Preprints
There are 7994 Preprints listed.
Illuminating water cycle modifications and Earth System resilience in the Anthropocene
Published: 2019-04-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Fresh water – the bloodstream of the biosphere – is at the centre of the planetary drama of the Anthropocene. Water fluxes and stores regulate the Earth’s climate and are essential for thriving aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems, as well as water, food and energy security. But the water cycle is also being modified by humans at an unprecedented scale and rate. A holistic understanding of [...]
Determining cooling rates from mica 40Ar/39Ar thermochronology data: effect of cooling path shape
Published: 2019-04-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Geology, Other Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Tectonic models are commonly underpinned by metamorphic cooling rates derived from diffusive-loss thermochronology data. Such cooling ages are usually linked to temperature via Dodson’s 1973 closure temperature (TC) formulation, which specifies a 1/time-shaped cooling path. Geologists, however, commonly discuss cooling rates as a linear temperature/time shape. We present the results of a series [...]
Equifinality and preservation potential of complex eskers
Published: 2019-03-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Glaciology, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Eskers are useful for reconstructing meltwater drainage systems of glaciers and ice sheets. However, our process understanding of eskers suffers from a disconnect between sporadic detailed morpho-sedimentary investigations of abundant large-scale ancient esker systems, and a small number of modern analogues where esker formation has been observed. This paper presents the results of detailed field [...]
Beneficial land use change: Strategic expansion of new biomass plantations can reduce environmental impacts from EU agriculture
Published: 2019-03-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Other Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Society faces the double challenge of increasing biomass production to meet the future demands for food, materials and bioenergy, while addressing negative impacts of current (and future) land use. In the discourse, land use change (LUC) has often been considered as negative, referring to impacts of deforestation and expansion of biomass plantations. However, strategic establishment of suitable [...]
The Dynamics of Elongated Earthquake Ruptures
Published: 2019-03-14
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The largest earthquakes propagate laterally after saturating the fault’s seismogenic width and reach large length-to-width ratios L/W. Smaller earthquakes can also develop elongated ruptures due to confinement by heterogeneities of initial stresses or material properties. The energetics of such elongated ruptures is radically different from that of conventional circular crack models: they feature [...]
HYRISK: An R package for hybrid uncertainty analysis using probability, imprecise probability and possibility distributions
Published: 2018-08-31
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Engineering, Ordinary Differential Equations and Applied Dynamics, Other Applied Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Risk Analysis
Uncertainty analysis is an unavoidable risk assessment task (for instance for natural hazards, or for environmental issues). In situations where data are scarce, incomplete or imprecise, the systematic and only use of probabilities can be debatable. Over the last years, several alternative mathematical representation methods have been developed to handle in a more flexible manner the lack of [...]
Early exhumation of the Frontal Cordillera (Southern Central Andes) and implications for Andean mountain-building at ~33.5°S
Published: 2019-03-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure
The Andes are the modern active example of a Cordilleran-type orogen, with mountain-building and crustal thickening within the upper plate of a subduction zone. Despite numerous studies of this emblematic mountain range, several primary traits of this orogeny remain unresolved or poorly documented. The onset of uplift and deformation of the Frontal Cordillera basement culmination of the Southern [...]
The effect of stress changes on time-dependent earthquake probabilities for the central Wasatch Fault Zone, Utah, USA.
Published: 2019-03-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure
Static and quasi-static Coulomb stress changes produced by large earthquakes can modify the probability of occurrence of subsequent events on neighboring faults. This approach is based on physical (Coulomb stress changes) and statistical (probability calculations) models, which are influenced by the quality and quantity of data available in the study region. Here, we focus on the Wasatch Fault [...]
Half the worlds population already experiences years 1.5°C warmer than preindustrial
Published: 2019-03-13
Subjects: Climate, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The Paris Agreement aims to limit the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C above preindustrial. A natural question for the public to ask is “But how much warmer than preindustrial is where I live?” We develop a pattern-scaling technique to present local annually-resolved, gridded temperature anomalies prior to the industrial burning of fossil fuels. On average the past 5 years, [...]
Wetropolis extreme rainfall and flood demonstrator: from mathematical design to outreach and research
Published: 2019-03-11
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Water Resource Management
Wetropolis is a transportable "table-top" demonstration model with extreme rainfall and flooding events. It is a conceptual model with random rainfall, river flow, a flood plain, an upland reservoir, a porous moor, representing the upper catchment and visualising groundwater flow, and a city which can flood following extreme rainfall. Its aim is to let the viewer experience extreme rainfall and [...]
From bore-soliton-splash to rogue waves, a new wave-energy device and extreme tsunami run-up
Published: 2019-03-11
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Water Resource Management
We explore extreme nonlinear water-wave amplification in a contraction or, analogously, wave amplification in crossing seas. The latter case can lead to extreme or rogue-wave formation at sea. First, amplification of a solitary-water-wave compound running into a contraction is disseminated experimentally, for small-scale and larger wavetanks. Maximum amplification in our bore-soliton-splash [...]
A database of submarine landslides offshore West and Southwest Iberia
Published: 2021-02-22
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology
Submarine landslides are major geohazards occurring on distinct seabed domains ranging from shallow coastal areas to the deeper points of the ocean. The nature and relief of the seabed are key factors influencing the location and size of submarine landslides. Efforts have recently been made to compile databases of submarine landslide distribution and morphometry, a crucial task to assess [...]
Average daily flow of microplastics through a tertiary wastewater treatment plant over a ten-month period
Published: 2019-03-12
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Microplastics (MPs, <5 mm in size) are classified as emerging contaminants but treatment processes are not designed to remove these small particles. Wastewater treatment systems have been proposed as pathways for MPs pollution to receiving waters but quantitative and qualitative data on MP occurrence and transport remains limited, hindering risk assessment and regulation. Here, for the first [...]
Post-critical SsPmp and its Applications to Virtual Deep Seismic Sounding 2: 1D Imaging of the Crust/Mantle and Joint Constraints with Receiver Function
Published: 2019-03-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Virtual Deep Seismic Sounding (VDSS) has recently emerged as a novel method to image the crust-mantle-boundary (CMB) and potentially other lithospheric boundaries. In Liu et al., 2018 (“Part 1”), we showed that the arrival time and waveform of post-critical SsPmp, the post-critical reflection phase at the CMB used in VDSS, is sensitive to multiple attributes of the crust and upper mantle. Here, [...]
Unfolding Veined Fold Limbs to Deduce a Basins Prefolding Stress State
Published: 2019-03-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Education, Outdoor Education, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure
Tectonic structures that developed prior to folding, such as pre- and early-kinematic veins, hold valuable information on the stress state of the paleobasin in which these early structures formed. To derive the parental orientation of these prefolding brittle structures, folds need to “unfold.” A fold restoration methodology is presented in which fold limbs, and the structures they contain, are [...]