Preprints
Filtering by Subject: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
WITHDRAWN: Thermonuclear Fusion as a Source of Seismic Phenomena?
Published: 2023-11-01
Subjects: Education, Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Abstract removed when submission was withdrawn.
WITHDRAWN: The Quantum Mechanism of Earthquakes as Exemplified by a Sudden Ejection of Rocks and Gas from a Rock Mass during the Process of a Coulomb Explosion
Published: 2023-10-31
Subjects: Education, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Abstract removed when submission was withdrawn.
A Portable low-cost Device to Quantify Advective Gas Fluxes from Mofettes into the Lower Atmosphere: First Application to Starzach Mofettes (Germany)
Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
In this study, we introduce a portable low-cost device for in situ gas emission measurement from focused point sources of CO2, such as mofettes. We assess the individual sensors' precision with calibration experiments and perform an independent verification of the system's ability to measure gas flow rates in the range of liters per second. The results from one week of continuous CO2 flow [...]
Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: an extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change
Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
We examine the characteristics and causes of southeast Australia’s Tinderbox Drought (2017–2019) that preceded the Black Summer fire disaster. The Tinderbox Drought was characterised by cool season rainfall deficits of around –50% in three consecutive years, which was exceptionally unlikely in the context of natural variability alone. The precipitation deficits were initiated and sustained by an [...]
Pacific shoreline erosion and accretion patterns controlled by El Niño/Southern Oscillation
Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Climate, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Geomorphology, Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
In the Pacific Basin, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant mode of interannual climate variability, driving substantial changes in oceanographic forcing and impacting Pacific coastlines. Yet, how sandy coasts respond to these basin-scale changes has to date been limited to a few long-term beach monitoring sites, predominantly on developed coasts. Here we use 38 years of Landsat [...]
High methane emissions from a eutrophic marine coastal basin driven by bubble release from the sediment
Published: 2023-10-25
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The production of methane in coastal sediments and its release to the water column is intensified by anthropogenic eutrophication and bottom water hypoxia, and it is yet uncertain whether methane emissions to the atmosphere will be enhanced. Here, we assess seasonal variations in methane dynamics in a eutrophic, seasonally euxinic coastal marine basin (Scharendijke, Lake Grevelingen). In-situ [...]
Exploring Foundation Models for Seismic Event Processing
Published: 2023-10-24
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Nonproliferation monitoring efforts benefit from a glut of multi-modal data that related research must develop methods to process efficiently. Many of the highest performing methods for predictive modeling rely on a legacy of data curation and labeling that is available from decades of seismic catalog building but may not scale well for future uses. This work explores tools for predictive [...]
Hydrological model skills change with drought severity; insights from multi-variable evaluation
Published: 2023-10-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Hydrological models often do not properly simulate streamflow (Q) during extreme events, including droughts. Limited abilities in simulating Q during droughts may arise from a misrepresentation of Q generating processes during these periods, but little research has focused on distributed, process-based models over human-affected areas and extreme events. To shed more light into model consistency [...]
Detection of Hidden Low-Frequency Earthquakes in Southern Vancouver Island with Deep Learning
Published: 2023-10-19
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) are small-magnitude earthquakes that are depleted in high-frequency content relative to traditional earthquakes of the same magnitude. These events occur in conjunction with slow slip events (SSEs) and can be used to infer the space and time evolution of SSEs. However, because LFEs have weak signals, and the methods used to identify them are computationally [...]
Reproducing the Mid-Piacenzian Warm Period Climate in the 2020s.
Published: 2023-10-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The current expectation of climatologists is that levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases, such as methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), will correspond, in the 2020s, to an increase in mean annual global near-surface atmospheric temperature of less than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial Holocene norm (1750 baseline; atmospheric CO2 = 278 ppm). This paper will argue, [...]
Global ocean spatial suitability for macroalgae offshore cultivation and sinking
Published: 2023-10-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Macroalgae offshore cultivation and sinking is considered a potentially practical approach for ocean-based carbon dioxide removal. However, several considerations need to be resolved to assess the effectiveness and sustainability of this approach. Currently, several studies focus on the area required for climate-relevant carbon sequestration through macroalgae cultivation and sinking without [...]
Moving graphs: Predicting barchan dune migration rates from their shapes
Published: 2023-10-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
In this study, geometric perspectives on sand dune formation and motion are summarized, introduced, and combined to predict time-averaged velocities (migration rates) of barchan dunes directly from their shapes. First, it is proposed that smaller sediment accumulations outpace larger ones due to differences in surface-to-volume ratio. This ratio is defined by a bedform’s wavelength and its [...]
Short-term magma-carbonate interaction: A modelling perspective
Published: 2023-10-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The short-term, syn-eruptive interaction of magma with crustal carbonates can largely affect the eruptive style and drive even low-viscosity magmas toward large explosive eruptions. Only a few studies focus on the short-term interaction and the physical processes behind the experimental observations are still poorly understood. In this work, we study for the first time the short-term [...]
What is coastal subsidence?
Published: 2023-10-13
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
While major technological advances have made measurements of coastal subsidence more sophisticated, these advances have not always been matched by a thorough examination of what is actually being measured. Here we draw attention to the widespread miscommunication about key concepts in the coastal subsidence literature, much of which revolving around the interplay between sediment accretion, [...]
Future (2015-2100) Antarctic-wide ice-shelf firn air depletion from a statistical firn emulator
Published: 2023-10-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Glaciology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Antarctic firn is critical for ice-shelf stability because it stores meltwater that would otherwise pond on the surface. Ponded meltwater increases the risk of hydrofracture, and subsequent potential ice-shelf collapse. Here, we use output from a firn model to build a computationally simpler emulator that uses a random forest to predict ice-shelf firn air content (FAC) based on climate [...]