Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

ICESat-2 and ocean particulates: Building a roadmap for calculating Kd from space-based lidar photon profiles

Emily Eidam, Kelsey Bisson, Chao Wang, et al.

Published: 2023-11-27
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Planetary Sciences

ICESat-2’s Advanced Topographic Laser Altimeter System (ATLAS) has emerged as useful tool for calculating attenuation signals in natural surface waters, thus improving our understanding of particulates from open-ocean plankton to nearshore suspended terrigenous sediments. While several studies have employed methods based on Beer’s Law to derive attenuation coefficients (including through a [...]

Towards parameterizing eddy-mediated transport of Warm Deep Water across the Weddell Sea continental slope

Nicolas Dettling, Martin Losch, Friederike Pollmann, et al.

Published: 2023-11-22
Subjects: Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The transport of Warm Deep Water (WDW) onto the Weddell Sea continental shelf is associated with a heat flux and strongly contributes to the melting of Antarctic ice shelves. The small radius of deformation at high latitudes makes it difficult to accurately represent the eddy-driven component of onshore WDW transport in coarse-resolution ocean models so that a parameterization becomes necessary. [...]

Bad science and good intentions prevent effective climate action

Graeme MacDonald Taylor, Peter Wadhams, Daniele Visioni, et al.

Published: 2023-11-10
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Although the 2015 Paris Agreement climate targets seem certain to be missed, only a few experts are questioning the adequacy of the current approach to limiting climate change and suggesting that additional approaches are needed to avoid unacceptable catastrophes. This article posits that selective science communication and unrealistically optimistic assumptions are obscuring the reality that [...]

Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia Pattern Driven by Atmospheric Blocking in Models and Observations

Zachary Snow Kaufman, Nicole Feldl, Claudie Beaulieu

Published: 2023-11-04
Subjects: Climate, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Microphysical evolution in mixed-phase mid-latitude marine cold-air outbreaks

Paquita Zuidema, Seethala Chellappan, Simon Kirschler, et al.

Published: 2023-11-03
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Five cold-air outbreaks are investigated with aircraft offshore of continental northeast American. Flight paths aligned with the cloud-layer flow span cloud-top temperatures of -5 to -12 0C, in situ liquid water paths of up to 600 g m-2, while in situ cloud droplet number concentrations exceeding 500 cm-3 maintain effective radii below 10 micron. Ice is usually present at cloud initiation. [...]

Pacific shoreline erosion and accretion patterns controlled by El Niño/Southern Oscillation

Kilian Vos, Mitchell Dean Harley, Ian L Turner, et al.

Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Climate, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Geomorphology, Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

In the Pacific Basin, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant mode of interannual climate variability, driving substantial changes in oceanographic forcing and impacting Pacific coastlines. Yet, how sandy coasts respond to these basin-scale changes has to date been limited to a few long-term beach monitoring sites, predominantly on developed coasts. Here we use 38 years of Landsat [...]

Digitization of Weather Records of Seungjeongwon Ilgi: A Historical Weather Dynamics Dataset of the Korean Peninsula in 1623-1910

Kohei Ichikawa, Zeyu Lyu, Yongchao Cheng, et al.

Published: 2023-10-06
Subjects: Climate, Meteorology, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

Historical weather records from Europe indicate that the Earth experienced substantial climate variability, which caused, for instance, the Little Ice Age and the global crisis in the period between the 14th and 19th centuries. However, it is still unclear how global this climate variability was because of the scarce meteorological data availability in other regions including East Asia, [...]

Spaceborne assessment of the Soviet Union's role in the 1990s methane slowdown

Tai-Long He, Ryan J. Boyd, Daniel J. Varon, et al.

Published: 2023-10-03
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Methane is the second most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas, amounting to 60% of the radiative forcing from CO2 since pre-industrial times based on emitted compound. Global atmospheric methane concentrations rose by 10-15 ppb/yr in the 1980s before abruptly slowing to 2-8 ppb/yr in the early 1990s. This period in the 1990s is known as the ``methane slowdown'' and has been attributed to the [...]

No respite from permafrost-thaw impacts in absence of a global tipping point

Jan Nitzbon, Thomas Schneider von Deimling, Mehriban Aliyeva, et al.

Published: 2023-09-25
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Climate, Earth Sciences, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Arctic permafrost, the largest non-seasonal component of Earth’s cryosphere, contains a significant climate-sensitive carbon pool. Its potential for loss due to climatic changes leading to a global tipping point, where thawing accelerates with disproportionate impacts, remains debated. Here, we provide an integrative perspective on this question, building on a cross-disciplinary meta-analysis of [...]

Inter-annual Variation of Summer Southwest Monsoon Rainfall over the Monsoon Core Region of the Eastern Bay of Bengal and its Relationship with Oceans

Kyaw Than Oo, Jonah Kazora

Published: 2023-09-22
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

Using rainfall data from the Observation and, ERA5 reanalysis of sea surface temperature, this study examined the inter-annual variation of summer southwest monsoon rainfall on the eastern Bay of Bengal (BoB) mainland Indochina regions associated with ENSO. The composite study exhibits decreased rainfall in the eastern coastal region of BoB, and an increase in the northern Indo-Myanmar region [...]

Shifting institutional culture to develop climate solutions with Open Science

Julia Stewart Lowndes, Anna Holder, Emily Markowitz, et al.

Published: 2023-09-20
Subjects: Climate, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Matilda v1.0: An R package for probabilistic climate projections using a reduced complexity climate model

Joseph K Brown, Leeya Pressburger, Abigail Snyder, et al.

Published: 2023-09-15
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

A primary advantage to using reduced complexity climate models (RCMs) has been their ability to quickly conduct probabilistic climate projections, a key component of uncertainty quantification in many impact studies and multisector systems. Providing frameworks for such analyses has been a target of several RCMs used in studies of the future co-evolution of the human and Earth systems. In this [...]

Understanding Drought Awareness from Web Data

Mashrekur Rahman, Samuel Sandoval Solis, Thomas Harter, et al.

Published: 2023-08-17
Subjects: Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Mathematics, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Statistics and Probability

We used computer vision (U-Net) model to leverage Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), Google Trends Search Interest (SI), and Twitter data to understand patterns with which people in Continental United States (CONUS) indicate awareness of and interest in droughts. We found significant statistical relationships between the occurrence of meteorological droughts (MD), as [...]

Improving Weather Prediction Technologies: Establishing a Relationship between Air Pollution and Weather Phenomena

Raghav Sriram

Published: 2023-08-11
Subjects: Chemistry, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

The primary focus of this research is to establish a link between air quality, weather patterns, and climate dynamics. Employing a correlative methodology, the study aims to investigate the association between air pollution levels and the occurrence frequency of acid rain events. To accomplish this, extensive quantitative meteorological data gathered from weather stations situated in the [...]

Our first Anthroponomic task: Remove the infrared pea soup

Ferren MacIntyre

Published: 2023-08-01
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

Some underappreciated aspects of the climate. [Idealization]: Earth has a partially IR-opaque 5-km-deep tropospheric layer whose (slowly rising) top radiates waste heat to space at the -18°C Stefan-Boltzmann temperature and below which the temperature increases 33°C by adiabatic compression. Fossil-fuel CO2 has deepened this layer by 308 m and added 2°C of Anthropogenic Global Warming. [...]

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