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Preprints

There are 6553 Preprints listed.

Liquefaction as an energetic instability of saturated granular systems – Density control and static enthalpy equilibrium

Manfred Heinrich Wittig

Published: 2025-12-27
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Geophysics and Seismology, Geotechnical Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering, Hydrology, Materials Science and Engineering, Mining Engineering, Other Materials Science and Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology

Liquefaction of saturated granular materials is commonly interpreted within stress-based frameworks that rely on the existence of an intact grain skeleton. At the onset of liquefaction, however, the contact network collapses and effective stress ceases to be a meaningful state variable. This work reformulates liquefaction as an enthalpy-driven instability of the coupled grain–water system and [...]

Spatial Patterns of Glacier Meltwater and Mountain Wetland Connectivity in the Peruvian Andes

Dingyu Xuan, Rike Becker, Miguel Christian Vargas Valverde, et al.

Published: 2025-12-27
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Hydrology, Statistical Models

High-altitude wetlands are critical ecosystems that store water, regulate downstream flows, and sustain biodiversity. Their persistence is tightly linked to continuous water inputs from precipitation, groundwater, snow and glacier melt, making them highly vulnerable to climate-driven shifts in mountain hydrology. Rapid glacier retreat, altered precipitation regimes, and rising temperatures are [...]

IBIS: A Community-Oriented Framework for Flood-Induced Bridge Vulnerability Assessment and Prioritization for Iowa

Ege Duran, Jerry Mount, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2025-12-27
Subjects: Environmental Engineering

Floods are among the most frequent and damaging natural hazards, posing serious risks to transportation infrastructure and public safety. Bridges, as essential links in road and rail networks, are especially vulnerable, and their closures can trigger widespread disruption, economic losses, and reduced access to vital services. Effective flood-risk mitigation and emergency response require systems [...]

GIFIS: A Generalized Immersive Flood Information System Specification

Uditha Mudiyanselage, Ramteja Sajja, Yusuf Sermet, et al.

Published: 2025-12-27
Subjects: Environmental Monitoring, Other Computer Sciences, Water Resource Management

This study introduces Generalized Immersive Flood Information Specification (GIFIS), a vendor-agnostic, JSON Schema–based framework for encoding, validating, and exchanging hydrologic and environmental data for reproducible and interoperable virtual and augmented reality applications. By defining standardized semantics for entities such as sensor datasets, hydrological model outputs, warnings and [...]

A variational approach at uncertainty estimation in data-driven rainfall-runoff modeling

Manuel Álvarez Chaves, Eduardo Acuña Espinoza, Daniel Klotz, et al.

Published: 2025-12-27
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Hydrology

Reliable uncertainty estimation is essential for decision making, evaluating model performance, and defining the limits of what can be inferred from data. While uncertainty estimation typically requires specifying prior assumptions about distributional form, we introduce an approach to learn the structure of uncertainty directly from data. Specifically, we introduce a variational long short-term [...]

Multi-frequency Teleseismic P-wave Back-projection of the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka Peninsula Earthquake

Kotaro Tarumi, Kazunori Yoshizawa

Published: 2025-12-27
Subjects: Earth Sciences

A great megathrust earthquake with moment magnitude Mw 8.8 struck off the Kamchatka Peninsula on July 29, 2025, generating a Pacific-wide tsunami and rupturing a segment of the Kuril–Kamchatka subduction zone that has repeatedly hosted M9-class earthquakes. We apply multi-frequency teleseismic P-wave back-projection (BP) analysis using six frequency bands spanning 0.003–2.0 Hz to investigate the [...]

Comprehensive Assessment of Flood Risk and Community Impact of Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations in Iowa

Ugur Satilmis, Jerry Mount, Adem Bayram, et al.

Published: 2025-12-27
Subjects: Agriculture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Civil Engineering, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering, Life Sciences

Flooding presents a significant risk to Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations (CAFOs), especially in regions increasingly affected by extreme weather events. This study uses advanced geospatial analysis techniques to assess the environmental and economic vulnerabilities of 12,703 CAFOs across Iowa, United States. We focused on the exposure of CAFOS to 100-year and 500-year floodplains, [...]

Large Earthquakes: a Way of Formation and Prediction

Zhiyong Zhu

Published: 2025-12-26
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure

It is believed that the accumulation of small fractures (small earthquakes) in the crust is one of many ways for the formation of large fractures (large earthquakes). In such cases, the temporal variations in the accumulation number of small earthquakes can be used to predict future seismic activity in the region. To do so, a structural system of the crust is constructed using the logarithmic [...]

Seasonal and Spatial Assessment of the Urban Heat Island Effect and Land Surface Temperature in Nagpur Using Landsat Remote Sensing

Harsh Kailash Shinde, Sanjay V Balamwar, Sanskar Shete

Published: 2025-12-24
Subjects: Remote Sensing, Spatial Science

Urban Heat Island (UHI) intensity and Land Surface Temperature (LST) variations are critical indicators of urban environmental change in rapidly growing cities. This study examines spatial and temporal UHI and LST patterns in Nagpur using Landsat 8 and 9 thermal imagery for January and May of 2023 and 2024, capturing seasonal and inter-annual variations. Supervised classification was applied to [...]

Fault migration and basin evolution during complex rifting: examples from the western North Gulf of Evia, Greece

James Wood, Rebecca E. Bell, Alexander C Whittaker, et al.

Published: 2025-12-24
Subjects: Stratigraphy, Tectonics and Structure

Understanding dynamic processes of faulting and basin evolution across timescales in complex rift settings remains a key challenge in active continental tectonics. This is in part due to a limited number of young rift systems with well constrained, high-resolution age models derived from subsurface datasets. We aim to address this challenge and advance our understanding of time-dependent [...]

Topographies, and Geoid/Gravity Anomalies from Global Mantle Flow Models

Masaki Yoshida

Published: 2025-12-24
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Health Impacts of Climate Change on Children and Adolescents: A Protocol for Review of Reviews

RILWAN YAHAYA, SALIFU SHARIF ALHASSAN, ROSEMARY SITSOFE AYEBI-ARTHUR, et al.

Published: 2025-12-24
Subjects: Public Health

Introduction Climate change is a contemporary phenomenon of a grave concern to the global public health. Climate change events like extreme heat, rising sea levels, floods, food insecurity and others, significantly affect local, regional, and global life conditions. The climate crisis affects the health of the elderly, adults, workers, children and adolescents. However, climate change events are [...]

Community-Oriented Data Integration and Communication Framework for Streamflow Forecast Models and Flood Inundation Map Products

Kento Sugiyama, Carlos Erazo Ramirez, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2025-12-24
Subjects: Civil Engineering, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering, Water Resource Management

Access to critical flood risk information is often limited by expert-driven workflows that require specialized software, representing a barrier to stakeholder engagement and effective science communication. This study presents a generalized web-based framework that integrates federal datasets for real-time scenario-based flood forecasting and mapping at the CONUS scale. By leveraging [...]

Assessing the effects of restoration and conservation on gaseous carbon fluxes and climate mitigation capacity across six European coastal wetlands

Miguel Cabrera-Brufau, Camille Minaudo, Katrin Attermeyer, et al.

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Climate, Earth Sciences, Fresh Water Studies

Coastal wetlands play a substantial role in regulating Earth’s climate through exchanges of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Current European policies promote widespread coastal wetland restoration to reverse historical losses and ongoing pressures. However, substantial uncertainty remains regarding how CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes respond to restoration across different coastal wetland types and whether these [...]

Pyrogeography of extraordinary wildfires

Calum Cunningham, Grant J. Williamson, John Abatzoglou, et al.

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Extraordinary wildfires – defined by anomalous fire behaviour, physical attributes, paleo-ecological context, spatiotemporal scales, or consequences – have emerged as defining features of the global wildfire crisis. Extraordinary wildfires have profound impacts on ecosystems, climate, air quality, and human societies. In this Review, we characterise key dimensions of extraordinary wildfires, [...]

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