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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Earth Sciences

A detailed picture of Haiti’s seismicity given by deep learning and template matching

Miguel Neves, Quentin Bletery, Françoise Courboulex, et al.

Published: 2026-01-20
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Haiti regularly experiences destructive earthquakes, but seismic monitoring in the region has historically been limited. Recent deployments of citizen-hosted RaspberryShake seismometers and temporary seismic deployment following the 2021 Mw 7.2 earthquake provide new data to study the region’s seismotectonics. However, high noise levels at many stations, in particular the RaspberryShake ones, [...]

Manganese redox cycling drives the epitaxial growth of dolomite on metastable kutnahorite templates

Daniel A. Petrash, Or M. Bialik, Yihang Fang, et al.

Published: 2026-01-20
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Planetary Sciences

Fine-crystalline, fabric-preserving dolostones in deep-time successions defy high-temperature burial models, implying an elusive low-temperature formation pathway hindered by the kinetic hydration barrier of Mg2+ and the thermodynamic miscibility gap separating calcite from ordered dolomite. Here, we demonstrate a kinetically facile route to self-assembling dolomite driven by the synergy of [...]

Last Interglacial shoreline successions in southeastern Australia: A framework for identifying a waning mantle plume, neotectonic movements and sea-level change

Nicolas Flament, Colin V Murray-Wallace

Published: 2026-01-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Tectonics and Structure

Relict shoreline successions are critically important for investigations of recent tectonism, as they are commonly amenable to dating and may provide information about surface displacement and changes in sea level since their deposition. In this study, Last Interglacial (MIS 5e; 128–116 ka) shoreline successions from 47 locations across southeastern Australia are reviewed. The surface [...]

Benchmarking analog and ensemble-based seasonal forecasting strategies for water management in the Upper Rio Grande basin

Joshua Thomas Sturtevant, Andrew Wood, Dagmar Llewellyn, et al.

Published: 2026-01-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology

In the southwestern US, declining runoff efficiencies driven by a warming climate have undermined the skill of seasonal water supply forecast (WSF) methods used for reservoir management by local to federal agencies. Seasonal water allocations are often based on deterministic inflow sequences, derived by matching historical streamflow traces (analogs) to statistical WSF volumes; yet model-based [...]

Introducing Difference: from Euclidean Space to Geological Limits

Kris Piessens

Published: 2026-01-16
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Mathematics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The Lithotectonic Framework (LTF) provides a systematic approach to describing regional geology in terms of geological history. While LTF has been applied to vocabulary development and regional geological description, its theoretical foundations have remained undocumented. This paper introduces the Spatio-Temporal Framework (STF), which extends Euclidean geometry by adding 'difference' as a [...]

Global sediment transport intermittency is set by river planform

Jonah S. McLeod, Vamsi Ganti, Gary J Hampson, et al.

Published: 2026-01-14
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geomorphology, Hydrology, Sedimentology

Patterns of water and sediment flux in rivers are key to understanding landscape responses to environmental change. Quantifying water intermittency in rivers (from perennial to ephemeral) provides vital context for interpreting long-term hydrographs and flood frequency, yet controls on corresponding sediment intermittency are poorly understood due to measurement challenges. We present the first [...]

The Coupling Cloud: A community database of megathrust kinematic coupling models

Bar Oryan, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Roland Bürgmann Bürgmann, et al.

Published: 2026-01-14
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Kinematic coupling models inverted from geodetic data are widely used to evaluate how slip deficit is distributed along subduction megathrusts during the interseismic period, and are central to earthquake and tsunami hazard assessment. Yet, existing coupling models differ widely in methodology and inputs, lack common community standards, and are scattered across publications and repositories. [...]

Generation of Random Geological Models Using Multi-Randomization for Machine Learning

Kai Gao, Ting Chen

Published: 2026-01-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences

The magnitude of equilibrium isotope fractionation of Mg between forsterite, diopside and melt at liquidus temperatures

Bram de Winter, Andrew Walker, Elena Melekhova, et al.

Published: 2026-01-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Mineral Physics

We examine the equilibrium fractionation of Mg isotopes between forsterite, diopside, and a coexisting melt at liquidus temperatures using a combination of analyses of petrological-experiment products and atomic-scale simulations. Our experiment yields ∆²⁶Mgol/melt = -0.058 ± 0.032 ‰ (2s.e.) and ∆²⁶Mgcpx/melt = 0.060 ± 0.034 ‰ (2s.e.) for crystals grown from a near-cotectic basaltic melt in the [...]

Role of Lithospheric and Upper-Mantle Heterogeneities in Controlling Intraplate Seismicity in Central and Southeastern Brazil

Sumit Singh, Dip Ghosh

Published: 2026-01-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology

Seismicity in Central and Southeastern Brazil is spatially heterogeneous, with active zones showing little correspondence to major geological provinces, a pattern typical of many intraplate settings worldwide. While previous studies have explored possible controls using geophysical observations, the relative roles of crustal and upper-mantle heterogeneities in shaping the regional stress fields [...]

Paleolatitude.org 3.0: a calculator for paleoclimate and paleobiology studies based on a new global paleogeography model

Douwe J.J. van Hinsbergen, Bram Vaes, Lydian M. Boschman, et al.

Published: 2026-01-11
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Paleogeography, and particularly the paleolatitude, provides key context in the interpretation of paleoclimatic and paleobiological data but these fields are typically studied by scientists in different disciplines. To facilitate communication between these disciplines, a decade ago the online Paleolatitude.org calculator was developed. This provided for any coordinate on stable tectonic plates a [...]

Mineral properties identified as most influential drivers of mineral-associated organic carbon formation using a community-based sorption database

Maria E. Macfarlane, Haruko Murakami Wainwright, Jon K Golla, et al.

Published: 2026-01-10
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences

Increasing soil organic carbon (SOC) storage has the potential to substantially offset anthropogenic CO2 emissions. Globally, mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) constitutes the majority of SOC (~65%) and represents a more persistent SOC pool for sequestration. However, the factors controlling how much organic carbon sorbs to soil minerals remain poorly understood, limiting our ability to [...]

Scene-based spectral characterization of spaceborne imaging spectrometers in different spectral windows

Zhipeng Pei, Luis Guanter, Javier Roger, et al.

Published: 2026-01-10
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Earth Sciences

Accurate knowledge of the spectral response of spaceborne imaging spectrometers, including center wavelength (CW) and full width at half maximum (FWHM), is essential for reliable retrievals of atmospheric and surface parameters from at-sensor radiance data. Pre-flight characterizations often fail to capture changes in spectral response arising from launch, orbital conditions, and instrument [...]

Increasing temperatures controlled rockfall activity in the Rwenzori Mountains (Uganda) over the past 11,000 years

Audrey Margirier, Konstanze Stübner, Christoph Schmidt, et al.

Published: 2026-01-10
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geomorphology

Rockfalls and other gravitational mass movements are expected to become more frequent under ongoing global warming in temperate and cold mountainous regions. In contrast, although high numbers of rockfalls are observed in humid tropical mountains, the processes controlling their occurrence remain poorly understood. These warmer regions offer valuable natural laboratories for anticipating the [...]

Astronomical pacing of the Ludfordian Biogeochemical Event, the largest carbon cycle perturbation of the Phanerozoic

Michiel Arts, Damien Pas, Jiří Frýda, et al.

Published: 2026-01-09
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Stratigraphy

The Kosov Quarry section (Prague Basin, Czech Republic) preserves one of the most complete Silurian successions spanning the Ludfordian (late Silurian) Biogeochemical Event (LBE), encompassing the mid-Ludfordian Carbon Isotope Excursion (MLCIE), the largest positive δ13Ccarb excursion of the Phanerozoic. The LBE is associated with climatic cooling, redox reorganisation, sea-level change, and [...]

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