Preprints
There are 6882 Preprints listed.
Towards Prospective Disaster Risk Management: Mapping Multi-hazard Urban Risk Dynamics Driven by Evolving Exposure and Vulnerability via Earth Observation
Published: 2026-04-30
Subjects: Categorical Data Analysis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil Engineering, Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Geographic Information Sciences, Human Geography, Other Computer Sciences, Physical and Environmental Geography, Remote Sensing, Risk Analysis, Spatial Science, Structural Engineering
As local governments increasingly adopt geospatial Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment (CDRA) to inform prospective public policy, the reliability of existing static risk intelligence is challenged by the continuous evolution of building exposure, population distribution, and physical vulnerability. Recent multi-temporal datasets of the built environment, derived from Earth Observation and [...]
Intensifying Seismicity beneath Mount Teide: Assessing the Probability of an Imminent Eruption on Tenerife
Published: 2026-04-30
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Volcanology
Recent seismic swarms in the western sector of the Las Cañadas Caldera (Tenerife, Canary Islands) have raised concerns regarding the potential for renewed eruptive activity at Teide. Although the earthquakes were of small magnitude and occurred at depths of around 6-12 km, their detection and media coverage generated public concern on an island visited by millions of tourists each year. Teide [...]
Integrated Triassic sediment routing along eastern Gondwana (Australia)
Published: 2026-04-30
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Triassic continental sedimentary basins along the eastern margin of Gondwana record drainage reorganisation and sediment routing, but provenance links among adjacent basins remain uncertain. This study integrates detrital zircon U–Pb data and sandstone petrography from the Triassic Rewan Group and Clematis Group of the northern Bowen Basin with published palaeocurrent constraints and compares [...]
Living on the Edge: Unequal Rise of Global Population Exposure on Steep Terrain
Published: 2026-04-30
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Sustainability
The global population living on steep terrain is rising, so is their landslide risk. However, hotspots and driving mechanisms of increasing exposure remain poorly understood. We assess changes in global gridded population and settlement characteristics on steep terrain (≥ 10◦ hillslope inclination) aggregated over topographic catchments (mean area ∼10,000 km2) for 1975–2025. We find that about [...]
COMPARATIVE STUDY OF MONSOON AND IOD EFFECTS ON RAINFALL VARIABILITY IN NORTH AND SOUTH SUMATRA
Published: 2026-04-30
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Sumatra Island exhibits distinct rainfall characteristics between its northern and southern regions due to its equatorial position. Generally, Northern Sumatra displays a bimodal rainfall pattern driven by the movement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), whereas Southern Sumatra follows a monomodal pattern influenced by the Asian-Australian Monsoon system. This study aims to evaluate [...]
Closing the Duration Gap in RVT: The Energetic Duration
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Engineering
Duration is a fundamental descriptor of earthquake ground motion, yet it remains ill-defined across engineering seismology, with numerous threshold-based measures adopted for specific applications. This ambiguity has allowed duration to function as a calibration parameter in analyses such as random vibration theory (RVT), where it is often adjusted to match observed response spectra. This paper [...]
Acceleration and Spatial Reorganization of Bank Erosion under Prolonged Sediment Starvation: Multi-decadal Evidence from the Vam Nao Channel
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The reduction in sediment supply in major deltas worldwide is altering the morphological dynamics of river delta systems. However, the way in which this process leads to the spatial reorganization of erosion has not yet been fully quantified. This study analyzes shoreline variations in the Vam Nao channel, Mekong Delta, over the period 1988–2025 in order to clarify the morphological changes of [...]
Evaluating Sampling Bias and Model Uncertainty in Species Distribution Models of Marine Plankton Using Virtual Ecosystem Data
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Life Sciences
Understanding the biodiversity and biogeography of plankton in the ocean is essential for predicting responses to environmental changes and informing ocean conservation and management strategies. Species distribution models (SDMs) are a pivotal tool in this regard. This study used data from a global marine ecosystem model as a testbed to assess the reliability of various SDMs, including [...]
Long-term future Greenland ice loss determined by peak global warming
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Climate, Glaciology
The Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) is known to be very sensitive to climate change, and persistent global warming only slightly higher than today could be enough to completely melt it. However, the implications of a temporary crossing of this temperature threshold for future GrIS mass loss remain unknown. Here we present simulations of the next 10,000 years under different future anthropogenic [...]
Estimating Ice Shelf Thickness in Grounding Zones of the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf with Tidal Flexure from ICESat-2
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Glaciology
In the grounding zones of Antarctic ice sheets, grounded ice sheets become floating ice shelves at the triple junction of the ice, ocean, and bedrock. Ice downstream of the grounding line rises and falls with ocean tides while ice upstream of it does not, creating kilometers wide flexure zones. Ice thickness in the flexure zone cannot be well estimated by assuming it is in hydrostatic [...]
Scale-dependent controls on forest carbon uptake across hydroclimatic extremes
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Climate, Environmental Monitoring, Forest Sciences, Sustainability
Conifer forests span some of the most climatically contrasting environments on Earth, from energy-limited Boreal systems to water-limited semi-arid ecosystems. Whether their carbon uptake is governed by universal drivers or by site-specific boundary conditions remains unresolved. Using more than two decades of eddy-covariance and multi-depth soil moisture measurements from two climatic [...]
Large climate model ensembles reveal underdispersion in seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone counts
Published: 2026-04-29
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) counts are commonly modeled as a conditional Poisson process, implying that the distribution of possible seasonal outcomes—the range of TC counts that could plausibly occur in a given year—exhibits equidispersion for a given climate state, with its variance equal to its mean. This assumption underlies many statistical frameworks used for seasonal TC [...]
Croplands as thermodynamic agents in a high-CO2 world
Published: 2026-04-28
Subjects: Other Environmental Sciences
Rising atmospheric CO2 is widely expected to influence crops through physiological pathways, yet croplands are also extensive physical interfaces that regulate land–atmosphere energy exchange. Despite covering 12–15% of Earth’s ice-free land surface, their role in surface energy balance under elevated CO2 remains poorly constrained. Most CO2 enrichment studies have not explicitly resolved the [...]
Retrieval of Cloud Optical Thickness Based on FY-4B Geostationary Satellite Multichannel Data Combined with Machine Learning
Published: 2026-04-28
Subjects: Earth Sciences
Accurate real-time retrieval of cloud optical thickness (COT) is of great significance for meteorological operations and climate research. To address the limitations of traditional physical methods, which rely on prior parameters, exhibit slow response times, and suffer from poor adaptability, this study proposes a COT retrieval method based on multichannel data from the FY-4B geostationary [...]
Soil Remineralization in Agroecological Systems: A Critical Review
Published: 2026-04-28
Subjects: Agriculture, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Soil degradation threatens global food security, human nutrition, biodiversity, water resources, and climate stability by depleting soil organic matter, exhausting nutrient reserves, and disrupting carbon and nitrogen cycles. Conventional input‑intensive agriculture has delivered yield gains but has also contributed to widespread micronutrient deficiencies, nutrient loading of waterways, soil [...]