Preprints

There are 4725 Preprints listed.

The mixology of precursory strain partitioning approaching brittle failure in rocks

Jessica McBeck, Yehuda Ben-Zion, Francois Renard

Published: 2020-01-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure

We examine the strain accumulation and localization process throughout twelve triaxial compression experiments on six rock types deformed in an X-ray transparent apparatus. In each experiment, we acquire 50-100 tomograms of rock samples at differential stress steps during loading, revealing the evolving 3D distribution of X-ray absorption contrasts, indicative of density. Using digital volume [...]

Single-blind test of airplane-based hyperspectral methane detection via controlled releases

Evan David Sherwin, Yuanlei Chen, Arvind P Ravikumar, et al.

Published: 2020-01-08
Subjects: Education, Engineering, Other Engineering

Methane leakage from point sources in the oil and gas industry is a major contributor to global greenhouse gas emissions. The majority of such emissions come from a small fraction of ``super-emitting" sources. We evaluate the emission detection and quantification capabilities of Kairos Aerospace’s airplane-based hyperspectral imaging methane emission detection system for methane fluxes of 18 to [...]

Paleotsunami record of the past 4300 years in the complex coastal lake system of Lake Cucao, Chiloé Island, south central Chile

Philipp Kempf, Jasper Moernaut, Maarten Van Daele, et al.

Published: 2020-01-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology

In CE 1960, Lake Cucao on Chiloé Island in south central Chile was inundated by the tsunami of the Great Chilean Earthquake (Mw 9.5). The area of what is now the lake basin has been submerged since the end of the rapid postglacial sea-level rise and has recorded tsunami inundations in its sediment record since then. This study reconstructs the tsunami history of Lake Cucao. Reflection-seismic [...]

The first climate tipping point – Already in the past?

Jorgen Randers, Ulrich Goluke

Published: 2020-01-03
Subjects: Life Sciences, Other Life Sciences

Humanity may have passed its first climate tipping point and face self-sustained melting of the permafrost for hundreds of years even if all man-made GHG emissions are stopped.

Ge and Si isotope behavior during intense tropical weathering and ecosystem cycling

J. Jotautas Baronas, A. Joshua West, Kevin W. Burton, et al.

Published: 2020-01-03
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Chemical weathering of volcanic rocks in warm and humid climates contributes disproportionately to global solute fluxes. Geochemical signatures of solutes and solids formed during this process can help quantify and reconstruct volcanic weathering intensity in the past. Here, we measured silicon (Si) and germanium (Ge) isotope ratios of the soils, clays, and fluids from a tropical lowland [...]

The Origin of Continental Carbonates in Andean Salars: A Multi-Tracer Geochemical Approach in Laguna Pastos Grandes (Bolivia)

Elodie Muller, Eric C. Gaucher, Christophe Durlet, et al.

Published: 2020-01-03
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

In continental volcanic settings, abundant carbonate precipitation can occur with atypical facies compared to marine settings. The (bio-)chemical processes responsible for their development and early diagenesis are typically complex and not fully understood. In the Bolivian Altiplano, Laguna Pastos Grandes hosts a 40-km2 carbonate platform with a great diversity of facies and provides an ideal [...]

Improved Accuracy of Watershed-Scale General Circulation Model Runoff Using Deep Neural Networks

Joshua S. Rice, Sheila M. Saia, Ryan E. Emanuel

Published: 2020-01-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Hydrology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Projecting impacts of climate change on water resources is a vital research task, and general circulation models (GCMs) are important tools for this work. However, the spatial resolution of downscaled GCMs makes them difficult to apply to non-grid conforming scales relevant to water resources management: individual watersheds. Machine learning techniques like deep neural networks (DNNs) may [...]

Landscape variables in the Indian (Peninsular) catchments: insights into hydro-geomorphic evolution

Sumit Das

Published: 2020-01-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geomorphology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The river systems in peninsular India are remained unexplored in terms of hydro-geomorphic evolution, though a few works are carried out in order to understand the tectonic and structural evolution with paleoclimate. Morphometric analysis at catchment scale delivers insights into the dynamics, erosion capacity, probability of flood occurrence, lithological and structural control, and genetic [...]

Artificial and natural radionuclides in cryoconite as tracers of supraglacial dynamics

Giovanni Baccolo, Massimiliano Nastasi, Dario Massabò, et al.

Published: 2020-01-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Glaciology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Cryoconite, a sediment found on the surface of glaciers, is known for its ability to accumulate radionuclides. New data on cryoconite from the Morteratsch glacier (Switzerland) are presented with the aim to shed light on the mechanisms that control the distribution of radioactivity in cryoconite. Among the many radionuclides detected in our samples, we have identified 108mAg, an artificial [...]

Detection Uncertainty Matters for Understanding Atmospheric Rivers

Travis O'Brien, Ashley E. Payne, Christine A. Shields, et al.

Published: 2020-01-02
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The 3rd ARTMIP Workshop What: Over 30 participants from multiple universities and research insititutions met to discuss new results from the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project. Where: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, USA When: 16-18 October 2019

Global mean surface temperature and climate sensitivity of the EECO, PETM and latest Paleocene

Gordon Neil Inglis, Fran Bragg, Natalie J. Burls, et al.

Published: 2020-01-02
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Accurate estimates of past global mean surface temperature (GMST) help to contextualise future climate change and are required to estimate the sensitivity of the climate system to CO2 forcing during the geological record. GMST estimates from the latest Paleocene and early Eocene (~57 to 48 million years ago) span a wide range (~9 to 23°C higher than pre-industrial) and prevent an accurate [...]

Using a consistency factor for detection and attribution of anthropogenic impacts on phenological phases in Germany

Sebastian Lehner, Christoph Matulla, Helfried Scheifinger

Published: 2020-01-01
Subjects: Climate, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

An important consequence of climate change is the impact on the seasonal cycle of vegetation flora and fauna. Although it is generally understood that anthropogenic mechanisms play a major role in the warming trend of the climate and that the timing of such phases, especially spring timing events, depends largely on the temperature, the link has yet to be quantitatively shown for different kind [...]

Active deformation and Plio-Pleistocene fluvial reorganization of the western Kura Fold-Thrust Belt, Georgia: implications for the evolution of the Greater Caucasus mountains and seismic hazard

Lasha Sukhishvili, Adam Matthew Forte, Giorgi Merebashvili, et al.

Published: 2019-12-31
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Geomorphology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Tectonics and Structure

Since the Plio-Pleistocene, southward migration of shortening in the eastern part of the Greater Caucasus (GC) into the Kura foreland basin has progressively formed the Kura-Fold Thrust belt (KFTB) and Alazani piggyback basin, which separates the KFTB from the GC. Previous work argued for an eastward propagation of the KFTB, implying that the western portion in Georgia is the oldest, but this [...]

Goal-Oriented Error Estimation and Mesh Adaptation for Shallow Water Modelling

Joseph Gregory Wallwork, Nicolas Barral, Stephan C Kramer, et al.

Published: 2019-12-31
Subjects: Applied Mathematics, Computer Sciences, Engineering, Non-linear Dynamics, Numerical Analysis and Computation, Numerical Analysis and Scientific Computing, Partial Differential Equations, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Numerical modelling frequently involves a diagnostic quantity of interest (QoI) - often of greater importance than the PDE solution - which we seek to accurately approximate. In the case of coastal ocean modelling the power output of a tidal turbine farm is one such example. Goal-oriented error estimation and mesh adaptation can be used to provide meshes which are well-suited to achieving this [...]

Stochastic, empirically‐informed model of landscape dynamics and its application to deforestation scenarios

Jakub Nowosad, Tomasz Stepinski

Published: 2019-12-26
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Land change including deforestation undermines the sustainability of the environment. Using data on 1992‐2015 pattern change in over 1.7 million meso‐scale landscapes worldwide we developed a stochastic model of long‐term landscape dynamics. The model suggests that observed heterogeneous landscapes are short‐lived stages in a transition between quasi‐stable homogeneous landscapes of different [...]

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