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Preprints

There are 7999 Preprints listed.

Bridging ERA5 Reanalysis Data and Regulatory Air Dispersion Modelling: A Transparent Workflow Implemented through the WindRose Toolkit

Paolo Bidello

Published: 2026-03-07
Subjects: Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Regulatory atmospheric dispersion models such as AERMOD and CALPUFF are widely adopted for Environmental Impact Assessments involving atmospheric emissions. Despite their scientific maturity and regulatory acceptance, the practical application of these modelling systems outside the North American context is often constrained by the limited availability of suitable meteorological datasets. In many [...]

Role of Fault Geometry in Generating Backward-migrating P-wave Radiation During the 2025 Mw 7.7 Myanmar Earthquake

Kotaro Tarumi, Kazunori Yoshizawa

Published: 2026-05-21
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology

The Mw 7.7 Myanmar earthquake of 28 March 2025 ruptured the Sagaing Fault system over ~450 km and exhibited complex rupture behavior, including intermittent supershear propagation and backward-migrating high-frequency (HF) P-wave radiation. We image the rupture evolution using multi-frequency teleseismic P-wave back-projection (BP) (0.05–0.5, 0.1–1.0, and 0.3–2.0 Hz) and compare the results with [...]

Climate Network Analysis of Precipitation Regimes from WorldClim Data in Saudi Arabia

Yazeed Alabbad, Ali Alnahit, Saleh Alhathloul

Published: 2025-12-12
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Geography, Risk Analysis

Saudi Arabia is shaped by a hydroclimatic gradient, from the hyper-arid Rub’ al-Khali desert to the semi-arid mountains in the southwest. This gradient affects runoff generation, groundwater recharge, and drought risk, yet most studies still summarize rainfall using basic statistics from station data or gridded products. This research applies climate network analysis to identify coherent rainfall [...]

Methodological and conceptual shortcomings of MEECC limit its transparency and policy relevance

Roberto Schaeffer, Marina Andrijevic, Jarmo Kikstra, et al.

Published: 2026-09-24
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Kanitkar, Jayaraman & Lavanyaa (KJL from here on) introduce the Model for Energy Equity and Climate Compatibility (MEECC_V.1), an analytical tool positioned as an alternative integrated assessment framework. MEECC is intended to facilitate the construction of scenarios to operationalize climate-compatibility, equity, and feasibility. The attention to the development-mitigation nexus and [...]

How well do global ocean approaches constrain local pCO2?

Galen A McKinley, Amanda R Fay, Thea Hatlen Heimdal, et al.

Published: 2026-03-22
Subjects: Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

The ocean absorbs 29% of humanity’s annual anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and the future of climate change is strongly dependent on how this sink evolves. Marine Carbon Dioxide Removal (mCDR) approaches to enhance this sink are actively being developed. In the interest of understanding how well state-of-the-art global products and models can help to distinguish mCDR signals from [...]

A preliminary seismic catalog for the Mozambique Channel

Andry Ramarolahy, Andriamiranto Raveloson, Rasheed Ajala, et al.

Published: 2026-02-12
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure

The Mozambique Channel is a 1,600-km long, 950 – 1,000-km wide deep-water arm of southwestern Indian Ocean, located between Mozambique and Madagascar Island. The channel hosts the offshore continuation of the East African Rift System, an active divergent plate boundary that has propagated from the African continent, across Mesozoic continental rifted margins, into Mesozoic oceanic lithosphere. [...]

Spatiotemporal Patterns and Human Accessibility of the July 2026 Northern Algeria Wildfires: An Event-Based Statistical Analysis

Racha Guerroui

Published: 2026-08-09
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Northern Algeria experienced a widespread wildfire outbreak between 20 and 24 July 2026, coinciding with an exceptional regional heatwave. This report presents an independent, multi-method statistical analysis of satellite-detected fire activity (NASA VIIRS/FIRMS, n = 4,105 raw detections) to evaluate whether the spatial and temporal structure of these fires — together with their proximity to [...]

Shifting the Paradigm: Redefining the Chronostratigraphy of the Triassic Rewan Group, Bowen Basin, Australia

Matthew Scipione, Romain Vaucher, Eric Roberts, et al.

Published: 2026-02-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure

The Triassic continental Rewan Group in the northern Bowen Basin, Queensland, Australia, consisting of the Sagittarius Sandstone and the Arcadia Formation, preserves a key record of terrestrial environments and faunas that have been assumed to document recovery following the end‑Permian mass extinction (EPME). The Rewan Group accumulated in a retroarc foreland basin during the Hunter–Bowen [...]

Increasing lifetime exposure to extreme fire weather under climate change in Europe

Rosa Pietroiusti, Jessica Hetzer, Marco Turco, et al.

Published: 2026-05-01
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Climate change increases fire weather globally. Hot, dry and windy conditions raise the likelihood of fires igniting and spreading and make suppression more challenging. With further warming, fire weather is projected to intensify across Europe, yet implications for today’s young generations remain unclear. Here, we analyse lifetime exposure to extreme fire weather across Europe using an ensemble [...]

High-ambition climate action in all sectors can achieve a 59% greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Korea by 2035

Hyuntae Choi, Haewon McJeon, Sangin Park

Published: 2025-08-13
Subjects: Engineering, Social and Behavioral Sciences

Under the Paris Agreement’s ratchet mechanism, countries are expected to enhance their nationally determined contributions (NDCs), including new targets for 2035. For Korea, one of the world’s largest CO2 emitters, the challenge is to strengthen its existing policy framework to not only ensure the achievement of its 2030 NDC but also support a more ambitious 2035 pathway. This study employs an [...]

Validation of ICESat-2 ATL13 Version 7 Water Surface Elevation on Small High-Latitude Rivers: A Case Study of the River Dee and River Don, Aberdeenshire, Scotland

Shobha Mourya Dumpati

Published: 2026-03-07
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Hydrology, Remote Sensing, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Spatial Science

Satellite Laser Altimetry represents an attractive opportunity to supplement the sparsely distributed in situ gauge network used to monitor rivers. The performance of satellite laser altimetry on small, high latitude streams has however been characterized as being poor. This research will be validating ICESat-2 ATL13 version 7 measured water surface elevations (WSE) for the River Dee (average [...]

Beyond universal access: mapping regional inequalities and spatial coldspots in India’s WaSH sector toward SDG 6

Ajishnu Roy

Published: 2026-04-17
Subjects: Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

National averages can conceal significant sectoral disparities and long-standing subnational injustices, despite the fact that India’s flagship programs had significantly improved access to water and sanitation. This report provided a thorough, data-driven evaluation of the water, sanitation, and hygiene (WaSH) in all 37 Indian states and union territories (UTs) using 25 indicators. Pearson’s [...]

Source effects in higher-order ambient seismic field correlations

Sven Schippkus, Gregor Hillers, Celine Hadziioannou

Published: 2025-12-05
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

Seismic interferometry of the ambient seismic field is widely used for surface wave imaging. It typically requires synchronous station recordings and assumes uniform noise source distributions. Higher-order correlations, such as the re-correlation of direct waves (C2), enable imaging with asynchronous data and have been shown to improve an incomplete source distribution. Using field data and [...]

Statistical rock physics inversion for assessing source rock properties from seismic signatures: an application to the Canning Basin, Australia

Jiayuan Huang, Allegra Hosford Scheirer, Tapan Mukerji

Published: 2025-07-15
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Earth Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Statistics and Probability

Quantifying source rock properties is essential for subsurface characterization but remains a high-dimensional and nonlinear inverse problem. A statistical rock physics inversion workflow is implemented to efficiently estimate source rock properties from seismic and well-log data and quantify associated uncertainty. A thermal-maturation-dependent rock physics model is calibrated through Monte [...]

MACROM: An Optimal Control Model for Balancing Climate Change Abatement and Damage Trade-offs

Nina Rynne, Michael Bode, Melanie E Roberts, et al.

Published: 2026-02-11
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Climate, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment

The current pace of global emissions reduction is inadequate to meet the Paris Agreement temperature target of 1.5°C. While carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is increasingly viewed as necessary to meet these targets, questions remain about the optimal scale and timing of deployment when both costs and climate damages are considered. Here we present MACROM, an optimal control climate-economic model [...]

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