Preprints
There are 8001 Preprints listed.
Large-Scale Modulation of Mesoscale Convective System Propagation and Diurnal Rainfall over the Western Maritime Continent
Published: 2026-08-14
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Meteorology
The western Maritime Continent exhibits a pronounced regional diurnal cycle of rainfall, to which the propagating Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) make a significant contribution. Using an automated tracking algorithm based on brightness temperature, we quantify the contribution of MCSs to the regional diurnal cycle over Singapore and the South China Sea. MCSs affecting the Singapore sector [...]
Seasonal water-source transitions across livelihood systems in Somalia: Spatial heterogeneity and household correlates
Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Geography
Water access in dryland settings is commonly represented by a single primary drinking-water source, although households may reorganize their water supply as rainfall, source availability, mobility, and market access change between seasons. This study examines rainy-to-dry water-source transitions across livelihood systems in Somalia using the nationally representative 2022 Somalia Integrated [...]
Vulnerability to flood-sensitive environmentally persistent zoonoses: a scoping review
Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Public Health
Background Environmentally persistent zoonoses (EPZs), such as leptospirosis and melioidosis, are caused by pathogens that can survive outside of a host for over 48 hours. Their transmission is sensitive to climate hazards such as flooding, which can disperse pathogens and increase opportunities for spillover. Risk of exposure to EPZs during flooding is influenced by the vulnerability of exposed [...]
Multipole Modeling for Magnetic Microscopy Constrained by Euler Deconvolution
Published: 2026-08-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology
Magnetic microscopy is rapidly advancing toward higher spatial resolutions and smaller sensor-to-sample distances. Under these conditions, dipolar approaches become increasingly limited because higher-order magnetic contributions can no longer be neglected when retrieving reliable full-vector information for paleomagnetic and rock magnetic applications. However, multipolar representations often [...]
Rapid satellite assessment of the 2026 High Fens fire
Published: 2026-10-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences
Climate change is altering fire regimes across Europe, contributing to longer periods of favorable fire weather. In August 2026, the High Fens nature reserve experienced one of Belgium's largest recorded wildfires. This event is ecologically significant as it affected carbon-dense peatlands vulnerable to smouldering combustion and carbon (C) release. This study provides a satellite-based [...]
Variance-ranked sound speed bases misclassify the surface duct: limits of profile RMSE as a proxy for acoustic prediction skill in the Bay of Bengal
Published: 2026-09-17
Subjects: Geography, Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Remote Sensing, Social and Behavioral Sciences
Sound speed profile (SSP) estimation from surface observables is operationally mature and is evaluated almost universally by profile root-mean-square error. Using 19,934 Argo profiles from the Bay of Bengal (2005–2020), season-stratified empirical orthogonal function (EOF) bases, and BELLHOP transmission loss (TL) at 500 Hz, 1500 Hz and 3500 Hz over 24 held-out locations, we show that this metric [...]
A comprehensive evaluation of inland water quality monitoring using the long-term Landsat archive and mixture density networks
Published: 2026-09-01
Subjects: Life Sciences
Nutrient enrichment of inland and coastal waters is visible from space. In these regions, chlorophyll a (chl-a), total suspended solids (TSS), and Secchi depth (ZSD) constitute the most commonly targeted water quality parameters. A growing number of studies have shown that, despite not being strictly optically active, total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) can nonetheless be estimated from [...]
The Uncertainty Landscape Beyond Variance
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Forest Management, Mathematics, Statistics and Probability, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology
Modern science has become good at measuring uncertainty. Across statistics, artificial intelligence, economics, Earth observation, environmental modelling and decision science, researchers increasingly invoke uncertainty when interpreting evidence, evaluating predictions and supporting decisions. These disciplines often use the word uncertainty to describe conceptually different scientific [...]
A Benchmark Dataset of Agricultural Weather Stations over the Contiguous United States for Evapotranspiration Applications
Published: 2026-01-17
Subjects: Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Studies, Geographic Information Sciences, Hydrology, Water Resource Management
Agricultural weather data are fundamental for the accurate estimate of evapotranspiration (ET), irrigation scheduling, and water-use accounting. In particular, reference ET provides a standardized atmospheric demand for water loss from a hypothetical well-watered grass (ETo) or alfalfa (ETr); however, weather stations may not adequately represent such climatic conditions. Weather data commonly [...]
On the seasonal predictability of the 2020 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season
Published: 2026-03-04
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The 2020 Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) season was unprecedented, producing a record storm count that exceeded the seasonal forecasted ranges, despite their anticipation of high activity. Here we assess the likelihood of the extreme 2020 season given the observed sea surface temperature (SST) forcing by examining a hierarchy of statistical, dynamical, and deep learning (DL) modeling frameworks, [...]
Leveraging satellite data and machine learning to quantify rooftop rainwater harvesting reliability and tank requirements for schools and health care facilities in Uganda
Published: 2026-10-18
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth Sciences, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Geography, Hydrology, Remote Sensing, Water Resource Management
Many schools and health facilities in Uganda lack a reliable water supply, yet most have roofs that could collect rain. For 41,592 facilities (32,881 schools and 8,711 health facilities), we estimated how much water their roofs can supply, how large a tank each one needs, and how often that supply fails. Roof areas came from AI-derived building footprints (Google Open Buildings v3) and daily [...]
Large climate model ensembles reveal underdispersion in seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone counts
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) counts are commonly modeled as a conditional Poisson process, implying that the distribution of possible seasonal outcomes—the range of TC counts that could plausibly occur in a given year—exhibits equidispersion for a given climate state, with its variance equal to its mean. This assumption underlies many statistical frameworks used for seasonal TC [...]
From Pixels to Mobile Pastoral Households: Scale Mismatch, Exposure Measurement, and Inference in Mongolian Rangeland Research
Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences
Spatially explicit Earth-observation products and machine-learning models increasingly support detailed monitoring of vegetation productivity and land-surface dynamics across Mongolia. Yet the spatial unit observed by a satellite, the area actually grazed by a mobile herd, the administrative unit used in official statistics, and the household unit used in socioeconomic surveys are rarely [...]
The effect of plankton vertical migration on primary productivity in a warmer more stratified ocean
Published: 2026-08-13
Subjects: Life Sciences
Marine primary production sustains ocean ecosystems and plays a central role in regulating the global carbon cycle. Current projections suggest that ocean warming will enhance water stratification, limiting the resupply of inorganic nutrients to surface waters, and consequently reduce primary production. This view neglects possible biological feedback mechanisms such as vertical migration by [...]
Earth Embeddings as the New Foundations for Geospatial Analysis: A Comprehensive Review
Published: 2026-08-13
Subjects: Engineering
The rapid growth of Earth observation data, particularly from satellite constellations, airborne sensors, in situ monitoring networks, and geospatial platforms, has created unprecedented opportunities for understanding the Earth system. However, transforming these massive, heterogeneous, multi-scale, and multi-temporal data streams into actionable geospatial intelligence remains challenging. [...]