Preprints
Filtering by Subject: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Drought impacts on the electricity system, emissions, and air quality in the western US
Published: 2023-01-11
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences
The western United States has experienced severe drought in recent decades, and climate models project increased drought risk in the future. This increased drying could have important implications for the region's interconnected, hydropower-dependent electricity systems. Using power-plant level generation and emissions data from 2001-2021, we quantify the impacts of drought on the operation of [...]
Constraining the complex refractive index of black carbon particles using the complex forward-scattering amplitude
Published: 2023-01-11
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Black carbon is the largest contributor to global aerosol’s shortwave absorption in the current atmosphere and is an important positive climate forcer. The complex refractive index, m = mr + imi, the primary determinant of the absorbed and scattered energies of incident radiation per unit volume of particulate material, has not been accurately known for atmospheric black carbon material. An [...]
Oracle bone script records explain the impact of climate extremes in ancient China
Published: 2023-01-06
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences
Extreme climatic and weather events have raised increasing concerns in the context of climate change for causing severe disasters worldwide. As for ancient civilizations, however, possible causes of extreme events and their corresponding cultural responses have remained unclear. By quantitatively analyzing the weather information in ~55000 oracle bone script pieces, we constructed three ~200-year [...]
Assessing automated gap imputation of regional scale groundwater level data sets with typical gap patterns
Published: 2023-01-04
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Large groundwater level (GWL) data sets are often patchy with hydrographs containing continuous gaps and irregular measurement frequencies. However, most statistical time series analyses require regular observations, thus hydrographs with larger gaps are routinely excluded from further analysis despite the loss of coverage and representativity of an initially large data set. Missing values can be [...]
Refining the Moho across the Australian continent
Published: 2023-01-04
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
In recent years there has been a considerable expansion of deployments of portable seismic stations across Australia, which have been analysed by receiver function or autocorrelation methods to extract estimates of Moho depth. An ongoing program of full-crustal reflection profiles has now provided more than 25,000 km of reflection transects that have been interpreted for Moho structure. The Moho [...]
A Scenario-Neutral Approach to Climate Change in Glacier Mass Balance Modelling
Published: 2023-01-01
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
In hydrology and water resources management, scenario-neutral methods are already common, mostly used to rapidly compare system responses to plausible changes in climate. As a first application in glaciology, a scenario-neutral approach, using climatic mass balance as a system response, is applied to four glaciers: Hintereisferner (AT), Peyto Glacier (CA), Austre Brøggerbreen (NO) and Abramov [...]
High-resolution grids of daily air temperature for Peru - the new PISCOt v1.2 dataset
Published: 2022-12-30
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Gridded high-resolution climate datasets are increasingly important for a wide range of modelling applications. Here we present PISCOt (v1.2), a novel high spatial resolution (0.01°) dataset of daily air temperature for entire Peru (1981-2020). The dataset development involves four main steps: i) quality control; ii) gap-filling; iii) homogenisation of weather stations, and iv) spatial [...]
Erosion rate maps highlight spatio-temporal patterns of uplift and quantify sediment export of the Northern Andes
Published: 2022-12-30
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Erosion rates are widely used to assess tectonic uplift and sediment export from mountain ranges. However, the scarcity of erosion rate measurements often hinders detailed tectonic interpretations. Here, we present 25 new cosmogenic nuclide-derived erosion rates from the Northern Andes of Colombia to study spatio-temporal patterns of uplift along the Central and Eastern Cordillera. Specifically, [...]
Information Content of Hydrologic Data across Space: Streamflow Predictions using Machine Learning
Published: 2022-12-29
Subjects: Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
This study aimed to assess the usefulness of data from donor watersheds to predict streamflow in parent watersheds. For this purpose, Long-Short Memory Network (LSTM) is used as an information extraction algorithm. Data from a total of 434 watersheds were used in this study. Out of these 434 watersheds, 57 watersheds were selected as the parent watersheds. These 57 watersheds were those where [...]
Deep Learning Models for River Classification at Sub-Meter Resolutions from Multispectral and Panchromatic Commercial Satellite Imagery
Published: 2022-12-28
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Remote sensing of the Earth's surface water is critical in a wide range of environmental studies, from evaluating the societal impacts of seasonal droughts and floods to the large-scale implications of climate change. Consequently, a large literature exists on the classification of water from satellite imagery. Yet, previous methods have been limited by 1) the spatial resolution of public [...]
Changes in Streamflow Statistical Structure across the United States due to Recent Climate Change
Published: 2022-12-27
Subjects: Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
A variety of watershed responses to climate change are expected due to non-linear interactions between various hydrologic processes acting at different timescales that are modulated by watershed properties. Changes in statistical structure (spectral properties) of streamflow in the USA due to climate change were studied for water years 1980-2013. The Fractionally differenced Autoregressive [...]
Uncertainties in Water Scarcity Index due to water use and climate changes: Case of two Legal Amazon watersheds
Published: 2022-12-24
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sustainability, Water Resource Management
Water scarcity is a major global problem with the potential to impact socioeconomic development and the environment. Currently, mitigating issues related to the lack of water has become an aim for the public and private sectors. Water scarcity can be estimated by the ratio between water use (withdrawal or consumption) and water availability (a minimum discharge), named Water Stress Index (WSI). [...]
The Low Permeability of the Earth’s Precambrian Crust
Published: 2022-12-21
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The large volume of deep groundwater in the Precambrian crust has only recently been understood to be relatively hydrogeologically isolated from the rest of the hydrologic cycle. Currently, the paucity of permeability measurements in the Precambrian crust is a barrier to modeling fluid flow and solute transport in these low porosity and permeability deep environments. Estimates of permeability [...]
Acoustic full waveform inversion for 2-D ambient noise source imaging
Published: 2022-12-20
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
We present a method for estimating seismic ambient noise sources by acoustic full waveform inversion of interstation cross-correlations. The method is valid at local scales for laterally heterogeneous media, and ambient noise sources confined to the Earth's surface. Synthetic tests performed using an actual field array geometry, are used to illustrate three unique aspects of our work. First: the [...]
Return of the Atacama deep Slow Slip Event : the 5-year recurrence confirmed by continuous GPS
Published: 2022-12-20
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Four years ago, using survey GPS measurements, the first deep slow slip event (SSE) was detected in Chile (near Copiapó, Atacama region), unrelated to any major earthquake. It was located between 40 and 60 km depth on the subduction interface, lasted approximately 18 months (2014-2016.5) and reached an equivalent magnitude of Mw~6.9. The single permanent station operating in the region between [...]