Preprints
There are 7999 Preprints listed.
Compound Supershear Rupture During the 2026 Venezuela Earthquake Doublet
Published: 2026-09-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The 24 June 2026 Venezuela earthquake doublet occurred along a complex transform-fault system. Teleseismic P waves encompassing both cataloged events were analyzed using potency density tensor inversion with seven structure models. All models indicate predominantly eastward rupture over approximately 220 km, including several stages of supershear propagation. Three apparent rupture stalls [...]
Storm life cycle modulates extreme hydroclimate impact risk: a Great Lakes Region case study
Published: 2026-04-18
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Fresh Water Studies, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) drive hydroclimate variability in the Great Lakes, yet their impacts vary widely between events. Here, we classify ETCs into two storm types using an unsupervised clustering approach based on storm properties and evolution. The resulting classes differ systematically in life cycle stage at Great Lakes entry. Using bootstrap-estimated risk ratios and risk differences, [...]
Thermo-Hydraulic Optimization of Deep Geothermal Systems: Computational Methods and Classification
Published: 2026-04-20
Subjects: Engineering
Deep geothermal energy forms an important part of a sustainable energy portfolio, providing baseload power and heat. A significant global expansion of DGSs is projected for the coming decades, thereby increasing use of local geothermal resources. This, together with a competitive energy market, creates an incentive to optimize DGSs with respect to large-scale design and operational control [...]
Assembly areas as urban infrastructure: disaster governance, spatial equity, and the protection of public open space in seismically exposed cities
Published: 2026-05-11
Subjects: Engineering, Physical and Environmental Geography, Social and Behavioral Sciences
Disaster assembly areas - designated open spaces where populations gather following a major earthquake - represent a critical but neglected component of urban resilience infrastructure. Using Istanbul as a primary case study, this Perspective examines how assembly area provision has been systematically eroded through routine planning decisions made outside the disaster management apparatus. Our [...]
Late Holocene tsunami hydrodynamics, sediment provenance and chronology from Dury Voe, Shetland Islands (UK)
Published: 2026-04-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Sedimentology
The Shetland Islands are one of the key sites in the Atlantic Ocean to study tsunami deposits, with three major events identified during the Holocene so far. Here, we aim to (i) reconstruct hydrodynamics of the late Holocene Dury Voe tsunami, (ii) constrain the sediment source area, and (iii) refine its age estimate. Onshore sandy deposits bracketed by thick dystrophic peat as well as marine [...]
HydroScholar AI: A Collaborative Agent for End-to-End Automated Hydrological Research Lifecycle
Published: 2026-04-10
Subjects: Computer Sciences, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Hydrological research relies on multi-stage computational workflows that are often slow, fragmented across disparate tools, and inconsistently documented, limiting reproducibility. This study presents HydroScholar AI, an agentic, human-in-the-loop platform that consolidates the plan-to-paper research lifecycle into a single interactive automated framework. From a natural-language prompt, the [...]
Atsusa samusa mo higan made: Statistical validation of a Japanese weather proverb across eight stations over 76 years
Published: 2026-03-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Background: Weather proverbs encode centuries of observational knowledge, yet few have been subjected to rigorous statistical testing. The Japanese proverb atsusa samusa mo higan made ("heat and cold last only until the equinox") asserts that seasonal temperature transitions coincide with the vernal and autumnal equinoxes. Despite growing international interest in weather folklore verification, [...]
Evaluating Cross-Country Generalization of Deep Learning-Based Flood Mapping Using Sentinel-1 SAR and Sentinel-2 Imagery
Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Other Computer Sciences
Benchmark performance in flood mapping does not reliably predict how a model will behave in a new country. This paper tests that directly. Using the Sen1Floods11 dataset, we evaluate twelve model configurations—two architectures (Vanilla U-Net and ResNet34-encoder U-Net) across three sensing modalities (Sentinel-1 SAR, Sentinel-2 augmented with NDWI and MNDWI spectral indices, and multimodal [...]
Multi-Modal Unsupervised Change Detection of Urban Vegetation in Birmingham, UK: A Cross-Method Comparison under 2022 Drought Conditions
Published: 2026-05-20
Subjects: Engineering
As the climate changes, cities are increasingly exposed to extreme weather events such as droughts, further amplified by the urban heat island effect. Urban vegetation, a key Nature-based Solution for cooling and climate resilience, is vulnerable to water stress. Therefore, it is increasingly important to understand how urban vegetation responds during drought years, particularly where [...]
Future tales from ancient reefs: fundamental differences between Last Interglacial and modern coral reef community changes on the island of Curaçao (lower Caribbean)
Published: 2025-06-05
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Stratigraphy
Coral reefs have experienced widespread and accelerated decline in the last decades, that was driven by a combination of global and local anthropogenic stressors. To contextualize these changes, we compared the composition of coral reef communities on Curaçao between 1973 and 2023 with that of corals preserved in fossil reefs from the Last Interglacial period (128–116 ka), the last geological [...]
Instantaneous State InSAR: Estimation and Prediction for Near Real-Time Displacement Monitoring
Published: 2025-06-18
Subjects: Engineering
Urban resilience and decision-making rely on continuous monitoring of key safety indicators. The increasing availability of interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) observations offers a valuable opportunity for near real-time stability monitoring, particularly in the built environment. Traditional InSAR time series methods use batch processing of all available data at a particular moment [...]
Multi-temporal Canopy Height Modeling using Deep Learning and Sentinel-2: The Influence of Training Data and Input Feature Representations
Published: 2026-11-06
Subjects: Environmental Monitoring, Geography, Remote Sensing
Precise information on canopy height is crucial to assess biomass and climate-induced structural changes within forests. Canopy height maps derived from optical satellite data can provide valuable wall-to-wall information, but often remain subject to substantial uncertainties. In this study, we systematically investigate the influence of training data and Sentinel-2 feature representations on the [...]
Foreshock Behaviors and Mainshock Rupture Properties Associated with the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka Earthquake Sequence
Published: 2025-11-27
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The July 29 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka earthquake ruptured the plate interface off the east coast of the Kamchatka Peninsula along the Kuril-Kamchatka subduction zone. Following the mainshock, tsunamis were recorded in multiple countries along the Pacific Ocean boundary and its islands, along with the eruption of several volcanoes in Kamchatka. The mainshock was preceded by a strong foreshock sequence [...]
Structured empirical waveform contamination in moment tensor inversion of shallow mining seismicity: A synthetic diagnostic framework
Published: 2026-08-01
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology
Moment tensor inversion of shallow seismicity can be strongly affected by sparse station coverage, uncertain source depth, and waveform mismatch caused by near-surface structural complexity. Conventional synthetic tests usually represent these uncertainties using random noise, but such tests may not reproduce the temporally organised waveform distortions present in local-network data. We develop [...]
Aged commercial imidacloprid formulation alters the thermal, optical, and electrical behavior of aqueous matrices
Published: 2026-09-11
Subjects: Environmental Sciences
Environmental persistence of neonicotinoid insecticides is influenced by their long-term stability and interactions with aqueous matrices. In this study, the thermal, optical, and electrical properties of a commercial imidacloprid formulation (Confidor 350 SC) were characterized under environmentally representative conditions. Solutions were prepared using three types of water (Distilled, Rain, [...]