Preprints
There are 7999 Preprints listed.
Dynamic Leveling of the Kanto Basin, Japan: A Unified Model Linking the Kanto Fragment and Mw 8 Deep Earthquakes
Published: 2026-08-03
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The Kanto Basin in central Japan has preserved an anomalously flat surface for more than one million years, defying the intense compressional tectonic regime of the Japanese island arc. Conventional static sedimentation and sea‑level fluctuation models cannot adequately explain this long‑term planar stability. This study proposes a dynamic leveling mechanism driven by two interacting deep [...]
Limited sensitivity of published InSight RISE rotation products to the seismically proposed Martian inner-core family: a prospectively specified reanalysis
Published: 2026-08-29
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Planetary Geophysics and Seismology
The InSight Rotation and Interior Structure Experiment (RISE) measured the rotation of Mars by radio tracking; Le Maistre et al. (2023) report the detection of the Free Core Nutation (FCN, period −243 ± 3.3 d) and no detection of the Free Inner Core Nutation (FICN) that a solid inner core would add. Bi et al. (2025) subsequently reported a 613 ± 67 km solid inner core from seismology, without [...]
From Impact Chains to Decision-Support: Designing CRISP, a Climate Risk Planning Tool for Agri-Food Systems
Published: 2026-04-01
Subjects: Risk Analysis
Systematically integrating climate risk considerations into development planning remains a persistent challenge, particularly where a lot of information needs to be gathered and practical, accessible tools and databases are lacking. Existing climate risk assessment approaches are often complex, resource-intensive, or not designed for specific sectoral contexts. To address this gap, the Climate [...]
Climate variability introduces uncertainty into future emissions pathways
Published: 2026-04-10
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Climate, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Social and Behavioral Sciences
Uncertainty in long-term climate outcomes arises not only from physical processes but also from societal responses to climate variability and change. Here we embed a range of temperature anomalies into an empirically-informed, coupled climate–social model to investigate how natural temperature variability shapes global emissions trajectories. Using Monte Carlo ensembles spanning social, [...]
Learning-Based Methods and the Future of Numerical Ocean and Sea Ice Modeling
Published: 2026-04-11
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
The field of operational oceanography is undergoing a significant evolution with the increasing integration of artificial intelligence (AI) methods, which are complementing and, in some cases, redefining traditional numerical modeling approaches. This review explores how AI methods—particularly model-based autoregressive emulators, hybrid modeling, and end-to-end model-free approaches—are [...]
AI-Assisted Voice Enabled Computing Framework for Hydrological Analysis
Published: 2025-07-01
Subjects: Civil Engineering, Computer and Systems Architecture, Environmental Engineering, Higher Education
This work presents a web-based, voice-enabled, no-code platform for AI-assisted hydrological analysis. The system allows users to interact through natural language—via both text and speech—to retrieve data, utilize hydrological functions, and visualize spatial and analytical outputs. Core components include a conversational AI assistant utilizing Large Language Models, a modular analysis engine [...]
Origin of Silicic Magmas at Kibblewhite Volcano: Implications for Bimodal Volcanism in the Kermadec Arc
Published: 2025-03-29
Subjects: Geochemistry, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Volcanology
Bimodal volcanism of basaltic and rhyolitic magmas in the Kermadec Arc has been attributed to the fractional crystallization of basaltic sources. However, new evidence from the Kibblewhite Volcano reveals two distinct differentiation pathways originating from mantle-derived basaltic and andesitic primary magmas. Here we employ geothermobarometric estimations, mass-balance calculations, and [...]
On the assessment of sinking particle fluxes from in situ particle size distributions
Published: 2024-12-16
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Earth Sciences, Other Earth Sciences
The biological carbon pump is a vital component of the global carbon cycle, particularly through sinking of particulate organic carbon (POC) to the ocean interior. Particle size distribution (PSD) observations from the Underwater Vision Profiler (UVP) have been widely used to quantify sinking POC fluxes. This approach assumes that the sinking POC flux is a function of the PSD multiplied by a [...]
Sustainable Design from Waste Up: Irradiated Graphite Disposal Assessments to Inform Reactor Design and Operation
Published: 2026-03-24
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Engineering
As Gen IV graphite-moderated reactor technologies advance to demonstration and deployment, the question must be answered of how, where, and when to dispose of the irradiated graphite waste produced from the operation of these facilities. This work presents an integrated assessment involving the entire graphite lifecycle in nuclear power production: impurity measurement of graphite grades, reactor [...]
Statistics of curvature in the submesoscale surface ocean
Published: 2026-04-24
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Ocean submesoscale (1--10\,km) variability is hypothesised to contribute substantially to upper-ocean vertical exchange and heat fluxes, but the three-dimensional turbulent nature of the variability makes it difficult to interpret submesoscale variability dynamically. Statistics of velocity gradients are often analyzed to characterize the nature of submesoscale dynamics. Previous analyses show [...]
Variation in Dissolved Oxygen Levels Between Agricultural and Protected Streams in Loudoun County, Virginia
Published: 2026-04-01
Subjects: Ecology and Evolutionary Biology
Agricultural runoff can reduce dissolved oxygen (DO) in streams and increase the risk of hypoxia for aquatic organisms. We monitored four streams in Loudoun County, Virginia for four weeks to compare DO dynamics between two agricultural sites and two protected forested sites, and to observe the response to a 1.3 inch storm event. Sites were sampled twice daily for DO and related water quality [...]
Accuracy, Robustness and Comprehensibility – Challenges in bottom-up energy system models
Published: 2026-03-24
Subjects: Electrical and Computer Engineering
This work provides a comprehensive framework for addressing key research gaps in bottom-up energy system modeling. While the field has experienced significant advancements in recent decades, largely due to improvements in computational capabilities and data availability, current models face persistent challenges in accuracy, robustness, and comprehensibility. While numerous review papers have [...]
Spatio-Temporal Assessment of Atmospheric Pollutants and Dispersion Mechanisms over West Bengal (2019–2024): Insights from Sentinel-5P, GEOS-CHEM, and HYSPLIT Models
Published: 2026-10-30
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology
This study delivers a thorough spatio-temporal analysis of atmospheric pollutants and their dispersion mechanisms across West Bengal (2019–2024), utilizing an integrated approach of Earth Observation and modeling techniques. We employed satellite data from Sentinel-5P alongside GEOS-Chem box modeling, HYSPLIT trajectory simulations, and AI-enhanced statistical methods to examine trends, identify [...]
WITHDRAWN: An assessment of small rural and micro-enterprises as pathways out of poverty. Insights from KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa
Published: 2026-03-25
Subjects: International and Area Studies
Rapid Fault Leakage Modelling for CO2 Storage in Saline Aquifers
Published: 2024-08-12
Subjects: Chemical Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geology, Petroleum Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Risk Analysis
Simulating the fluid flow along fault zones at different scales is essential for predicting the CO2 leakage and containment during injection and storage. However, this can be challenging, especially in the early stages of a storage project when knowledge of the reservoir and caprock is limited and the cost of obtaining the relevant data is high. This study proposes a tool for fast screening of [...]