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Preprints

There are 5993 Preprints listed.

Detection of coastal flooding with TinyCamML: a low-cost, privacy-preserving cellular-connected camera with onboard ML

Elizabeth, Liz Farquhar, Evan B Goldstein, Philip Bresnahan, et al.

Published: 2025-09-19
Subjects: Environmental Monitoring, Other Civil and Environmental Engineering, Other Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Systems and Communications

Chronic flooding is an issue for low-lying coastal communities globally, and it is expected to worsen with rising sea levels. In contrast to floods driven by extreme storms, predicting when and where these floods occur can be difficult as they can be hyper-local and short-lived, depending on the flood drivers (e.g., tides, rain). These factors make it difficult to measure the full spatial and [...]

Spatiotemporal Urban Flood Expansion and Propagation by Percentage of Node in Flood Assessment (PNFA)

Ha Do Minh, Gerald Augusto Corzo Perez, Wilmer Barreto, et al.

Published: 2025-09-18
Subjects: Environmental Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering, Other Civil and Environmental Engineering

Urban pluvial flooding is a complex process shaped by rainfall intensity, drainage system capacity, and urban infrastructure. While previous studies have mapped flood extents, the spatiotemporal evolution of drainage saturation and overflow propagation remain insufficiently explored. This study introduces the Percentage of Node in Flood Assessment (PNFA), integrating the Flood Expansion Rate [...]

Global hyper-resolution groundwater dataset for assessing historical and future groundwater dynamics

Barry van Jaarsveld, Niko Wanders, Nicole Gyakowah Otoo, et al.

Published: 2025-09-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Planetary Hydrology, Planetary Sciences

Sustainable management of global groundwater is a key societal challenge and central to Sustainable Development Goals. To address limited observations and coarse global models, we present a global hyper-resolution dataset of monthly groundwater heads and water table depth at 30 arc-seconds (~1 km), simulated by GLOBGM, a global groundwater flow model. The data set follows ISIMIP protocols and [...]

Support for Forest Conservation Imperatives: A Robust Approach for Multi-dimensional, Spatially Explicit Resilience Assessment

Bryan Fuentes, Patricia Manley, Nicholas Povak

Published: 2025-09-18
Subjects: Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Forest Management, Natural Resources and Conservation, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology

Forest ecosystems are ecologically, socially, and culturally valuable, and are arguably considered essential to global sustainability. Climate change and altered disturbance regimes are threatening the future of forests around the globe. Many countries are coming together to support and implement conservation and monitoring initiatives to improve future prospects for the restoration and [...]

Nonlinear longitudinal stress coupling in glacier and ice sheet flow

Logan Elliott Mann, Colin R. Meyer, Katarzyna L P Warburton

Published: 2025-09-18
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Fluid Dynamics, Glaciology, Non-linear Dynamics

The Greenland and Antarctic Ice sheets exhibit high variability in flow speed, over multiple orders of magnitude. Faster flow in ice streams, marine terminating glaciers, and ice shelves is described by the Shallow Shelf/Shelfy-Stream Approximation (SSA), which requires a nonlocal balance between driving stress, friction at the ice-bed interface, and longitudinal/membrane stresses. Nonlocal [...]

Breaking the Cycle: Short Recurrence and Overshoot of an M9-class Kamchatka Earthquake

Yuji Yagi, Yukitoshi Fukahata, Ryo Okuwaki, et al.

Published: 2025-09-18
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

M9-class megathrust earthquakes in subduction zones are generally thought to release slip deficits on the plate interface accumulated over centuries. However, the 2025 Kamchatka earthquake (Mw 8.8--8.9) ruptured nearly the same area as the 1952 Mw 9.0 event, as shown by the aftershock distribution. This unusually short recurrence interval challenges conventional seismic-cycle models used for [...]

Efficient Self-Attention Based Joint Optimization for Lithology and Petrophysical Parameter Estimation in the Athabasca Oil Sands

M Quamer Nasim, Paresh Nath Singha Roy, Adway Mitra

Published: 2025-09-18
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Earth Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology

Accurately identifying lithology and petrophysical parameters, such as porosity and water saturation, are essential in reservoir characterization. Manual interpretation of well-log data, the conventional approach, is not only labor-intensive but also susceptible to human errors. To address these challenges of lithology identification and petrophysical parameter estimation in the Athabasca Oil [...]

FLOCCULATION, GRAVITY FLOWS, AND TOTAL ORGANIC CARBON HOTSPOTS IN LAKE: INSIGHTS FROM FLUME EXPERIMENTS

Wonsuck Kim, Chuanmin Zhou, Zhijie Zhang, et al.

Published: 2025-09-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Lakes serve as one of the significant sinks for organic carbon. For lake deposits, it is generally accepted that water depth is a primary control on the spatial distribution of total organic carbon (TOC) accumulation because the deeper part of a lake potentially has a higher organic population to be settled. However, lake TOC distribution is often spatially variable regardless of water depth, and [...]

DOZER: a toy model of coastal hazard mitigation during a storm

Eli Lazarus

Published: 2025-09-17
Subjects: Dynamical Systems, Geomorphology, Nature and Society Relations, Other Civil and Environmental Engineering, Other Environmental Sciences, Physical and Environmental Geography, Science and Mathematics Education, Sustainability

Motivated by observations of emergency road-maintenance crews in coastal settings, DOZER is a video game in which the player uses a bulldozer to clear sand from a beachfront road during a storm. DOZER is also a toy model in a formal sense: a heuristic tool for insight into the dynamics of real-time intervention in the physical processes of a natural hazard. Here, I introduce DOZER as both a game [...]

Impact of sources and form of Mg on oyster shell Mg/Ca

Marie Pesnin, Laurent Emmanuel, Amelie Guittet, et al.

Published: 2025-09-17
Subjects: Geochemistry

Mg/Ca in bivalve shells has been investigated as a promising temperature proxy, but several studies reported compositional shifts that hamper its accuracy. In particular, several models linking shell Mg/Ca and temperature have been published and an empirical difference in the seasonal amplitudes of shell Mg/Ca has been observed between two types of environmental settings: river output, open [...]

The sizes and shapes of plastics in rivers

James Lofty, Daniel Rebai, Daniel Valero, et al.

Published: 2025-09-17
Subjects: Engineering, Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Limited data exists on physical and geometric properties of river litter. To resolve this, we reveal the physical-structural relationships of river litter, using two of the most comprehensive datasets generated to date. First, we dissect the properties of river litter using a detailed dataset of over 14,000 riverbank items, for which their dimensions (longest L₁, intermediate L₂, shortest L₃) and [...]

Adverse Climate: Addressing Inclusion and Diversity Issues in the IPCC's Sixth Assessment and beyond

Shobha Maharaj, Elisabeth A Gilmore, Rachel Bezner Kerr, et al.

Published: 2025-09-17
Subjects: Social and Behavioral Sciences

In this essay, we reflect on what it means for the scientific community to collaborate effectively in global scientific assessments, drawing on our experience within the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and with relevance beyond the IPCC to many other scientific collaborations. We amplify IPCC author voices through lived-experience narratives that reveal how systemic barriers [...]

Evaluating the potential of SMART subsea cable pressure sensors to constrain Subpolar North Atlantic circulation variability through Observing System Simulation Experiments

Matthew Goldberg, An Nguyen, Helen Pillar, et al.

Published: 2025-09-17
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

Bolstering global ocean observing infrastructure is critical for understanding, quantifying, and predicting Earth’s climate variability and change. While new observing technologies are in development, their deployment and calibration often span years before becoming fully operational. This study evaluates one such system: SMART (Science Monitoring And Reliable Telecommunications) Subsea Cables, [...]

Coastal groundwater level trends reveal global susceptibility to seawater intrusion

Annika Nolte, Steffen Bender, Jens Hartmann, et al.

Published: 2025-09-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Coastal groundwater is a vital source of freshwater that is threatened by overabstraction and rising sea levels. Yet, our understanding of where global coastal groundwater levels (GWLs) are declining and what regions are susceptible to future seawater intrusion (SWI) remains limited. Here, we present the first global, observation-based assessment of coastal GWL trends, using more than 550,000 [...]

A Hybrid Iron/Green-Rust-Urea Model for Prebiotic Chemistry: A Synthesis of Testable Pathways for Planetary Astrobiology

Zachary Fisher

Published: 2025-09-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Planetary Geochemistry, Planetary Geology, Planetary Hydrology, Planetary Sciences

We propose a quantitative, testable framework for abiogenesis that links submarine alkaline vents, which supply H₂, ΔpH, and Fe/Fe–S catalysis, to subaerial hot-spring fields that provide wet–dry concentration and UV-driven photoredox chemistry. To bridge dilution between environments, we specify mobile “holding pens” (green-rust/iron flocs, silica mats, pumice rafts, and sea-surface [...]

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