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Preprints

There are 6235 Preprints listed.

A climate-biodiversity funnel that accelerates action towards global goals

Steven Lade, Aryanie Amellina, Charlotte Kendra Gotangco Gonzales, et al.

Published: 2025-11-05
Subjects: Environmental Sciences

Joint action on climate and biodiversity is urgently needed to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement (PA) and Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KM-GBF). Here, we analyse interlinkages between targets in these two landmark international agreements. We find recognition of climate-biodiversity interactions in the agreement texts (three KM-GBF Targets and four PA Articles), [...]

A Two-Stage Fitting Method for Truncated Stem Diameter Distributions

Gregory Paradis

Published: 2025-11-05
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Forest Management, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models

Stem diameter distributions underpin growth projections, harvest scheduling, and carbon accounting, yet permanent sample plot inventories are routinely truncated by merchantability limits and maximum expected diameters. The accepted remedy is to fit truncated versions of the desired density, but those forms are seldom documented or supported in common software, so practitioners often default to [...]

Biases due to widespread use of low-cost sensors for urban heat stress assessments

Sarah Berk, TC Chakraborty, Angel Hsu

Published: 2025-11-05
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Urban heat stress is an area of critical research interest due to its relevance for public health and policy. Given the lack of operational-grade weather stations within cities, different types of low-cost sensors have been used to assess urban heat stress. However, these sensors are traditionally not designed for capturing fine scale differences in temperature and humidity (i.e., the main [...]

It’s Not Just Risk—It’s Responsibility: Changing Drivers of Home Flood Protection

Mikhail Sirenko, Tatiana Filatova

Published: 2025-11-05
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Private household adaptation is a critical yet underutilised element of flood resilience. Property-level measures might reduce up to 80\% of damage if adopted in a timely manner. However, socio-behavioural factors serve as constraints to adaptation. Among them, a lack of risk awareness is considered a primary barrier. Empirical research typically relies on a single snapshot of data, implicitly [...]

Why are farmers in South India shifting from conventional ‘Green Revolution’ agriculture to natural farming? A mixed-methods study

Bharath Yandrapu, Sheril Rajan, John Norrie, et al.

Published: 2025-11-04
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Introduction: The Green Revolution contributed to significant increases in crop production and yield in India. However, it also resulted in negative social and environmental consequences. In response, alternative farming practices have emerged which are based on agroecological principles, such as natural farming. In the recent years government policies at state and national level are also [...]

Modelling the transport and dispersion of volcanic co-PDC ash clouds using NAME: an evaluation of source geometry and mass eruption rate

Marie Hagenbourger, Frances Beckett, Thomas J. Jones, et al.

Published: 2025-11-03
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Volcanology

Pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) are gravity currents that frequently form during explosive volcanic eruptions. These ground-hugging density currents consist of high-temperature mixtures of pyroclasts (e.g., ash, pumice), lithics, and gas. They have the potential to generate co-PDC plumes, which detach from the underlying PDC as they buoyantly rise into the atmosphere. Co-PDC plumes, composed [...]

Homogenization of Elastic Wave Equation using Renormalization Group Theory

Bhaskar Illa, Ajay Malkoti, Shravan M. Hanasoge, et al.

Published: 2025-11-03
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Seismic waves traveling through the Earth interact with heterogeneities of all scales along their path. Generally, we are interested in travel time associated with coarse-scale structures; however, fine-scale structures also influence the amplitude and travel time for all phases. The distribution of fine-scale heterogeneities not only affects travel times but also impacts how we observe [...]

Bending the Sierra Madre Oriental: A Paleocene Orocline

Rafael Guerra-Roel, Gabriel Chávez-Cabello, Jose Jorge Aranda Gómez, et al.

Published: 2025-11-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Tectonics and Structure

The Sierra Madre Oriental belt of the Mexican thin-skinned fold-and-thrust belt, which formed during the Late Cretaceous due to the subduction of the Farallon Plate beneath North America, exhibits a pronounced curvature of approximately 100°, concave to the southwest. A recent paleomagnetic study in Jurassic rocks has classified the curvature of the Sierra Madre Oriental as an orocline. However, [...]

Factors Affecting Aboveground Carbon Storage in Mixed Oak-Pine Forests: A Multiple Regression Analysis of Southeastern U.S. Forest Inventory Data

Nishka Shah

Published: 2025-11-02
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Climate, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Sciences, Forest Biology, Forest Management, Multivariate Analysis, Natural Resources and Conservation, Plant Sciences, Statistical Models

This study investigated the factors affecting aboveground carbon storage in mixed oak-pine forests of the southeastern United States, with a particular focus on the influence of stand age. Using data from 946 Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) plots collected from 2009 to 2019, a multiple regression analysis was conducted to determine the relative importance of various forest and topographic [...]

Unexpected canopy gain in Earth’s mangrove forests linked to natural expansion and regrowth

Zhen Zhang, Nicholas Murray, Xiao-Peng Song, et al.

Published: 2025-11-01
Subjects: Forest Sciences

Mangroves have disappeared rapidly due to deforestation and sea-level rise but can also recover through natural regrowth and restoration. However, their long-term trajectory in area and canopy cover remains highly uncertain. By developing a global mangrove canopy density dataset, we show that mangrove loss (conversion to other land uses) and degradation (reduction in canopy density) have been [...]

Hidden in plain sight? Some challenges and needs for practical planetary biosignature exploration, both home and away-A Mini-Review.

Stephen Larter, Ben Tutolo, Christopher Tino, et al.

Published: 2025-11-01
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Other Earth Sciences, Other Planetary Sciences, Paleobiology, Planetary Biogeochemistry, Planetary Geochemistry

Identifying organic molecular biosignatures for life is challenging. Most current analytical methods were developed on Earth sediments rich in total organic carbon (TOC), and these methods struggle when dilute organic matter is situated within reactive, mineralogically complex astrobiological samples. Diverse geological alteration processes degrade biomarker signals, often concealing some [...]

Nature’s role in national security

Bradley J Cardinale, J. Emmett Duffy, Rod Schoonover

Published: 2025-10-31
Subjects: Aquaculture and Fisheries Life Sciences, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Environmental Health and Protection, Environmental Studies, Marine Biology, Natural Resources and Conservation, Natural Resources Management and Policy

The ability of a nation to protect its citizens, institutions, and interests from domestic and foreign threats is one of the foundational responsibilities of any government. However, the ability of sovereign nations to ensure national security for their citizens and institutions has been increasingly challenged by various forms of anthropogenic global change. While the link between climate change [...]

Anomaly detection of Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferograms with semi-supervised machine learning

Estibaliz Martinez, Yosuke Aoki

Published: 2025-10-31
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Volcanology

The aim of this research is to detect Earth's deformation from Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images through a semi-supervised machine learning algorithm called Least-Squares Two-sample Test (LSTT). This algorithm computes the probability distributions of two samples to assess if they belong to the same probability distribution. At the same time, it gives the divergence of these [...]

Unified Cross-Modal Learning for Hydrological Processes Using Multi-Task Transformer Framework

Bekir Zahit Demiray, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2025-10-31
Subjects: Environmental Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Hydraulic Engineering, Hydrology, Water Resource Management

Most deep learning studies in hydrology adopt single-task frameworks that address individual variables such as rainfall or streamflow independently, limiting opportunities for shared learning across related environmental processes. This study introduces a unified multi-task, multi-modal deep learning framework capable of jointly performing 24-hour horizon streamflow forecasting and rainfall [...]

A Weighted Fitting Approach for Diameter Distributions from Horizontal Point Sampling

Gregory Paradis

Published: 2025-10-31
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Other Forestry and Forest Sciences, Statistical Methodology, Statistical Models

Horizontal point sampling (HPS) produces size-biased tallies that cannot be fit directly with standard probability distributions without distorting diameter distribution estimates. Previous work resolves this by deriving bespoke size-biased probability density functions (PDFs) for each assumed distribution. We revisit the problem and formalise a weighted non-linear least squares approach that [...]

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