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Preprints

There are 8001 Preprints listed.

The Current State of Research on Deformation, Strain, and Velocity across the Alpine-Himalayan Belt Using Transcontinental Sentinel-1 InSAR and GNSS

MOHIT SHEODE

Published: 2026-08-31
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure

Research on present-day deformation across the Alpine-Himalayan belt has crossed a methodological threshold. Regional Sentinel-1 studies in Anatolia, Iran, and Tibet have now been joined by the first transcontinental three-dimensional velocity and horizontal strain-rate field, derived from more than 222,000 radar images acquired during 2016-2024 and a belt-wide GNSS compilation. The result [...]

Unlocking Blue Carbon's Potential Requires Targeted Uncertainty Reductions

Shawn Doyle, Hoonshin Jung, Tim Carruthers

Published: 2026-09-18
Subjects: Climate, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Oceanography, Sustainability

Coastal “blue” carbon ecosystems like swamps and marshes are among the most efficient natural carbon sinks on Earth. Consequently, restoring and conserving these wetlands is gaining interest from private and government stakeholders as a nature-based solution to offset greenhouse gas emissions and generate revenue through carbon credits. However, the financial viability of blue carbon crediting is [...]

The BLiSS model: Four-way triangulation of a buried 293-m horizon at the White Terrace site, Taupō Volcanic Zone

Rex Bunn

Published: 2026-09-19
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Following the 1886 Mount Tarawera eruption, the Pink and White Terraces, New Zealand’s Eighth Wonder of the World, were widely assumed to have been destroyed and/or submerged in the new Lake Rotomahana, which formed in the Rotomahana crater. This research records how independent historical, geological, topographic, and geophysical evidence can be combined to solve a problem that none of these [...]

Assessing the Impact of Invasive Trapa natans on Freshwater Microbial Communities in Collins Lake, New York

Jacob Riley Mead

Published: 2026-08-31
Subjects: Life Sciences

Trapa natans, or water chestnut, is an invasive aquatic plant that disrupts the balance of aquatic ecosystems and upsets the equilibrium of the microbial community it inhabits. This study aims to assess the impacts of water chestnuts on the microbial communities and the overall health of Collins Lake. We hypothesized that the microbial integrity would be different in both the aquatic and benthic [...]

A Hysteresis-Based Framework for Evaluating and Selecting Streamflow Monitoring Approaches Under Unsteady Gradually Varied Flow Conditions

Marian Muste, Kyeongdong Kim, Dongsu Kim, et al.

Published: 2025-04-30
Subjects: Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Streamflow estimates derived from stage–discharge rating curves (HQRC) inadequately represent the spatiotemporal complexity of unsteady gradually varied flows (UGVF) and are commonly reported without uncertainty, encouraging their treatment as deterministic. These limitations are increasingly problematic as data users demand defensible confidence in streamflow estimates for cross‑agency [...]

Unsupervised Clustering for Identifying Dusty Days and Their Sources: A Long-Term Data Study in Sanandaj, Iran

Mohammad Momen Haji Mirzaei, Yashar Mohammadi

Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Sciences

Dust storms are a persistent environmental hazard in the Middle East, yet long-term monitoring remains limited by sparse ground observations and the lack of objective, reproducible event definitions. This study develops a transferable, data-driven framework for objectively identifying dusty days in data-scarce regions and explicitly addresses two key issues: defining dust events using defensible [...]

Semi-analytic reference solutions for 3D controlled-source electromagnetics: a conductive sphere beneath Gaussian topography in a layered earth

Klaus Lippert

Published: 2026-10-18
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

Three-dimensional forward codes for controlled-source and transient electromagnetics are verified mostly by comparison with one another when the model contains topography and a compact body in a layered host. We present terrasphere_csem, an open-source semi-analytic reference for this coupled problem. A Gaussian hill or depression forms the surface of a horizontally layered earth, and a [...]

The role of the Hikurangi subduction interface in enabling Kaikōura-like earthquakes: Insights from synthetic earthquake catalogues

Camilla Penney, Andrew Howell, Tim McLennan, et al.

Published: 2025-12-09
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure

A well-known problem in seismic hazard is the short duration of the historical record relative to the time between large earthquakes. This short record means that not all possible earthquakes have been observed, and that the statistics of earthquake recurrence intervals and magnitudes are poorly constrained. These issues are particularly acute for earthquakes involving multiple faults, such as [...]

Dead Sea Warming and the Origin of Salt Giants

Emmanuel Guillerm, Tim K Lowenstein, Véronique Gardien, et al.

Published: 2025-10-22
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Episodically in Earth’s history, marine basins became hydrologically restricted, forming “salt giants,” yet the mechanisms driving their formation remain debated. The modern Dead Sea, undergoing restriction from anthropogenic inflow diversion, shows rapid lake-level decline and salt precipitation. We present a physical model coupling energy and mass fluxes in hypersaline waterbodies. The model [...]

Post-Fire Resuspension of Metal Toxins at the Wildland–Urban Interface

Alireza Namayandeh, Charlie Lamb, Frida Daniela Garcia Ledezma, et al.

Published: 2026-09-03
Subjects: Medicine and Health Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

After wildland–urban interface (WUI) fires, the severe destruction leaves metal-containing materials on the ground. During post-fire recovery, wind, debris removal, vehicle movement, and reconstruction can disturb these residues and release these materials into the air. However, what toxic metals are released into the air from fire-altered materials and what controls their airborne release are [...]

Landslide Susceptibility Modelling and Infrastructure Exposure in the Zillertal, Austrian Alps

Anna Lisa Marie Meiffert, Noah Schreiber

Published: 2026-08-31
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Geomorphology, Physical and Environmental Geography, Spatial Science

Landslides are a major threat in alpine regions, as steep terrain, complex geology and locally concentrated infrastructure increase societal exposure to landslide hazards. This study develops a landslide susceptibility model for the Zillertal (Tyrol, Austria), utilizing a Random Forest modelling approach. A high-resolution landslide susceptibility map was created using seven geomorphometric, [...]

The depths and thicknesses of the magma bodies that fed some of the largest Quaternary eruptions on Earth

Guilherme Augusto Rosa Gualda, Bradley W Pitcher, Sarah Lynette Smithies, et al.

Published: 2026-09-14
Subjects: Geology, Volcanology

Volcanic systems are critical for the evolution and dynamics of the Earth; yet, our understanding of the plumbing systems that feed eruptions is hampered by our inability to directly observe magmas at depth. We present a compilation of matrix-glass data and rhyolite-MELTS pre-eruptive storage pressures for eleven Quaternary VEI 6+ caldera-forming eruptions worldwide with volumes ranging from 35 [...]

New insights into rift evolution from data-constrained burial and thermal histories at the northern South China Sea margin

Andrea Schito, Geofroy Mohn, Zhibin Wen, et al.

Published: 2026-09-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology

The evolution of the rifted margin of the northern South China Sea challenges predictions of previous models but a knowledge gap still exists regarding how thermal history varies at different locations and times of rifting. International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expeditions 367/368/368X collected samples of sediment that can be used to model the thermal evolution at different rifting stages [...]

A multi-source quantitative reconstruction of the 26 August 2026 Bhote Koshi rock-ice avalanche-debris-flow-flood cascade, Nepal

Nischal Pokhrel, Tinisha Khatri

Published: 2026-10-26
Subjects: Engineering

On 26 August 2026, a catastrophic transboundary mass-flow and flood cascade originated in the upper Lhende Khola-Bhote Koshi headwaters and propagated through the Bhote Koshi, Trishuli, and Narayani river system in Nepal. Early public descriptions used the glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) label, but subsequent seismic, satellite, video, field, hydrological, and damage-assessment evidence [...]

PaddockTS: paddock-level satellite time series analysis of agroecosystem dynamics

John T Burley, Yasar Adeel Ansari, Christopher Gregory Bradley, et al.

Published: 2026-09-02
Subjects: Remote Sensing

PaddockTimeSeries (PaddockTS) is an open-source data analysis pipeline that aligns Earth observation data with agricultural fields, or paddocks—the core land management units where agricultural decisions are made and outcomes such as yield, phenology, productivity, and soil condition are recorded. PaddockTS enables scalable agricultural monitoring and research on how land management and [...]

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