Preprints
There are 7545 Preprints listed.
Multi-Sensor Satellite-Based Retrospective Early-Warning Assessment of the 26 August 2026 Flood Event in the Langtang Region of Nepal
Published: 2026-09-03
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences
Rapid-onset floods in high-mountain environments can be difficult to anticipate because their triggering mechanisms may involve interactions among precipitation, glacierized terrain, surface-water dynamics, and sudden geomorphological disturbances. This study presents a retrospective multi-sensor satellite assessment of the flood event reported in the Langtang region of Nepal on 26 August 2026. [...]
Fault roughness as a driver of rupture complexity in fluid-induced microearthquakes
Published: 2026-09-03
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Subsurface fluid-injection can induce microearthquakes whose rupture complexity and arrest mechanisms remain poorly understood, limiting our ability to assess the seismic hazard associated with geo-energy applications. We investigate how fault roughness modulates the response of fluid-pressurized faults using an ensemble of 1395 3D dynamic rupture simulations on self-similar rough faults, varying [...]
The Elastic Stiffness C13 in Transversely Isotropic Shales
Published: 2026-09-03
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Shales are often anisotropic due to fine-scale layering and preferred alignment of clay particles with bedding. They may be approximated as transversely isotropic (TI) media with symmetry axis (x3) perpendicular to bedding. TI media have five independent elastic stiffnesses C11, C33, C55, C66 and C13, with C12 = C11−2C66. While C11, C33, C55 and C66 may be estimated from velocities measured [...]
ENSO, weather regimes, and U.S. heating degree days
Published: 2026-09-03
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology
Heating degree days (HDDs; the number of degrees by which average daily temperature falls below 65°F) quantify heating demand and are used to manage weather-related financial risk. Here we examined the relation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) with U.S. cold-season HDDs over the period 1979–2026 in NOAA Climate Division data and observations from stations that are used to settle publicly [...]
Airborne Metal Toxin Particulate Signatures and Legacy at Wildland–Urban Interface
Published: 2026-09-03
Subjects: Medicine and Health Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Wildland–urban interface (WUI) fires burn urban materials together with soil and vegetation, generating air pollution as smoke during active burning and as resuspended dust during recovery. Here, we combine size-resolved sampling of the Eaton Fire (Altadena, CA) with controlled resuspension of materials collected from properties affected by the Eaton and Palisades (Pacific Palisades, CA) fires. [...]
A Framework for Experiential Environmental Health Through Theater
Published: 2026-09-03
Subjects: Education, Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences
Extreme weather events, including wildfires, are becoming more frequent, intense, and consequential for human health. Scientific advances have improved our ability to characterize hazards and the socioeconomic constraints shaping exposure, but these dimensions are not always integrated throughout the development of environmental health knowledge. Meanwhile, broader publics, although often not [...]
Sea-Level Change in Asia since the Last Glacial Maximum
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
As a ‘far-field’ area, distal from former ice sheets, Asia is minimally influenced by the glacial isostatic adjustment process. Therefore, Relative sea-level (RSL) data from Asia, recorded by various geological proxies, provide essential constraints on the history of ice-equavilent sea-level changes. The global mean sea-level has risen over 130 m on average since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), [...]
The cost of tree cover loss: quantifying global extinction rates per million hectares
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Life Sciences
Aim: To quantify the relationship between annual tree cover loss and changes in extinction risk across terrestrial vertebrates, expressing responses as both absolute numbers of species associated with each IUCN threat category per million hectares of tree cover loss and relative odds of assignment to higher-risk categories. Location: Global. Time period: Contemporary period. Major taxa: [...]
A tale of two temperature extremes: exploring how exposure to extreme heat or cold affects mental health and wellbeing in the UK
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Environmental Sciences
Background and Objective The UK's climate change vulnerability to extreme temperatures, hotter summers and milder winters, and emerging evidence on climate change and mental health require further empirical research. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the relationship between exposure to extreme temperatures and mental health and wellbeing outcomes across the UK. We also examined whether [...]
Bidirectional enhanced quantile gated recurrent unit for short-term forecasting of PM2.5 with emphasis on extreme events in Sri Lanka
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Environmental Sciences
Air quality forecasting is critical for mitigating the health impacts of fine particulate matter (PM2.5). This study introduces a hybrid deep learning model, the bidirectional enhanced quantile gated recurrent unit (BEQ-GRU), for short-term forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations with explicit emphasis on extreme pollution occurrences. This model was applied to forecast PM2.5 levels in two high-risk [...]
Forest–Water–Atmosphere Theory: A Multiscale Framework for Management-Induced Coupling in Forested Landscapes
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Hydrology
Recent advances in ecohydrology, land–atmosphere coupling and Earth System Science increasingly recognize the importance of forests for coupled water, energy and climate dynamics. However, the explicit integration of forest management, multiscale hydrological pathways and atmospheric feedbacks remains limited, despite increasing recognition of forests as active biophysical regulators within [...]
Seismoacoustic recovery of the SpaceX CRS-32 Dragon re-entry with a proof-of-concept for automated detection
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Atmospheric re-entries of human-made objects are increasing in frequency, yet detailed information on their trajectory, fragmentation, and debris footprint is rarely made publicly available. This creates an information asymmetry in which regulators, independent agencies, and the scientific community lack the means to verify that re-entries occurred as reported or to characterize their physical [...]
Krasheninnikov eruption facilitated by M8.8 Kamchatka earthquake and hidden critical state
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Volcanology
Large earthquakes can trigger volcanic eruptions, but the required conditions and mechanisms remain uncertain. Here, we investigate whether the August 2025 eruption of Krasheninnikov volcano, Russia, was facilitated by the July 29th, 2025, Mw 8.8 Kamchatka megathrust earthquake. InSAR observations from 2016 to 2025 show no pre-earthquake inflation and satellite SO2 data indicate no detectable [...]
PaddockTS: paddock-level satellite time series analysis of agroecosystem dynamics
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Remote Sensing
PaddockTimeSeries (PaddockTS) is an open-source data analysis pipeline that aligns Earth observation data with agricultural fields, or paddocks—the core land management units where agricultural decisions are made and outcomes such as yield, phenology, productivity, and soil condition are recorded. PaddockTS enables scalable agricultural monitoring and research on how land management and [...]
Estimating CO2 Leakage Fluxes along Legacy Wells Using a Rapid Physics-Based Screening Approach
Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geology, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Petroleum Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Achieving net-zero targets demands the rapid expansion of CO2 geological storage, but legacy wells in mature petroleum provinces represent a significant containment risk when engineered barriers degrade. At the early assessment stage, storage projects need to rapidly bound plausible leakage magnitudes across large legacy-well inventories when integrity data are sparse; however, suitable modelling [...]