Preprints

There are 4717 Preprints listed.

Differential effects of climate change on average and peak demand for heating and cooling across the contiguous United States

Yash Vijay Amonkar, James Doss-Gollin, David J Farnham, et al.

Published: 2023-07-07
Subjects: Engineering

While most electricity systems are designed to handle peak demand during summer months, pathways to deep decarbonization generally electrify building heating, thus increasing electricity demand during winter. A key question is how climate variability and change will affect peak heating and cooling demand in an electrified future. We conduct a spatially explicit analysis of trends in [...]

Theoretical and experimental modeling of local scale CO2 flushing of hydrous rhyolitic magma

Alexander Gennadievich Simakin, Vera Devyatova, Andrey Shiryaev

Published: 2023-07-07
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Flushing of hydrous silicic magmas with crustal carbonic fluid may be an important factor controlling the explosiveness of rhyolitic eruptions. We present combined theoretical and experimental study of the interaction of carbonic fluid with a hydrous silicic melt. The process of diffusional equilibration of a CO2 bubble with a silicic melt was simulated numerically in the spherical approximation. [...]

ANSEICCA: a Python package for seismic ambient noise source inversion by cross-correlation modelling

Arjun Datta, Aileni Mahesh

Published: 2023-07-06
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We present ANSEICCA, an open-source package for forward and inverse modelling of seismic ambient noise cross-correlations at local scales, where the effects of Earth's sphericity are negligible. The package implements a nonlinear finite-frequency inversion technique wherein measurements of cross-correlation energy are used to invert for the spatial distribution of ambient noise sources, under the [...]

Ensemble of land-surface air temperatures between 1880-2022 using a revised pair-wise homogenization algorithm

DUO CHAN, Geoffrey Gebbie, Peter Huybers

Published: 2023-07-06
Subjects: Climate, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Various observational estimates of historical land surface air temperature (LSAT) trends differ on account of differences in corrections. Relative to the most-recent estimate provided by NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network Monthly Version 4 (GHCNm4), an estimate by Berkeley Earth is 0.02°C warmer and one by the Climate Research Unit (CRUTEM5) is 0.14°C warmer between 1880–1940. Such [...]

Rebuilding Coral Reefs: How tourism can be a driver behind solutions in a changing ocean

Johanna Calle Triviño, Daniela M Rojas-Cano, Laura Angélica Niño-Torres, et al.

Published: 2023-07-06
Subjects: Marine Biology

Coral reefs are threatened by multiple stressors that have driven a decline in the cover of reef-building coral species, resulting in a loss of reef structure and function. Restoration reef science provides useful conservation tools to preserve and restore the key species and ecological functions of these ecosystems. However, gaps remain in restoring ecosystem functions at large scales. This [...]

Assessing vertical accuracy and spatial coverage of ICESat-2 and GEDI spaceborne lidar for creating global terrain models

Maarten Pronk, Marieke Eleveld, Hugo Ledoux

Published: 2023-07-06
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Geomorphology, Remote Sensing

Digital elevation models (DEMs) are a necessity for modelling many large-scale environmental processes. In this study, we investigate the potential of data from two spaceborne lidar altimetry missions, ICESat-2 and GEDI—with respect to their vertical accuracies and planimetric data collection patterns—as sources for rasterisation towards global DEMs. We validate the terrain [...]

360-day to Gregorian calendar climate model output conversion

Jonny Williams

Published: 2023-07-05
Subjects: Climate, Earth Sciences, Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Data from some climate model simulations is in a 360 days per year format, that is, every month is 30 days long. The main reason for this is analytical convenience in creating seasonal, annual and multi-annual means which are an integral part of climate model development and evaluation. This work illustrates a method to convert daily-mean, 360-day calendar climate model data into 'real', [...]

Synchrony dynamics of dissolved organic carbon in high-mountain streams: insights into scale-dependent processes

Lluís Gómez-Gener, Nicola Deluigi, Tom Battin

Published: 2023-07-05
Subjects: Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

In high-mountain landscapes, biological resources such as organic carbon (OC) are often limited and heterogeneously stored in poorly developed soils, snow, ground ice and glaciers. Climate change influences the dynamics of OC mobilization to- and processing into- the recipient streams. These patterns can vary from seasonal (e.g., snow melt in spring) to daily (e.g., ice melt in summer) depending [...]

Can crop production intensification through irrigation be sustainable? An ex-ante impact study of the coastal zone of Bangladesh

Zahirul Haque Khan, Md Saiful Islam, Shume Akhter, et al.

Published: 2023-07-04
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering

In Bangladesh’s south-central coastal zone, there is considerable potential to intensify crop production by growing dry winter season ‘Boro’ rice, maize, wheat, pulses and oilseeds using irrigation from southward flowing and predominantly freshwater rivers. However, the impacts of surface water withdrawal for irrigation and its safe operating space remain unclear. We used field measurements and [...]

Spatio–temporal trends of air quality, Kampala City, Uganda, 2020–2022

Mackline Ninsiima, Alex Ndyabakira, Sarah Zalwango, et al.

Published: 2023-07-04
Subjects: Environmental Sciences

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is among the health damaging air pollutants that pose health risks to humans, with levels >15 µg/m3 being associated with adverse health effects. PM2.5 has been recommended as the best measure of air quality. Cities are more prone to poor air quality compared to non–urban areas. We assessed the spatio–temporal trends in air quality in Kampala City during January [...]

Mountains of plastic: Mismanaged plastic waste along the Carpathian watercourses

Maciej Liro, Anna Zielonka, Tim van Emmerik, et al.

Published: 2023-07-04
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences

Plastic waste poses numerous risks to mountain river ecosystems due to their high biodiversity and specific physical characteristics. Here, we provide a baseline assessment for future evaluation of such risks in the Carpathians, one of the most biodiverse mountain ranges in East-Central Europe. We used high-resolution river network and mismanaged plastic waste (MPW) databases to map MPW along the [...]

Functional organic matter components in mangrove soils revealed by density fractionation

Kota Hamada, Toshiyuki Ohtsuka, Nobuhide Fujitake, et al.

Published: 2023-07-04
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Geochemistry, Soil Science

The mechanisms underlying stabilization of soil organic matter (SOM) in coastal ecosystems, including mangrove forests, are poorly understood, limiting our ability to predict the consequences of disturbances. Here, we introduce density fractionation to mangrove soils to identify the distribution and properties of the functional components of SOM with regard to degradation state, stability, and [...]

Forecasting Weather using Deep Learning from the Meteorological Stations Data : A Study of Different Meteorological Stations in Kaski District, Nepal

Supath Dhital, Kapil Lamsal, Sulav Shrestha, et al.

Published: 2023-07-02
Subjects: Engineering

Contemporarily, one of the most pressing concerns is reliable and rapid weather forecasting. In Nepal, the Department of Hydrology and Meteorological uses a numerical modeling approach to forecast the weather, which is tardy and requires high end equipment to process the information so deep learning approach will be best alternative. This project aims to forecast the next 2-hour Precipitation and [...]

Cosmogenic nuclide dating conundrum for retreat of the Laurentide Ice Sheet and the critical roles of geomagnetic and heliomagnetic modulation of cosmic ray flux

Dennis Kent, Luca Lanci, Dorothy Peteet

Published: 2023-06-30
Subjects: Earth Sciences

What we regard as anomalously old 10Be exposure dates reported from the terminal moraine of the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS) in northeastern North America, such as recently published for Allamuchy NJ, ostensibly point to the start of deglaciation at 25 thousand calendar years before present (cal. ka). These dates are well within the conventional age span of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and are in [...]

Geochemical Insights: Unraveling the Influence on Kerogen and Organic-rich Mudrocks

Mohammad Alaquib

Published: 2023-06-30
Subjects: Engineering

The examination of geochemical factors and their impact on kerogen and organic-rich mudrocks holds significant implications for reservoir characterization, hydrocarbon exploration, and production strategies. The understanding of the geochemical environment empowers reservoir engineers and geoscientists to gain valuable insights into the distribution, quality, and producibility of hydrocarbons [...]

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