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Preprints

Search for earthquake (651 results)

Active hazardous slow faults drive drainage evolution in the Atacama Desert

Ambrosio Vega-Ruiz, Pia Victor Victor, Ariane Binnie, et al.

Published: 2026-10-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Tectonics and Structure

The Atacama Desert of the Central Andean forearc is the driest non-polar region on Earth, where extremely low erosion rates preserve geomorphic markers over Myr timescales. Between 19°S and 20°S, subtle Quaternary east-vergent reverse faults deform the west-sloping landscape and disrupt drainage development. This setting provides a unique opportunity to investigate fault evolution, uplift [...]

Along-strike stress delays the ordering of slip on a fixed-length fault

Wenjie Lyu

Published: 2026-10-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The size of a large earthquake depends on how far the rupture runs and how much the fault slips. An early correlation with magnitude can appear while those two contributions are still mixed. Patches at both ends stop every rupture on a 120 km fault, so the length no longer varies and the early order is an order of slip. One background stress is a single value along the fault, and the other also [...]

Evaluating Dynamic Viability of Finite-Fault Slip Models with Ensemble Kalman Inversion

Jeremy wing ching wong, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Wenyuan Fan

Published: 2026-10-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Finite-fault slip models are widely used to infer earthquake rupture processes, yet they are inherently non-unique and do not guarantee physically consistent rupture evolution. Here, we develop a data-constrained framework that couples Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) with large-scale 3D dynamic rupture simulations to efficiently evaluate the dynamic viability of finite-fault slip models. The [...]

Quantifying volumetric erosion from symbolic expression of landslide morphology

Kushanav Bhuyan, Xuanmei Fan, Chengyong Fang, et al.

Published: 2026-10-11
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geomorphology, Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Landslide volumetric erosion is fundamental to regional sediment budgets and downstream hazard assessment, yet accurately constraining material mobilization remains a primary bottleneck in Earth-system research. Legacy area–volume relations introduce substantial uncertainty when applied across heterogeneous landslide populations. Here, we examine whether the erosional and accumulation (i.e., [...]

P- and S-Wave Travel-Time Characteristics and Station-Dependent Residuals from Local Earthquakes in Ghana

Eric Hovor, Anuoluwa Olamide Olatunji, Mutalabi Alhassan, et al.

Published: 2026-10-09
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Understanding P- and S-wave travel-time behaviour is important for characterizing seismic-wave propagation and identifying station-dependent variability within regional seismic networks. This study investigates P- and S-wave travel-time characteristics and station-dependent residuals using local earthquakes recorded by the Ghana Digital Seismic Network (GHDSN). The analysis reexamines the [...]

The critical role of stored energy in metamorphism

James Gilgannon, Damien Freitas, Eilidh Vass Payne, et al.

Published: 2026-10-09
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The mechanical behaviour of the Earth is widely assumed to change with increasing timescale as rocks progressively relax imposed stresses [1]. On short timescales, elasticity dominates and its release drives earthquakes [2]; at intermediate timescales, viscoelastic relaxation facilitates processes such as glacial rebound [3]; whereas over geological timescales viscous deformation dominates, [...]

Understanding Earthquake Physics with On-Fault Observatories

Men-Andrin Meier, Paul Antony Selvadurai, Luca Dal Zilio, et al.

Published: 2026-10-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Earthquakes often strike without warning. Current fault monitoring infrastructure is not sensitive enough to detect signals such as accelerating fault creep or dilation, which laboratory experiments and numerical models predict may precede large earthquakes. Here we argue that a paradigm shift is needed and technically achievable: from inferring faulting processes from a distance with surface [...]

Earthquake damage mapping from Sentinel-1 modeling against coherence damage proxy

Mohamad El Moussawi

Published: 2026-09-30
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

This paper tests whether a supervised model that uses the same Sentinel-1 signal as the coherence damage proxy can rank earthquake damage better than the proxy itself. Damage grades from Copernicus EMS for four earthquakes are joined to 783 635 OpenStreet- Map footprints over 28 assessed areas, and the coherence drop is aggregated to buildings, morphological blocks and cells of 50 m to 400 m. A [...]

The June 2026 Socorro swarm: A reactivation of rift-parallel normal faults above the Socorro Magma Body

Christopher Calvelage, Jessica Aerts, Susan Bilek, et al.

Published: 2026-09-28
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

In June 2026 an earthquake swarm of maximum local magnitude (ML) 3.9, comprising 425 matched-filter detections, occurred in the central Rio Grande rift about 45 km north of Socorro, New Mexico, above the northern margin of the Socorro Magma Body (SMB). This setting makes a magmatic or fluid origin the natural hypothesis. We test this hypothesis against the source physics, comparing the swarm with [...]

Rapid Source Constraints and Nodal-Plane-Robust Static Stress Transfer of the 24 September 2026 Mw 5.3–5.4 Şanlıurfa Earthquake, Southeastern Türkiye

Shaheen Mohammed Saleh Ahmed

Published: 2026-09-24
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Other Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Physics, Risk Analysis

On 24 September 2026, a moderate earthquake occurred in southeastern Türkiye near the Hilvan–Karaköprü sector of Şanlıurfa Province. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reported M 5.3 at 37.4736°N, 38.8612°E and 10 km depth, whereas the Disaster and Emergency Management Authority of Türkiye (AFAD) issued a rapid Mw 5.4 solution at a shallower and approximately 5.9 km displaced hypocenter. We [...]

Compound Supershear Rupture During the 2026 Venezuela Earthquake Doublet

Ryo Yamaguchi, Naohiro Inoue, Takeshi Saito, et al.

Published: 2026-09-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The 24 June 2026 Venezuela earthquake doublet occurred along a complex transform-fault system. Teleseismic P waves encompassing both cataloged events were analyzed using potency density tensor inversion with seven structure models. All models indicate predominantly eastward rupture over approximately 220 km, including several stages of supershear propagation. Three apparent rupture stalls [...]

Biomarkers Thermal Maturity Parameters in Bitumen as a Proxy for Seismic vs. Aseismic Mirror-like Fault Surfaces

Miriana Chinello, Andrea Schito, Stephen Alan Bowden, et al.

Published: 2026-09-18
Subjects: Geology

Mirror-like Surfaces (MSs) are ultra-polished fault surfaces that experimental studies have shown can form during seismic and aseismic deformation (slip rates ≈1 m/s vs. <0.0001 m/s). To determine which MSs form during seismic (rapid temperature increase) or aseismic (negligible temperature increase) slip along the fault, we measured sterane and hopane thermal maturity parameters in bituminous [...]

Seasonal variation of earthquake source characteristics of the long-duration Palghar swarm, western India

Himangshu Paul, Sunilkumar T. C., M Shekar

Published: 2026-09-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure

A swarm sequence initiated in November 2018 in the Palghar region near the western coast of India, and continued with high intensity for two years. About 8300 earthquakes were found with horizontal and depth uncertainties of ≤ 1.5 km after relocation. The earthquakes were distributed along two narrow N-S oriented clusters, separated by ~5 km. We performed time-domain regional waveform full moment [...]

Undrained fault-zone poroelastic feedback enables the 2011 Prague earthquake cascade

Zhengze Li, Sylvain Barbot

Published: 2026-09-17
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

Subsurface fluid injection supports wastewater disposal, geothermal energy, and geological storage but can trigger damaging earthquakes. Predicting whether an injection-triggered rupture stops or spreads across multiple faults remains challenging. In the 2011 Prague, Oklahoma, sequence, the mechanism enabling rupture transfer to the fault hosting the third large earthquake has remained [...]

Fabric memory during repeated reversal shear in clay-rich materials: An experimental study using SEM, SP-µCT, and AMS

Kiichiro Kawamura

Published: 2026-09-09
Subjects: Tectonics and Structure

Fine-grained shear zones occur in both tectonic faults and gravitational landslides, making their origin difficult to determine from individual microstructural features alone. A potentially useful distinction is provided by deformation history: tectonic faults commonly experience repeated earthquake cycles in which the sense and magnitude of deformation may change, whereas landslide slip zones [...]

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