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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Temporal Analysis of Site-Level Methane Emissions from Nearly One Thousand Upstream Oil and Gas Facilities Equipped with Fixed-Point Continuous Monitoring Systems

David Ball, Ali Lashgari, Nathan Eichenlaub, et al.

Published: 2026-03-19
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Temporal variability in methane emissions from oil and gas facilities may significantly impact the accuracy of measurement-based emissions inventories and the effectiveness of measurement-based mitigation policies. Yet the existing knowledge of duration, frequency, and magnitude of emission events remains very limited. A deeper understanding of these temporal characteristics is therefore [...]

Comparison of probabilistic approaches to acoustic full-waveform inversion in compressed model and data spaces

Sean Berti, Fabio Macelloni, Mattia Aleardi, et al.

Published: 2026-03-18
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Full-waveform inversion estimates subsurface properties by minimizing the misfit between observed and modelled data. However, conventional deterministic approaches are highly sensitive to noise, dependent on the starting model and prone to converging to local minima of the cost function. Bayesian approaches offer a viable alternative, enhancing solution space exploration and providing uncertainty [...]

Leveraging synthetic data for deep learning denoising and prediction of measured earthquake waveforms

Alexander Bauer, Conny Hammer

Published: 2026-03-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Single-station recordings of teleseismic earthquakes are inherently complex due to the superposition of numerous seismic phases and their contamination with noise, which can be particularly problematic in urban environments. A detailed knowledge of the wavefield generated by teleseismic earthquakes is critical for high-precision research facilities like those involved in photon science or gravity [...]

Kelvin-Helmholtz Stability Analysis as a Function of Dipole Tilt and Solar Wind Property

Xuanye Ma, Alexander Navarro, Jay Robert Johnson, et al.

Published: 2026-03-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Beyond efficiency: Sufficiency unlocks deep decarbonization of U.S. residential sector

Shuhaib Nawawi, Parth Vaishnav, Xiaoyang Zhong, et al.

Published: 2026-03-17
Subjects: Climate, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Residential decarbonization strategies in the United States have focused predominantly on energy efficiency measures such as heat pump adoption and building envelope upgrades, while sufficiency—avoiding unnecessary energy demand while ensuring well-being—remains largely unrepresented in quantitative national scenarios. Here, we assess the effects of structural sufficiency (i.e., moderating [...]

Melt sustains pre-monsoon flow while groundwater drives the monsoon in the Nepal Himalayas

Luc Illien, Christoff Andermann, Peter Makus, et al.

Published: 2026-03-15
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Himalayan water-security assessments often focus on glacier retreat, yet groundwater may supply much of river flow. We combine seismic observations from the Hi-CLIMB transect across Nepal (2002–2004) with gauged discharge, satellite precipitation, and glacier-cover inventories to resolve when streamflow is sustained by melt versus groundwater. Relative seismic velocity changes track hillslope [...]

THE ROLE OF IRON CENTERS IN COAL OXIDATION: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND QUANTITATIVE ESTIMATION OF SURFACE ACTIVE SITE DENSITY

Olga N. Shagarova

Published: 2026-03-15
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Iron in coals occurs in various forms (pyrite, ultradispersed particles, ions in the carbon matrix) and plays a key role in oxidation processes, spontaneous combustion, liquefaction, and gasification. Although extensive experimental data have accumulated over recent decades, a systematic generalization linking quantitative estimates of the surface density of catalytically active Fe centers to [...]

The 1908 Tunguska event and some mini-Tunguskas

Andrei Ol'khovatov

Published: 2026-03-14
Subjects: Education, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

This paper is a continuation of a series of works, devoted to various aspects of the 1908 Tunguska event. This paper is devoted to several events which can be called as mini-Tunguskas. Their manifestations are in some ways similar to the 1908 Tunguska event, only on a much smaller scale. Often initially such events were interpreted as meteoroidal bolides or even meteorite falls. However, the [...]

A Physics-Informed Data Science Approach to Quantifying Rain-Snow Fraction Dynamics in the Central Himalayas

Sujan Bhattarai, Dhiraj Pradhananga, Bhola Nath Dhakal, et al.

Published: 2026-03-13
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Mountain studies worldwide have documented increases in rainfall fraction as an impact of climate change. Most mountain systems show an increasing trend in rainfall fraction due to shifting snow precipitation to rain. In Nepal, which occupies an 800 km-long belt of the Hindu Kush Himalaya, the precipitation phase trend is not well known. This study conducts a precipitation phase study in the [...]

Interpretable Relations between Tropical Sea Surface Temperature and U.S. Precipitation in Winter Season Forecasts

Michelle L. L'Heureux, Michael K. Tippett

Published: 2026-03-13
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We explore the large-scale relations between anomalies of global tropical sea surface temperature (SST) and U.S. precipitation to assess the sources of December-February (DJF) predictability and skill. Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) is applied to forecasts from NOAA's latest seasonal prediction system, the Seamless System for Prediction and EArth System Research (SPEAR). We find that DJF [...]

Complete electrification worsens the net energy prospects of a transition based on wind and solar energy.

Ugo Vaitua Legendre, Louis Delannoy, Pablo Rafael Brito-Parada

Published: 2026-03-12
Subjects: Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Mitigating climate change largely relies on substituting fossil fuels with low-carbon, electricity-producing energy sources. This mass electrification deeply alters sectoral energy demand, as some sectors can be more efficiently electrified than others. Building transition infrastructure – such as solar and wind farms, grid extensions, and electric vehicles – at a sufficient pace to achieve [...]

Multi-decadal Barrier Island Fate Varies as a Function of Management Strategy

Benton Willis Franklin, Laura J Moore, Katherine Anarde, et al.

Published: 2026-03-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Barrier islands are highly dynamic components of sandy coastlines, making up 10% of coastlines globally. Barriers provide recreational opportunities, protect mainland communities from storms, support tourism, and provide ecologically important habitat. Using a spatially explicit barrier island model, CASCADE, calibrated to represent the historical dynamics of Ocracoke, a barrier island in the [...]

Evaluating global spectral unmixing techniques using imaging spectroscopy data for retrieval of green, non-photosynthetic vegetation, and soil fractional cover

Francisco Ochoa, Phillip G Brodrick, Jorge A. Ochoa Gonzalez, et al.

Published: 2026-03-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Remote Sensing, Soil Science

Global estimates of fractional cover of green vegetation (GV), non-photosynthetic vegetation (NPV), and soil provide valuable information about the Earth system. As the new generation of Earth visible-to-shortwave infrared (VSWIR) imaging spectrometers take orbit, global fractional cover data will be obtainable with new and improved spectral unmixing algorithms. Using an ASD Field Spectrometer [...]

HIGH-RESOLUTION DIGITAL TERRAIN MODEL FOR THE ITALIAN TERRITORY

Marina Muto, Mario Panza, Mauro Rossi, et al.

Published: 2026-03-12
Subjects: Agriculture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Engineering Education, Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography, Life Sciences, Mining Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Risk Analysis, Social and Behavioral Sciences

High-resolution digital terrain models are essential for environmental planning and territorial analyses, and provide foundations for geomorphological and hydrological applications, including flood and landslide modelling and geo-hydrological hazard and risk assessments. In Italy, airborne LiDAR surveys have improved the representation of terrain morphology in the last decade, but their coverage [...]

Fast and Slow Groundwater Reservoir Dynamics Revealed by Seismic Velocity Changes and Bayesian ICA in a Taiwan Mountain Ridge

Luc Illien, Jens Martin Turowski, Christoff Andermann, et al.

Published: 2026-03-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Mountain block recharge (MBR) is an important but difficult-to-observe component of mountain water budgets, especially in steep terrain where groundwater measurements are sparse. In such settings, relative seismic velocity changes (dv/v) derived from ambient-noise interferometry provide a potential proxy for hydrological storage variations, but interpretation is complicated because each frequency [...]

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