Preprints

There are 5073 Preprints listed.

Petrographic and geochemical evidence for a complex magmatic plumbing system beneath Bagana volcano, Papua New Guinea

Joshua Robert Brown, Iris Buisman, Maria Paula Castellanos Melendez, et al.

Published: 2023-10-31
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Volcanology

Bagana is a persistently active stratovolcano located on Bougainville Island, Papua New Guinea. Characteristic activity consists of prolonged lava effusion over months to years, with occasional shifts to explosive vulcanian or subplinian eruptions which threaten surrounding communities. Satellite observations have shown that Bagana is a major SO2 emitter, particularly during eruptive intervals. [...]

Quantifying fault interpretation uncertainties and their impact on fault seal and seismic hazard analysis

Billy Andrews, Zoe K Mildon, Christopher Aiden-Lee Jackson, et al.

Published: 2023-10-31
Subjects: Geology, Tectonics and Structure

Fault-horizon cut-off data extracted from seismic reflection datasets are used to study normal fault geometry, displacement distribution, and growth history. We assess the influence of three seismic interpretation factors (repeatability, measurement obliquity, and fault cut-off type) on fault parameter uncertainty. Two repeat interpretations resulted in mean differences of 5-15% for throw, 11-42% [...]

Robustness of the evaluation of indirect costs of natural disasters: example of the ARIO model

Samuel Paul Juhel, Adrien Delahais, Vincent Viguié

Published: 2023-10-30
Subjects: Risk Analysis

Given the interconnectedness of economies and the prevalence of just-in-time production processes, even small interruptions to production caused by natural disasters can lead to great indirect economic impacts. A substantial body of literature on this subject exists, notably with the help of input-output analysis, CGE and agent-based models. However, such models rely on parameters and data which [...]

New insights into the Upper Pleistocene directed blast eruption, Popocatépetl volcano, México

R. Marcela Lira Beltrán, Lizeth Caballero, Delphine Sourisseau, et al.

Published: 2023-10-30
Subjects: Geology, Stratigraphy, Volcanology

Volcanic eruptions of the directed blast type are characterized by powerful explosions with a significant lateral pyroclastic density current (PDC) component that can travel at speeds above 100 m s–1 and affect hundreds of square kilometers around a volcano. This study presents preliminary results of a detailed fieldwork and stratigraphic study of deposits associated with the Ocoxaltepec Blast [...]

A Portable low-cost Device to Quantify Advective Gas Fluxes from Mofettes into the Lower Atmosphere: First Application to Starzach Mofettes (Germany)

Yann Georg Büchau, Carsten Leven, Jens Bange

Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

In this study, we introduce a portable low-cost device for in situ gas emission measurement from focused point sources of CO2, such as mofettes. We assess the individual sensors' precision with calibration experiments and perform an independent verification of the system's ability to measure gas flow rates in the range of liters per second. The results from one week of continuous CO2 flow [...]

Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: an extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change

Anjana Devanand, Georgina M. Falster, Zoe E. Gillett, et al.

Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

We examine the characteristics and causes of southeast Australia’s Tinderbox Drought (2017–2019) that preceded the Black Summer fire disaster. The Tinderbox Drought was characterised by cool season rainfall deficits of around –50% in three consecutive years, which was exceptionally unlikely in the context of natural variability alone. The precipitation deficits were initiated and sustained by an [...]

Fantastic Wetlands and Why to Monitor Them: Demonstrating the Social and Financial Benefit Potential of Methane Abatement through Salt Marsh Restoration

Adam Reilly, Nathaniel Merrill, Kate Mulvaney, et al.

Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Environmental Studies

Salt marsh restoration has the potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions thereby providing an opportunity for blue carbon crediting, but implementation has been limited to date because of insufficient data and validation. Freshening salt marshes are sources of methane emissions, which present an opportunity for states to address this source of potent greenhouse gas emissions if restored to [...]

Impact of moderating role of green cultures over green environmental effects.

Riyaz Abro, Masnawaty Sangkala, Houcine Meddour, et al.

Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Environmental Studies

The study examined the impact of green practices of human resources, empowered interaction capability and green innovation behavior over green environmental effects by moderating effects of green cultures. The research took chemical industry as population, and obtained 220 respondents working in chemical industry of Karachi city as sample. SPSS was used for statistical analysis and PLS4.0 was [...]

Pacific shoreline erosion and accretion patterns controlled by El Niño/Southern Oscillation

Kilian Vos, Mitchell Dean Harley, Ian L Turner, et al.

Published: 2023-10-27
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering, Climate, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Geomorphology, Oceanography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

In the Pacific Basin, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant mode of interannual climate variability, driving substantial changes in oceanographic forcing and impacting Pacific coastlines. Yet, how sandy coasts respond to these basin-scale changes has to date been limited to a few long-term beach monitoring sites, predominantly on developed coasts. Here we use 38 years of Landsat [...]

Testing the applicability of standardised growth curves for chemically heterogeneous single-grain feldspars from the Atacama Desert, Chile

Linda Maßon, Svenja Riedesel, Anja Zander, et al.

Published: 2023-10-26
Subjects: Earth Sciences

The Atacama Desert is generally considered the driest non-polar desert on Earth and is therefore an ideal study area for exploring the water and biota free endmember of Earth’s Critical Zone (ECZ). Single grain (SG) luminescence dating has successfully identified processes in the ECZ. However, SG luminescence dating of Atacama Desert feldspars is challenging and time consuming since only a small [...]

High methane emissions from a eutrophic marine coastal basin driven by bubble release from the sediment

Olga Marzena Żygadłowska, Jessica Venetz, Wytze K. Lenstra, et al.

Published: 2023-10-25
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

The production of methane in coastal sediments and its release to the water column is intensified by anthropogenic eutrophication and bottom water hypoxia, and it is yet uncertain whether methane emissions to the atmosphere will be enhanced. Here, we assess seasonal variations in methane dynamics in a eutrophic, seasonally euxinic coastal marine basin (Scharendijke, Lake Grevelingen). In-situ [...]

Last millennium climate variability in the Romanian Carpathians: a synthesis

Juliana Nogueira, Miloš Rydval, Krešimir Begović

Published: 2023-10-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences

The Carpathian Mountains span Central and Eastern Europe and provide vital ecosystem functions and services. For this reason, the conservation status of the Carpathians is critical due to environmental pressures such as deforestation and the impacts of climate change, which has significantly affected the region's ecosystem dynamics and communities through increased frequency of floods and [...]

A Novel Approach for Predicting Large Wildfires Using Machine Learning Towards Environmental Justice via Environmental Remote Sensing and Atmospheric Reanalysis Data across the United States

Nikita Agrawal, Peder Nelson, Russanne Low

Published: 2023-10-25
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences

Large wildfires (>125 hectares) in the United States account for over 95% of the burned area each year. Predicting large wildfires is imperative, however, current wildfire predictive models are region-based and computationally intensive. Using a scalable model based on easily available environmental and atmospheric data, this research aims to accurately predict across the United States whether [...]

Impacts of the African Humid Period termination may have been delayed in the Atlantic Sahara

Juliana Nogueira, Heitor Evangelista, Abdelfettah Sifeddine, et al.

Published: 2023-10-24
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences

The paleoenvironmental changes recorded at the Khnifiss Lagoon, on the Saharan Atlantic coast, southern Morocco, during the last 3.5 kyrs BP puts another piece to the puzzle on the intricate relationship between North Atlantic climate patterns and climate variations in Northwest Africa. This study shed light on the hydroclimatic dynamics during a pivotal climatic period: the transition from the [...]

Exploring Foundation Models for Seismic Event Processing

Lisa Linville

Published: 2023-10-24
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Nonproliferation monitoring efforts benefit from a glut of multi-modal data that related research must develop methods to process efficiently. Many of the highest performing methods for predictive modeling rely on a legacy of data curation and labeling that is available from decades of seismic catalog building but may not scale well for future uses. This work explores tools for predictive [...]

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