Preprints
There are 7000 Preprints listed.
Bridging social–ecological systems and ecological economics to navigate polycrisis
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Social and Behavioral Sciences
Human societies and ecological systems experience interacting and compounding crises, a condition often described as ‘polycrisis’. To better navigate it, we propose a synthesis agenda at the interface of ecological economics (EE) and social–ecological systems (SES) research. Through collaborative synthesis and building on a practical framework of crisis dynamics as shocks and creeping changes, we [...]
Analysis of sub-regional climates in the European Alps based on the EEAR-Clim observational dataset
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Meteorology
The European Alps exhibit a complex geomorphology and undergo the influences of different climate regimes, resulting in high spatial variability of climatic variables and their changes. To provide a detailed analysis of climate regions and climatic changes occurring at a sub-regional scale during the 1961-2020 period, we exploited an updated regionalization of the European Alps that benefits from [...]
Characterization of Microplastics in Wastewater Treatment Plants and Filtration Using a Sand-Char Model
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Environmental Health and Protection
The current study focused on detecting and removing microplastics (MPs) from wastewater using a low-cost filter. Microplastics are very small plastic pieces that pollute water and can harm both animals and people. For this study, water samples were collected from three treatment plants in Srinagar: Hariparbat STP, Laam STP, and Nishat WTP. The presence of microplastics was studied under stereo [...]
Deforestation Edge Effects on Soil Moisture Persistence in the Amazon Basin: Observational Evidence for Lateral Hydrological Degradation and Minimum Viable Restoration Scales
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Forest Sciences, Hydrology
Deforestation in the Amazon basin degrades not only the cleared land but also the hydrological function of adjacent intact forest. Here we combine 10 years of SMAP Level 4 root-zone soil moisture (9 km, 2015 to 2024) with Hansen Global Forest Change data (30 m) to quantify how proximity to deforestation edges affects soil moisture persistence in intact forest across the Amazon basin. We classify [...]
First Observational Evidence That Biological Giant CCN Control Urban Rainfall Character: A Natural Experiment from Islamabad's Paper Mulberry Removal
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Meteorology
Modeling studies predict that biological aerosol, specifically pollen acting as giant cloud condensation nuclei (GCCN), can modify precipitation character by initiating collision-coalescence and warm rain in shallow cloud (Steiner et al., 2015; Wozniak et al., 2018; Paukert et al., 2025). No observational study has tested this prediction. We exploit a natural experiment, the removal of ~29,000 [...]
Dendritically-Drained Peat Plateaus: A Distinctive Thaw-Sensitive Organic-Rich Permafrost Landsystem in Northwestern Canada
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Peatlands in northwestern Canada comprise one of the most thaw-sensitive and carbon-rich permafrost landscapes of North America, and undergo rapid thaw due to surface disturbance and climate change. Dendritically-drained peat plateaus (DPPs) are a distinctive permafrost landform assemblage characterized by branching networks of channelized fens and bogs dissecting raised peat plateaus with [...]
Deep learning identification of SST teleconnections driving early-winter North Atlantic climate
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Meteorology, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Seasonal predictability over the North Atlantic-European (NAE) sector is strongly modulated by the background climate state, particularly in early winter. In this season, different ENSO teleconnections have been reported before and after the 1990s. However, these studies rely on linear analysis, and the reasons for this lack of stationarity and its implications for seasonal forecasting have not [...]
Global forest typology at 10-meter resolution for forest and land-use monitoring
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Forest Management, Forest Sciences, Life Sciences, Other Forestry and Forest Sciences, Terrestrial and Aquatic Ecology
Distinguishing forest types---primary, naturally regenerating, planted, and plantation forests---from agricultural tree crops and other land uses is essential for carbon accounting, biodiversity assessment, conservation planning, and supply-chain regulation. However, no existing global dataset resolves this typology at high spatial resolution. We present the Forest Typology (ForTy) v1 dataset, a [...]
Persistent Future North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Risk in Two Contrasting CMIP6 Scenarios
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
We analyze North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity using the Columbia HAZard (CHAZ) model to downscale 12 models from CMIP6 under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios --- those with the least and greatest anthropogenic forcing respectively. TC frequency increases along the Southeastern U.S. and declines along the Gulf under both SSPs. Greater TC frequency is not projected in the [...]
Operationalising EMS-98 Damage Classification: A UAV-to-GIS Pipeline for Macroseismic Survey Support
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Computer Sciences, Databases and Information Systems, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Nature and Society Relations, Remote Sensing, Spatial Science
Macroseismic surveys are central to post-earthquake damage assessment but remain labour-intensive, relying on in-person inspections that delay the production of structured, georeferenced damage information. While UAV imagery and deep learning have shown promise in accelerating façade-level damage detection, two limitations recur in the literature: most models are trained on damage taxonomies that [...]
Optimal Modeling and County-Level Applications for the Spatial Prediction of Soil Organic Matter: A Case Study of Thirteen Counties in the Yellow River Basin
Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering
Soil organic matter (SOM) is a key indicator for assessing soil health and the carbon sequestration potential, and its precise spatial prediction is vital for ensuring sustainable agricultural development. Machine learning has emerged as a core tool in digital soil mapping. However, in complex landscapes such as the Yellow River Basin, the selection of models and the translation of their [...]
A 10,000-Year Global Stochastic Tropical Cyclone Catalog with Wind-Dependent Track Transitions (WHITS)
Published: 2026-05-21
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Risk Analysis
Reliable assessment of tropical cyclone (TC) risk is limited by the brevity and spatial sparsity of the historical record, particularly for the rare, high-intensity landfalls that dominate insured loss. We present WHITS (Wind-focused Hurricane Interactive Track Simulator), a non-parametric semi-Markov track generator that extends the HITS framework of Nakamura et al. (2015) in three ways: [...]
Local refinement of a national-scale groundwater model
Published: 2026-05-21
Subjects: Planetary Hydrology, Water Resource Management
This method article presents a local refinement framework for a national-scale, machine learning-based groundwater model that predicts typical summer and winter water table depth at 10 × 10 m resolution at national scale of Denmark. While the existing baseline model provides high-resolution national coverage and is suitable for screening purposes, its accuracy remains insufficient for local [...]
Role of Fault Geometry in Generating Backward-migrating P-wave Radiation During the 2025 Mw 7.7 Myanmar Earthquake
Published: 2026-05-21
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology
The Mw 7.7 Myanmar earthquake of 28 March 2025 ruptured the Sagaing Fault system over ~450 km and exhibited complex rupture behavior, including intermittent supershear propagation and backward-migrating high-frequency (HF) P-wave radiation. We image the rupture evolution using multi-frequency teleseismic P-wave back-projection (BP) (0.05–0.5, 0.1–1.0, and 0.3–2.0 Hz) and compare the results with [...]
Climate Change Perceptions and Policy Priorities in Pakistan: A Community Survey Analysis and Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Perspective
Published: 2026-05-20
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Climate change constitutes a compound existential risk for Pakistan — a nation responsible for less than one percent of global greenhouse-gas emissions yet consistently ranked among the ten most climate-vulnerable states on earth (Germanwatch, 2021). Escalating heatwaves, intensifying monsoon floods, accelerating glacial retreat, chronic smog, and advancing desertification are not future [...]