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Preprints

There are 7580 Preprints listed.

The effect of plankton vertical migration on primary productivity in a warmer more stratified ocean

Kristian Spilling, Aditya Nayak, Per Juel Hansen, et al.

Published: 2026-08-13
Subjects: Life Sciences

Marine primary production sustains ocean ecosystems and plays a central role in regulating the global carbon cycle. Current projections suggest that ocean warming will enhance water stratification, limiting the resupply of inorganic nutrients to surface waters, and consequently reduce primary production. This view neglects possible biological feedback mechanisms such as vertical migration by [...]

Fluorapatite Breakdown and Fluor-edenite Formation in the Pristine Winonaite Calate 047 from Chile's Atacama Desert

Pavel Plechov, Ksenia Konovalova, Viktor Gekimyants, et al.

Published: 2026-08-13
Subjects: Cosmochemistry, Geochemistry, Mineral Physics, Planetary Geochemistry, Planetary Mineral Physics

We report the discovery and characterization of Calate 047, a new amphibole-bearing winonaite found in Chile's Atacama Desert. This meteorite exhibits a fine-grained granoblastic texture with equigranular silicates (70-350 μm) and extremely magnesian compositions (olivine Fa1.6-1.8, low-Ca pyroxene Wo1.46-1.7Fs0.44-1.17, high-Ca pyroxene Wo45.26-45.81Fs0.70-0.93, plagioclase An17.7-18.8). Calate [...]

Annual high-resolution global ambient population estimates from 1975 to 2024

Andrew Zimmer, Daniel Adams, Marie Urban

Published: 2026-08-13
Subjects: Environmental Studies, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Human Geography, Nature and Society Relations, Other Geography, Physical and Environmental Geography, Remote Sensing, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Spatial Science

Gridded population data support assessments of human exposure, settlement change, infrastructure demand, and access to services, yet global datasets combining annual coverage over multiple decades with fine spatial resolution remain limited. LandScan Mosaic Time Series provides 50 annual estimates of global ambient population distribution at 3 arc-second resolution from 1975 through 2024. The [...]

Stokes flow in logarithmic-viscosity space: velocity renormalization and a reference-operator formulation

Alessandro Forte, Shayan Kamali Lima

Published: 2026-08-13
Subjects: Fluid Dynamics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Planetary Geophysics and Seismology

Effective viscosity in crystalline solids commonly depends exponentially on temperature, pressure, composition and other state variables, producing spatial variations over many orders of magnitude and making variable-viscosity Stokes flow numerically demanding. We develop an exact, coordinate-independent reformulation using logarithmic viscosity \(\Lambda=\ln(\eta/\eta_0)\) and renormalized [...]

Coastal Aquifer Energy in Plymouth, UK

Matthew Bailey, David Birks, Rod Smith, et al.

Published: 2026-08-13
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Engineering

Plymouth, UK, is a city underlain by a coastal karstic aquifer system, impacted by saline intrusion. The aquifer is being investigated as a source of ambient water for a city-wide heat network. Findings of aquifer-energy pumping tests are reported, highlighting the arising opportunities and challenges. The concept presented here deviates from typical aquifer energy systems, in that thermally [...]

A process-based framework for regional landslide debris inundation hazard assessment: application to the West Coast region of New Zealand

Kerry Leith, Chris Massey, Biljana Lukovic, et al.

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Regional landslide debris inundation hazard assessments commonly rely on scenario-based formulations that require explicit enumeration of discrete landslide events. While effective for local studies, these approaches are computationally intensive, sensitive to scenario design choices, and difficult to apply consistently at regional scales where landslide catalogues are incomplete and long-term [...]

Obliquity limit of megathrust earthquakes

Xiaochuan Tian, Magali Isabelle Billen

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The largest earthquakes occur on subduction-zone megathrusts, where plates commonly converge obliquely to trenches and generate trench-parallel strain. How this strain is partitioned between megathrust slip and upper-plate deformation remains uncertain, hindering earthquake recurrence estimates. Here we combine global slab geometry, plate motions, and earthquake focal mechanisms to quantify [...]

Model-Free Relative Permeability Estimation and Oil Recovery Prediction in Reservoir Rocks from Capillary Pressure Curves

Elena M. Avraham

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

This paper presents and validates a model-free method for predicting the relative permeability and oil recovery of reservoir rocks directly from the shape of the capillary pressure curve, tested against real reservoir core, digital rock models, and a large soil-hydraulic dataset. Relative permeability is the key saturation function governing production forecasts, water cut, and oil recovery in [...]

Specification conformance, grid resolution and inter-code spread in an independent simulation of the SPE11B CO2 storage benchmark

Andre Brasil Vieira Wyzykowski

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Geology

Confidence in geological CO2 storage forecasts rests on simulators whose discrepancies are, for the most part, characterised against each other rather than against a truth. We wrote a two-phase, two-component, fully implicit CO2 storage simulator from scratch, ran it on the SPE11B benchmark to the specification's own reporting resolution (840 × 120 cells, 1,000 yr), and used the reimplementation [...]

Locating the Anthropogenic Drivers of Urban Flooding from Centimetre-Resolution Aerial Imagery: A Reproducible Open-Data Pipeline for the Odaw Basin, Accra

Gideon Glago

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Recurrent inundation in metropolitan Accra is, on the preponderance of the evidence, an anthropogenic rather than a climatological phenomenon: its proximate determinants are the obstruction of drainage by solid waste and the encroachment of structures onto watercourses. These determinants are metre-scale and therefore invisible to the moderate-resolution satellite imagery on which prior work has [...]

Fabric- and fluid-constrained ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar geochronology of the northeastern Carajás Province, Amazonian Craton: separating hydrothermalism from Rhyacian and Orosirian reworking of Archean crust

Felipe Mattos Tavares, Rudolph Allard Johannes Trouw, Paulo Vasconcelos

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Geology, Tectonics and Structure

The Carajás Province, southeastern Amazonian Craton, is a polycyclic Archean block in which the ages of rocks, hydrothermal minerals and tectonic fabrics need not coincide. We integrate multiscale structural analysis with fabric-constrained ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar geochronology of amphibole, biotite and white mica selected from mapped fabrics or well-defined hydrothermal assemblages. Although the province [...]

IPOC-Deep: a new seismicity catalog for Northern Chile with >2 million events

Nooshin Najafipour, Christian Sippl, Javad Kasravi, et al.

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We present a novel seismicity catalog for Northern Chile, which covers 17 years (2007--2023) of data and contains more than 2.2 million events. Raw waveform data from nearly 200 stations including a range of temporary deployments were processed with state-of-the-art algorithms for phase picking (EQTransformer) and association (PyOcto), after which we performed absolute event relocation in a 2.5D [...]

Machine Learning for GIS-Based Flood Susceptibility Mapping: A Global Bibliometric and Systematic Review of Research Trends and Future Directions (2005-2026)

Dr Kazi Abdul Abdul Mannan, Ismat Zerin

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Engineering

Flood susceptibility mapping (FSM) has become an essential component of disaster risk reduction and sustainable environmental management, particularly with the growing frequency and severity of flood events under changing climatic conditions. The integration of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and machine learning (ML) has significantly improved the accuracy and efficiency of flood [...]

ECMWF SEAS5 Seasonal Precipitation Outlook and Preliminary Rainfall-Based Flood Screening for Iraq: October 2026–January 2027

Shaheen Mohammed Saleh Ahmed

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Risk Analysis

This preprint provides a hydrological and hydrogeological interpretation of ECMWF SEAS5 monthly precipitation forecasts for Iraq from October 2026 through January 2027. The analysis uses the ECMWF System 51 ensemble mean initialized on 1 August 2026. The downloaded time-mean total precipitation rate was converted from metres per second to monthly precipitation depth in millimetres using the [...]

Green home-based dialysis and sustainability: A Scoping Review

Andreas Vilhelmsson, Ida Knutsson

Published: 2026-08-12
Subjects: Public Health, Rehabilitation and Therapy

Background Climate change is among the foremost threats to global health, and the healthcare sector is itself a substantial source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Dialysis is one of the most resource- and carbon-intensive treatments in medicine, and homebased modalities have been proposed as a more sustainable alternative to in-centre care. Despite growing interest, the empirical evidence on [...]

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