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Preprints

There are 6204 Preprints listed.

Quantification Error Model for Aerial LiDAR Methane Emission Rate Estimates

Cameron D. Dudiak, Devin B Goodwin, Dominic Altamura, et al.

Published: 2025-11-11
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Environmental Monitoring, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Statistical Models

Accurate characterization of methane emission rate quantification error (QE) is essential for building measurement-based emissions inventories that benchmark emissions, guide mitigation, and satisfy reporting frameworks such as OGMP 2.0. Previous studies have summarized QE using distributions of errors from controlled release experiments, but with limited consideration of environmental conditions [...]

Accelerating Geothermal Modeling with Low- and High-Fidelity Fourier Neural Operators

James W. Patterson

Published: 2025-11-11
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Oil, Gas, and Energy

Geothermal reservoir models are costly to build and calibrate, and generating a single forecast can take hours. Operators tasked with field planning and optimization are constrained by the speed of these forecast simulations, limiting the number of scenarios they can explore. Machine learning can be a powerful tool to speed up computationally expensive tasks, but standard approaches using Neural [...]

The Tocantins Framework: A Machine Learning-Based Assessment of Intra-urban Thermal Anomalies

Isaque Carvalho Borges, Johari Barrientos-Murray, Lucca Pereira da Cunha, et al.

Published: 2025-11-11
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Computer Sciences, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Sciences, Statistics and Probability, Sustainability

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect has been extensively studied at the city scale. Yet, the Intra-Urban Heat Island and the Intra-Urban Cool Island effects remain poorly characterized due to the absence of standardized quantification frameworks. This study introduces the Tocantins Framework, a dual-metric system combining machine learning and spatial morphology to identify and quantify [...]

Extratropical forcing of low-latitude subsurface oxygenation under future warming

Zhen Gao, Shantong Sun, Daoxun Sun, et al.

Published: 2025-11-10
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

The global ocean is losing oxygen under climate warming, yet most climate models project rising oxygen levels in low-latitude subsurface waters (~100–500 m), partly due to their enhanced ventilation. However, underlying drivers for the enhanced ventilation remain unclear. Here we demonstrate that the enhanced tropical subsurface ventilation is driven by extratropical forcing. While extratropical [...]

The Anthropocene: epoch, event, historical phase or nothing at all?

Valentí Rull

Published: 2025-11-10
Subjects: Earth Sciences

After its recent rejection as a geological epoch of the Geological Time Scale, t he Anthropocene is a concept in search of a definition, and action in this regard is urgently needed. Following its rejection, we can no longer speak of the Anthropocene in a general sense, as if everyone understood what it means. The greatest precision we can currently achieve is to state that the term refers to the [...]

Flood Radar: Multi-Sensor SAR-Based Flood Mapping and Evacuation Modeling — A Case Study of the July 2025 Texas Flood

Antonika Shapovalova

Published: 2025-11-08
Subjects: Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Planetary Sciences

Floods remain among the most destructive natural hazards worldwide, causing an average of USD 40 billion in annual damage and affecting more than 2.5 billion people between 1994 and 2014. The Central Texas flood of July 2025 was one of the most catastrophic in recent decades, triggered by the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry that delivered over 508 mm of rain within two days. This study presents [...]

Spatiotemporal dynamics of air pollution and vegetation health in a rapidly urbanizing city in northeastern Bangladesh

Shithi Dhar Bristy, Md Lokman Hossain, Md. Sabbir Ahmed Ruman, et al.

Published: 2025-11-07
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Forest Sciences, Geography

Air pollution poses a significant environmental concern and is recognized as the fourth leading risk factor affecting human health. Understanding the levels of air pollution and its relationships with vegetation is crucial for assessing health risks under rapid urbanization. In this study, using the extracted imagery from the Sentinel-5 and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) [...]

Multi-Agent Geophysical AI Workflow for Automated Reservoir Characterization

M Quamer Nasim, Paresh Nath Singha Roy, Tannistha Maiti

Published: 2025-11-07
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Computational Engineering, Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geophysics and Seismology

Traditional geophysical workflows like reservoir characterization are driven in a collaborative manner where teams of geoscientists share their individual analyses to inform key decisions made by executives. However, these workflows are repetitive, time-consuming, prone to human error, and introduce subjective bias. While researchers have used automation to address these limitations via deep [...]

Relict landscapes and fluvial landforms: Catastrophic outflow following a major Late Messinian base-level fall

Dia Ninkabou, Julien Gargani, Christian Gorini, et al.

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Analysis, Earth Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Mathematics, Physics, Stratigraphy

During the Messinian Salinity Crisis (MSC), the entire Mediterranean basin experienced deep canyon incision along its margins as the result of sea-level variations and rapidly increasing salinity. Yet, the processes and water sources capable of generating such dramatic incision have never been quantitatively demonstrated. Using high-resolution 3-D seismic reflection data and paleo-stream network [...]

Rheological control on earthquake source kinematics and dynamics at the Hengill geothermal field

Vincenzo Convertito, Sergio Gammaldi, Davide Zaccagnino, et al.

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We analyze seismic source parameters of the induced earthquakes at the Hengill (Iceland) between 2018 and 202 to investigate rupture processes in a complex volcanic–geothermal setting. Our analysis reveals a source scaling relation that deviates from the commonly assumed M0 ∝ fc^-3. By combining stress tensor orientation, lithostatic and hydrostatic pressure, and frictional strength estimates, we [...]

Emerging AI Solutions for Hazardous PET Waste in Marine Environments: A Review of Underexplored Paradigms

Yara Hossam, Hajar Nagdy, Rana Adel, et al.

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Engineering

Polyethylene terephthalate (PET) pollution, due to its persistence, chemical recalcitrance, and widespread usage, represents a growing hazard to marine ecosystems. Its accumulation contributes to long-term ecotoxicological risks, food chain contamination, and environmental degradation. Addressing this challenge necessitates the adoption of scalable, efficient, and intelligent strategies for [...]

A proof-of-stake blockchain framework for transparent climate data verification

Thomas F. Heston

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Environmental Sciences

Trust in climate data remains a significant barrier to effective climate action. Skepticism about data manipulation and politicization reduces confidence and hinders evidence-based policy. Existing climate data systems lack transparent verification and accessible analytical tools, limiting accountability and stakeholder engagement. This study presents a reproducible framework that applies [...]

Thoughts on prognostically modeling an eddying double-gyre ensemble mean

Andrew Poje, Такая Учида, Quentin Jamet, et al.

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We address the question of separating the ocean’s deterministic response to time-dependent forcing from its intrinsic chaotic variability. Because the forcing is neither stationary nor periodic and spatial homogeneity is precluded by both the forcing pattern and boundary conditions, statistical analysis must rely on ensemble averaging. Here, we define this as the arithmetic mean over realizations [...]

Effect of chemical disequilibrium during metal-silicate partitioning on the thermal state of the early core and implications on the dynamics of metal/silicate segregation

Vincent Clesi, Renaud Deguen

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Geophysics and Seismology, Planetary Geology, Planetary Geophysics and Seismology

In this study, we improved a previously published numerical model linking the core composition to the core temperature during accretion by introducing some amount of chemical disequilibrium during the segregation of the core in the magma ocean phase. At the minimum equilibrium rate in metal and silicate phases, the final temperature of the core by $\sim$ 250 K compared to the fully equilibrated [...]

A climate-biodiversity funnel that accelerates action towards global goals

Steven Lade, Aryanie Amellina, Charlotte Kendra Gotangco Gonzales, et al.

Published: 2025-11-06
Subjects: Environmental Sciences

Joint action on climate and biodiversity is urgently needed to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement (PA) and Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KM-GBF). Here, we analyse interlinkages between targets in these two landmark international agreements. We find recognition of climate-biodiversity interactions in the agreement texts (three KM-GBF Targets and four PA Articles), [...]

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