connecting the Tien and [...]
Extreme changes in water level regenerate reed stands and a stable water regime leads to die-off: lessons from the analysis of 40-year satellite time series observations in a shallow lake ecosystem.
Published: 2026-05-30
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Hydrology, Natural Resources and Conservation, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology, Water Resource Management
Reed wetlands are key to the productivity of shallow lakes, and their condition is tightly governed by water level variability. Using long-term satellite observations, we provide the first analysis linking hydrology and reed vitality at Lake Neusiedl, a major climate sensitive wetland system in the Pannonian Basin. We assembled a 40-year record (1985–2025) of Landsat derived Enhanced Vegetation [...]