Preprints

There are 5079 Preprints listed.

Historical & future maximum ocean temperatures

B. B. Cael, Friedrich Burger, Gregory Britten, et al.

Published: 2022-12-16
Subjects: Oceanography

Marine heatwaves impact ocean ecosystems and are expected to become more frequent and intense with continued global warming. The ability of Earth system models to reproduce the statistical characteristics of extreme ocean temperatures has not yet been tested quantitatively, making the reliability of their future projections of marine heatwaves uncertain. We demonstrate that annual maxima of [...]

Subsurface geologic, geophysical and chronological data for paleo-hydrologic reconstructions in Danube’s lower floodplain - delta system

Florin Filip, Liviu Giosan

Published: 2022-12-16
Subjects: Life Sciences

Abstract: Records of paleofloods can be reconstructed from special fluvial sedimentary environments such as oxbows; however, deposits in in such lakes, if they exist at all, are still short, on the order of hundreds of years. Longer sedimentary records need to be developed for evaluating paleo-hydrologic regimes of large rivers transiting from a natural Holocene to Anthropocene. Here we report [...]

A treatise on InSAR geometry and 3D displacement estimation

Wietske S Brouwer, Ramon Hanssen

Published: 2022-12-14
Subjects: Engineering, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The estimation of displacement vectors for (objects on) the Earth’s surface using satellite InSAR requires geometric transformations of the observables based on orbital viewing geometries. Usually, there are insufficient viewing geometries available for full 3D reconstruction, leading to non-unique solutions. Currently, there is no standardized approach to deal with this problem, resulting in [...]

Barometers behaving badly II: A critical evaluation of Cpx-only and Cpx-Liq thermobarometry in variably-hydrous arc magmas

Penny Wieser, Adam J Kent, Christy Till

Published: 2022-12-14
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Geology, Volcanology

The chemistry of erupted clinopyroxene crystals (±equilibrium liquids) have been widely used to deduce the pressures and temperatures of magma storage in volcanic arcs. However, the large number of different equations parametrizing the relationship between mineral and melt compositions and intensive variables such as pressure and temperature yield vastly different results, with [...]

Thermal stratification and meromixis in four dilute temperate zone lakes

Elizabeth Swanner Smith, Chris Harding, Sajjad Akam, et al.

Published: 2022-12-14
Subjects: Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Four adjacent lakes (Arco, Budd, Deming, and Josephine) within Itasca State Park in Minnesota, USA are reported to be meromictic in the scientific literature. However, seasonally persistent chemoclines have never been documented. We collected seasonal profiles of temperature and specific conductance and placed temperature sensor chains in two lakes for ~ 1 year to explore whether these lakes [...]

Knowledge co-production for decision-making in human-natural systems under uncertainty

Enayat A. Moallemi, Fateme Zare, Aniek Hebinck, et al.

Published: 2022-12-14
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Decision-making under uncertainty is important for managing human-natural systems in a changing world. A major source of uncertainty that challenges decisions is rooted in their multi-actor settings, i.e., the poorly understood societal actors with diverse values, complex relationships, and conflicting management approaches. Despite general agreement across disciplines on co-producing knowledge [...]

Transgressive rocky coasts in the geological record: Preserved or eroded? Insights from Miocene granitic rocky shorelines and modern examples.

Josep Maria Puig Lopez, John Howell, Reinhard Roetzel, et al.

Published: 2022-12-14
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology

Most of modern shorelines are in net erosion. Among these, rocky shorelines are commonly punctuated, with alternating high relief cliffs an incised embayments which host “pocket beaches”. While multiple cases of ancient rocky shorelines associated with low relief ravinement surfaces have been documented in the geological record, deposits formed in pocket beaches and joint-cut hollows are more [...]

Reconciling farmers’ expectations with the demands of the emerging UK agricultural soil carbon market

Lisette Phelan, Pippa J Chapman, Guy Ziv

Published: 2022-12-13
Subjects: Social and Behavioral Sciences

This paper explores farmers’ and land managers’ perceptions of the emerging agricultural soil carbon market in the UK and examines their willingness to adopt soil health management practices to enhance and/or maintain soil carbon stocks and enthusiasm for and interest in participation in soil carbon sequestration schemes. Data were collected through online questionnaires administered to 100 [...]

Shortening ice seasons and changing phenology affect under-ice lake temperature dynamics

Isabella Anna Oleksy, David C. Richardson

Published: 2022-12-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences

Temperate lakes worldwide are losing ice cover but the implications for under-ice thermal dynamics are poorly constrained. Using a 92-year record of ice phenology from a temperate and historically dimictic lake, we examined trends, variability, and drivers of ice phenology and under-ice temperatures. The onset of ice formation decreased by 23 days century-1 which can be largely attributed to [...]

Citizen and Machine Learning-aided High-resolution mapping of urban heat exposure and stress

Xuewei Wang, Angel Hsu, TC Chakraborty

Published: 2022-12-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Through conversion of land cover to more built-up, impervious surfaces, cities are creating hotter environments for urban residents. Existing measurements of heat and heat stress, however, are often insufficient to capture intra-urban variability of exposure. This study provides a replicable method for modeling air temperature, humidity, and heat stress over an urban area, engaging citizens in [...]

Satellite-derived solar radiation for intra-hour and intra-day applications: biases and uncertainties by season and altitude

Alberto Carpentieri, Doris Folini, Martin Wild, et al.

Published: 2022-12-13
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Accurate estimates of the surface solar radiation (SSR) are a prerequisite for intra-day forecasts of solar resources and photovoltaic power generation. Intra-day SSR forecasts are of interest to power traders and to operators of solar plants and power grids who seek to optimize their revenues and maintain the grid stability by matching power supply and demand. Our study analyzes systematic [...]

Use of remote-sensing to quantify the distribution of progradation/erosion along a forced-regressive modern coastline: driving factors and impact on the stratigraphic record

Valentin Zuchuat, Miquel Poyatos-Moré, Bjorn Nyberg, et al.

Published: 2022-12-13
Subjects: Geomorphology, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy

The long-term development of ancient and modern coastal distributary distributive fluvial systems (DFSs) during periods of relative sea-level highstand or fall usually drives net-progradation of shorelines. Such systems often develop in periods of relative sea-level highstand or fall and typically record annual to millennial-scale deviations in coastal trajectories. A new continental dataset [...]

Systemic Vulnerabilities in Hispanic and Latinx Immigrant Communities Led to the Reliance on an Informal Warning System in the December 10–11, 2021 Tornado Outbreak

Joseph E. Trujillo-Falcón, América Gaviria Pabón, Justin Reedy, et al.

Published: 2022-12-09
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Social and Behavioral Sciences

On December 10–11, 2021, the deadliest December tornado outbreak on record produced a family of EF4 tornadoes that severely impacted communities in Arkansas, Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee. Although the National Weather Service anticipated the outbreak three days earlier, not all communities received life-saving information before, during, or after the disaster. To examine systemic [...]

Correlation of geological complexes of the Khan-Tengri Mountain massif

Alexander Mikolaichuk, Farid Apayarov, Dmitry Gordeev

Published: 2022-12-09
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Stratigraphy, Tectonics and Structure

Researchers of the border regions of Xinjiang and the Central Asian countries are actively discussing two alternative models for the relationships between the main structural units of the Tianshan mountains. Most researchers believe that the Kyrgyz Middle Tianshan wedges out to the east along the Atbashi-Inylchek-Nalati marginal fault. According to the second hypothesis, the structures of the [...]

Extracting information from ocean color

B. B. Cael, Kelsey Bisson, Emmanuel Boss, et al.

Published: 2022-12-09
Subjects: Oceanography, Other Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology

Products derived from remote sensing reflectances ($R_{rs}(\lambda)$), e.g. chlorophyll, phytoplankton carbon, euphotic depth, or particle size, are widely used in oceanography. Problematically, $R_{rs}(\lambda)$ may have fewer degrees of freedom (DoF) than measured wavebands or derived products. A global sea surface hyperspectral $R_{rs}(\lambda)$ dataset has DoF=4. MODIS-like multispectral [...]

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