Preprints
There are 6976 Preprints listed.
Accuracy and realism of CMIP6 candidate models in capturing dry, moist, and extreme precipitation anomalies in the Laurentian Great Lakes.
Published: 2025-05-14
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The Great Lakes are the world’s largest freshwater system, and understanding how Great Lakes precipitation dynamics will be modified by climate change is of critical importance. As the Great Lakes straddles a semi-arid to humid transitional region, trustworthy precipitation predictions must be generated by models that can accurately capture both thermodynamical and dynamical drivers of regional [...]
Bayesian reconstruction of sea-level and hydroclimates from coastal landform inversion: application to Santa Cruz (US) and Gulf of Corinth app
Published: 2024-02-10
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Tectonics and Structure
Quantifying Quaternary sea-level changes and hydroclimatic conditions is an important challenge given their intricate relation with paleo-climate, ice-sheets and geodynamics. The world’s coastlines provide an enormous geomorphologic archive, from which forward landscape evolution modelling studies have shown their potential to unravel paleo sea-levels, albeit at the cost of assumptions on the [...]
How to deal w___ missing input data
Published: 2025-03-14
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Hydrology, Water Resource Management
Deep learning hydrologic models have made their way from research to applications. More and more national hydrometeorological agencies, hydro power operators, and engineering consulting companies are building Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models for operational use cases. All of these efforts come across similar sets of challenges—challenges that are different from those in controlled scientific [...]
Peak loads, health, and energy equality. The effects of demand-side electricity efficiency interventions
Published: 2025-05-15
Subjects: Engineering, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sustainability
Electrification is key for climate change mitigation but, if unmanaged, risks increasing energy poverty, inequalities, and peak electricity demand. While demand response to reduce peak electricity demand has been the subject of extensive research, the effects of energy efficiency interventions for wider health system and socioeconomic outcomes are less studied. This study assesses the impact of [...]
Time shift: The peak reduction potential of demand response with simple time-of-use pricing
Published: 2025-05-15
Subjects: Engineering, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sustainability
Increasing electrification of energy systems, required for greenhouse gas emissions reductions, poses challenges for electricity systems from increased peak demand. Demand response can reduce peak demand, but acceptability is limited by consumer concerns about effort, complexity, and lack of control. This study assesses the potential of simple demand response programs using existing electricity [...]
Peak demand, consumer costs, and socioeconomic effects: Considerations for distributed generation and energy storage
Published: 2025-05-15
Subjects: Engineering, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sustainability
Electrification is a key approach for reducing greenhouse gas emissions but will increase peak demand, challenging electricity systems. Distributed generation (DG) from solar photovoltaic (PV) panels and battery storage are often offered as potential solutions. This study uses a previously validated agent-based model of residential electricity demand to assess the impact of solar DG on peak [...]
The Motion and Tilts of Subsurface Floats due to Surface Waves
Published: 2025-05-16
Subjects: Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Subsurface and nearly neutrally-buoyant floats can be stable, well-behaved platforms for measuring ocean dynamics in the near-surface wave zone. Here, we measure and model the wave-induced tilt of one such platform. We use data from Lagrangian floats built at the Applied Physics Laboratory (APL/UW) and carrying a Nortek Signature1000 Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler with an AHRS (Attitude and [...]
Future changes in seasonal drought in Australia
Published: 2024-05-30
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Climate change is expected to exacerbate the frequency and intensity of drought in many water-limited regions. However, future drought changes in Australia –the driest inhabited continent on Earth– have remained stubbornly uncertain due to a lack of model agreement in projected precipitation changes in most regions. We use an ensemble of future projections from the National Hydrological [...]
Widespread reliance of rainfed crops on upwind irrigated agriculture in India
Published: 2026-02-03
Subjects: Agriculture, Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Hydrology, Sustainability, Water Resource Management
Rainfed crops account for approximately 40% of India’s food production and support 60% of its livestock. Although linked to oceanic monsoon rainfall, their productivity also depends on terrestrial evaporation, particularly in the non-monsoon season. However, the degree to which rainfed crops also rely on moisture sourced from upwind irrigated areas, remains largely unknown. Using a combination of [...]
Unraveling Southern Ocean Diatom Diversity Across the Eocene/Oligocene Transition
Published: 2025-09-09
Subjects: Biodiversity, Earth Sciences, Paleobiology, Paleontology
The Eocene-Oligocene transition (EOT) was a critical interval of global cooling and circulation change that reshaped marine ecosystems. However, current knowledge of diatom diversity and community dynamics during this interval relies mainly on biostratigraphic compilations, which largely document common species and thus likely underestimate true diversity. This study provides a more complete [...]
Water Quality and Microclimate Gradients in the Argentine Andes and Patagonia: Field Measurements of TDS, Conductivity, and Temperature Across Altitudes
Published: 2025-05-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
This field study reports portable in situ measurements of water temperature, Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), electrical conductivity (EC), air temperature, and humidity across six representative sites in Argentina (March 2025). We sampled 20 points spanning 115 m (Perito Moreno) to 3 383 m (Aconcagua). Mean TDS at high‑altitude sites (Aconcagua: 1172 ± 425 ppm) was up to 50 times higher than at [...]
A climate empirical temperature simulator, an application in Provence (France)
Published: 2025-05-17
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The importance of being able to make climate projections at the local level is fundamental because they are the ones that will serve as an input for any vulnerability study as part of a climate change adaptation plan. The techniques exist and, in France, the DRIAS portal allows you to download these projections with several models and with an 8 km x 8 km grid (called Safran grid). However, a [...]
Hydraulic geometry hypothesis allows reverse engineering of 3D quasi-equilibrium landscapes from 2D channel networks
Published: 2025-05-19
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
A fluvial catchment consists of unchannelized hillslopes drained by a channel network. Catchments can be fully characterized by their three-dimensional (3D) topography and the bankfull characteristics of their channels. Here we use a probabilistic algorithm to generate a set of scale-free, two-dimensional (2D) pixelized river networks of increasing complexity. We then integrate reach-scale [...]
Optimization of Automated Sea Ice Melt Pond Depth Determination in ICESat-2 Laser Altimeter Data with the DDA-bifurcate-seaice Algorithm Using Airborne Campaign Data
Published: 2025-05-20
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Melt ponding on Arctic sea ice is a key indicator of the transition from a predominantly perennial to a seasonal sea ice cover, yet quantitative data on pond depth remain limited. Here, we present the first analysis of melt-pond depth using ICESat-2’s Advanced Topographic Lidar Altimeter System (ATLAS). The Density-Dimension Algorithm for Bifurcating Sea-Ice Reflectors (DDA-bifurcate-seaice) [...]
Heavy Metal Toxicity: A Major Driver of Past Biodiversity Crises?
Published: 2025-05-20
Subjects: Life Sciences
Whether today’s heavy metal pollution represents an unprecedented threat to biodiversity, in Earth’s history remains an open question. Here, we reassess the state-of-the-art research to evaluate whether heavy metal toxicity played a major role in past extinction events. Although there is evidence to heavy metal loading during several past biotic crises, direct causal links to extinctions are [...]