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Preprints

There are 6309 Preprints listed.

National scale sub-meter time series mangrove mapping using Landsat imagery and deep transfer learning

Ma Junkai, Chunyuan Diao, Jinyan Tian, et al.

Published: 2025-12-15
Subjects: Geography, Remote Sensing

Current mangrove time-series products are constrained to 25 m resolution, hindering precise delineation of boundaries, small patches, and internal structures, thus compromising area estimates and ecological assessments. Key barriers are the paucity of historical high-resolution imagery and high-quality labeled samples. To this end, we developed the Sub-meter Mangrove Transfer Learning Mapping [...]

Joint Rock Physics Inversion and Basin Modeling for Comprehensive Source Rock Characterization

Jiayuan Huang, Tapan Mukerji

Published: 2025-12-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy

This study presents an integrated workflow that combines statistical rock physics inversion with Monte Carlo basin modeling to comprehensively quantify source rock properties and their uncertainties. First, well-log and seismically-derived elastic properties are used in a statistical rock physics inversion to estimate porosity, kerogen content, and mineral fractions. These posterior distributions [...]

Lower crustal magmatic processes and andesite genesis at Shiveluch Volcano

Andrea Elizabeth Goltz, Michael Krawczynski

Published: 2025-12-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The silicic melts that eventually erupt at arc volcanoes are produced in the lower crust, yet, the storage conditions of magma in the lower crust have not been the topic of extensive study. In this study, we conduct and analyze hydrous piston cylinder experiments to determine the mid-to-lower magma storage conditions of primitive melt at Shiveluch, an arc volcano located in northern Kamchatka. [...]

A Multidisciplinary Data Synthesis for Environmentally-Relevant Beta-Emitting Radionuclides in the Back-End Nuclear Fuel Cycle

Loralei Fiona Cook, Haruko Murakami Wainwright

Published: 2025-12-14
Subjects: Chemistry, Environmental Sciences, Other Physical Sciences and Mathematics

This study synthesizes multidisciplinary information—from nuclear physics and environmental science—related to environmentally relevant beta-emitting radionuclides in the back-end nuclear fuel cycle: H-3, C-14, Cl-36, Se-79, Sr-90, Tc-99, and I-129. First, our synthesis shows that these radionuclides are the key contaminants and dominant dose contributors, both in the high-level radioactive waste [...]

Misalignments between national mangrove monitoring capacities and climate policy ambitions

Jacob J Bukoski, Radhika Bhargava Gajre, Iris Ford, et al.

Published: 2025-12-14
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Studies, Forest Sciences, Geography, Life Sciences, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Ambitious global targets for mangrove conservation have advanced rapidly in recent years, yet the implementation of these commitments depends largely on national monitoring systems and policy processes. Despite widespread reliance on country-reported data for setting and evaluating targets, little is known about how national mangrove statistics are generated or how they interact with climate [...]

Noisy Sampling Inherent to Daily Precipitation Observations and Implications About Return Level Inferences

Alexander James Weyant, Anna K. Panorska, Alexander Gershunov, et al.

Published: 2025-12-13
Subjects: Other Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

Daily precipitation observations form the backbone of the United States precipitation network. However, precipitation is episodic over minutes and hours and is (seasonally) diurnally driven, which immediately raises questions about the statistical characteristics of its extreme daily accumulations in general. Atop this is layered troubling context: during the historical period of these [...]

Income strongly moderates climate-driven migration

Gaurav Khanna, Pascal Polonik, Jessica Wan, et al.

Published: 2025-12-13
Subjects: Environmental Sciences

Understanding how climate change will reshape human migration remains an open empirical challenge. Migration decisions reflect a complex interplay of environmental and socioeconomic factors, yet existing data and models have struggled to capture this interaction at a global scale. To address this, we assemble spatially granular, long-panel migration data covering nearly the entire world and [...]

An update of the LDEO fCO2-Residual method: algorithmic choices improve ocean carbon sink estimates

Thea Hatlen Heimdal, Amanda R Fay, Abby P Shaum, et al.

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We evaluate the impact of various algorithmic design choices on reconstruction skill and estimated air-sea CO2 flux using the fCO2-Residual machine learning (ML) method (Bennington et al., 2022a) to reconstruct surface ocean fCO2. We reconstruct fCO2 globally over the period 1982-2023 by optimizing the hyperparameter selection process (ResidualOPT) and/or using ΔfCO2-Residual (subtracting fCO2atm [...]

CLOSDI: A Novel Spectral Index for Cloud Shadow Detection in Sentinel-2 Imagery using NDVI and EVI2

Adrián Cal

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Remote Sensing, Spatial Science

The presence of clouds and their shadows represents one of the main limitations for the spectral analysis of Sentinel-2 imagery. Although the Scene Classification Layer (SCL), generated by the Sen2Cor algorithm, includes specific classes for cloud shadows and dark area pixels, several studies have revealed limitations in its detection capabilities. This work proposes a new spectral index—the [...]

Vegetation Does Not Control Suspended Sediment Deposition in Salt Marshes

Conner W Lester, Brad Murray, Marco Marani, et al.

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Intertidal marshes are valuable geophysical systems, but their extent is rapidly declining globally. Marshes tend to keep up with sea-level rise through suspended-sediment and organic-matter deposition, up to a marsh-specific threshold rate of sea-level rise. Studies that explore marsh survival often assume that inorganic sediment deposition rates are directly linked to the density of marsh [...]

Solubility and speciation of sulfur in silicate melts under crustal conditions

Lauren R Gorojovsky, Bernard J. Wood

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Geology, Volcanology

We have determined the solubility of sulfur as either sulfide (S2-) or sulfate (S6+) in a wide range of silicate melts at 1 atm pressure and temperatures of 1050° to 1250°C. The method involved suspension of the melt in either a mixture of CO2-CO-SO2 (sulfide solubility) or SO2 and air (sulfate solubility) for periods of up to 120 hours. Sulfur concentrations, measured by electron microprobe were [...]

Machine Learning–Based Prediction of Atmospheric CO₂ Concentration: A Year– Month Trend analysis

Israt Jahan Powsi, Rayhan Miah, Md Khorshed Alam

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Environmental Education

Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) remains the principal driver of contemporary climate change, yet accurately forecasting its temporal evolution requires models capable of capturing complex nonlinear and seasonal dynamics. In this study, we conduct a comprehensive evaluation of thirteen supervised machine-learning algorithms to model and predict long-term atmospheric CO₂ concentrations using [...]

Climate Network Analysis of Precipitation Regimes from WorldClim Data in Saudi Arabia

Yazeed Alabbad, Ali Alnahit, Saleh Alhathloul

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Geography, Risk Analysis

Saudi Arabia is shaped by a hydroclimatic gradient, from the hyper-arid Rub’ al-Khali desert to the semi-arid mountains in the southwest. This gradient affects runoff generation, groundwater recharge, and drought risk, yet most studies still summarize rainfall using basic statistics from station data or gridded products. This research applies climate network analysis to identify coherent rainfall [...]

Towards Entire Wavefield Inversion in Highly Scattering Volcanic Environments using Fourier Neural Operators

Eoghan Joseph Totten, Christopher J. Bean, Gareth Shane O'Brien

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Seismic imaging in volcanic environments is highly challenging due to significant scattering of seismic waves on multiple spatial scales. When these wavefields are recorded on the surface by seismic arrays, seismograms generally contain information-rich codas in addition to ballistic first arrivals. Later reflected and refracted arrivals are often completely masked by the scattered coda waves. [...]

Dynamic estuarine Chlorophyll-a estimation-based time series harmonized Landsat- Sentinel images

Ha Thanh Tran, Hoa Thi Tran, Ngoc Minh Nguyen, et al.

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Environmental Studies

This research develops a vigorous approach to estimate Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration in the dynamic, optically complex waters (or Case 2 water including coastal waters, estuaries and inland water bodies) of Ganh Rai Bay, Vietnam by leveraging time series harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (TM-HLS) imagery. One of the fundamental challenges while conducting this method to compute Chl-a signal [...]

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